NFL · 2026 Week 1

2026 Week 1 Standard RB Rankings

Final pre-kickoff board · published September 9, 2026, 18:40 UTC · first kickoff September 10, 2026, 00:20 UTC

Standard, 1QB · 148 players projected · updated September 9, 2026

See how these rankings performed

View current weekly rankings

Week 1 starts from preseason projections and draft position, with current availability and market signals layered in.

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for Week 1 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.

This board is priced in Standard. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.

Top 3
how often he finishes among the top three at his position
Top 12
how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24
how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.

What stood out in Week 1

148 RBs ranked for Week 1. Jahmyr Gibbs leads at 17.0 projected points.

Tier break

1.8 projected points separate RB1 Jahmyr Gibbs from RB2 Bijan Robinson.

Biggest differences from the draft market

Ahead

  • Rhamondre StevensonRB16Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 6% · Top 12: 25% · Top 24: 44% +9 vs. RB25
  • Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB34Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 10% · Top 24: 22% +7 vs. RB41
  • Jadarian PriceRB18Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 5% · Top 12: 24% · Top 24: 41% +6 vs. RB24

Behind

  • D'Andre SwiftRB29Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 31% -9 vs. RB20
  • Jeremiyah LoveRB21Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 6% · Top 12: 23% · Top 24: 38% -8 vs. RB13
  • J.K. DobbinsRB40Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 1% · Top 12: 8% · Top 24: 21% -6 vs. RB34
2026 Week 1 Standard RB Rankings -- Standard scoring: projected fantasy points and the share of simulated weeks finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 at the position. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
# Pos Player Pos rank Proj
1 RB Jahmyr GibbsDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 29% of the time, 4th to 12th 35%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 21%.
Top 3: 29%Top 12: 63%Top 24: 79%
RB1 17.0
2 RB Bijan RobinsonATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 24% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 26%.
Top 3: 24%Top 12: 57%Top 24: 74%
RB2 15.2
3 RB Jonathan TaylorIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 20% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 30%.
Top 3: 20%Top 12: 53%Top 24: 70%
RB3 13.9
4 RB Christian McCaffreySF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 32%.
Top 3: 18%Top 12: 50%Top 24: 68%
RB4 13.2
5 RB Saquon BarkleyPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 32%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 35%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 65%
RB5 12.5
6 RB De'Von AchaneMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 34%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 46%Top 24: 66%
RB6 12.5
7 RB James CookBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 37%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 64%
RB7 12.3
8 RB Derrick HenryBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 40%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 60%
RB8 11.5
9 RB Omarion HamptonLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 40%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 42%Top 24: 60%
RB9 11.3
10 RB Chase BrownCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 46%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 54%
RB10 10.2
11 RB Breece HallNYJQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 50%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 50%
RB11 9.8
12 RB Ashton JeantyLVQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 52%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 48%
RB12 9.5
13 RB Javonte WilliamsDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 51%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 49%
RB13 9.4
14 RB Kyren WilliamsLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 54%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 46%
RB14 8.6
15 RB Kenneth Walker IIIKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 57%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 43%
RB15 8.2
16 RB Rhamondre StevensonNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 56%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 44%
RB16 8.2
17 RB Travis EtienneNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 59%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 41%
RB17 7.9
18 RB Jadarian PriceSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 59%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 41%
RB18 7.9
19 RB Cam SkatteboNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 58%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 42%
RB19 7.9
20 RB Quinshon JudkinsCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 60%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 40%
RB20 7.8
21 RB Jeremiyah LoveARIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 62%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 38%
RB21 7.6
22 RB David MontgomeryHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 62%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 38%
RB22 7.4
23 RB Bucky IrvingTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 62%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 38%
RB23 7.3
24 RB Bhayshul TutenJAXQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 64%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 36%
RB24 7.2
25 RB Tony PollardTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 65%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 35%
RB25 6.9
26 RB MarShawn LloydGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 65%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 35%
RB26 6.8
27 RB Jaylen WarrenPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 34%
RB27 6.8
28 RB Rico DowdlePIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 34%
RB28 6.8
29 RB D'Andre SwiftCHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31%
RB29 6.2
30 RB Aaron JonesMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24%
RB30 5.3
31 RB Kenny GainwellTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24%
RB31 5.2
32 RB Blake CorumLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 23%
RB32 5.0
33 RB Jonathon BrooksCARQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 23%
RB33 4.8
34 RB Jacory Croskey-MerrittWASQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22%
RB34 4.8
35 RB Chuba HubbardCARQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21%
RB35 4.7
36 RB Rachaad WhiteWASQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21%
RB36 4.6
37 RB Jordan MasonMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 20%
RB37 4.6
38 RB Tyjae SpearsTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19%
RB38 4.6
39 RB Kyle MonangaiCHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 20%
RB39 4.4
40 RB J.K. DobbinsDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 21%
RB40 4.4
41 RB Woody MarksHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19%
RB41 4.4
42 RB George HolaniSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15%
RB42 3.6
43 RB Samaje PerineCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%
RB43 3.4
44 RB Mike Washington Jr.LV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14%
RB44 3.3
45 RB RJ HarveyDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13%
RB45 3.2
46 RB Chris BrooksGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13%
RB46 3.2
47 RB Tyler AllgeierARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13%
RB47 3.1
48 RB Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%
RB48 3.1
49 RB Keaton MitchellLACQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%
RB49 2.9
50 RB Justice HillBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%
RB50 2.9
51 RB Kendre MillerNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
RB51 2.8
52 RB Brian RobinsonATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 10%
RB52 2.8
53 RB Braelon AllenNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 10%
RB53 2.7
54 RB Najee HarrisNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
RB54 2.6
55 RB Jacob SaylorsDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11%
RB55 2.6
56 RB Tank BigsbyPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10%
RB56 2.6
57 RB Corey KinerARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%
RB57 2.5
58 RB Dylan SampsonCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
RB58 2.4
59 RB Ty JohnsonBUFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9%
RB59 2.3
60 RB Jonah ColemanDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
RB60 2.3
61 RB Malik DavisDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
RB61 2.3
62 RB Kaelon BlackSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
RB62 2.1
63 RB Emmett JohnsonKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
RB63 2.1
64 RB Alvin KamaraNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
RB64 2.0
65 RB Jaylen WrightMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB65 2.0
66 RB Isaiah DavisNYJQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB66 2.0
67 RB Sean TuckerTBQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
RB67 2.0
68 RB Kalel MullingsTENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB68 1.9
69 RB Devin SingletaryNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB69 1.9
70 RB Raheim SandersCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB70 1.9
71 RB Evan HullARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 7%
RB71 1.9
72 RB Owen WrightHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB72 1.9
73 RB Jacardia WrightSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB73 1.9
74 RB Kimani VidalLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB74 1.9
75 RB Devin NealNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB75 1.9
76 RB Jawhar JordanHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB76 1.9
77 RB Jarquez HunterLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB77 1.9
78 RB Brashard SmithKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB78 1.9
79 RB Amar JohnsonLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB79 1.8
80 RB Donovan EdwardsMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB80 1.8
81 RB Cody SchraderDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB81 1.8
82 RB Jam MillerNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB82 1.8
83 RB Eric GrayNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB83 1.8
84 RB Patrick RicardNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB84 1.8
85 RB Josh WilliamsTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB85 1.8
86 RB Eli HeidenreichPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB86 1.8
87 RB Frank Gore Jr.BUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB87 1.8
88 RB LeQuint Allen Jr.JAXQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB88 1.8
89 RB Michael CarterTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB89 1.8
90 RB Bam KnightARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB90 1.8
91 RB Jaydon BlueDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB91 1.8
92 RB Damien MartinezGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB92 1.8
93 RB Tyler GoodsonATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB93 1.8
94 RB Kendall MiltonCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB94 1.8
95 RB Zamir WhiteNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB95 1.8
96 RB Dare OgunbowaleLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB96 1.8
97 RB Pierre StrongGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB97 1.8
98 RB Zavier ScottMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB98 1.8
99 RB Trayveon WilliamsDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB99 1.8
100 RB Jordan MimsPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB100 1.8
101 RB Craig ReynoldsWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB101 1.8
102 RB Phil MafahDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB102 1.8
103 RB Gary BrightwellCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB103 1.8
104 RB Lan LarisonNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB104 1.8
105 RB Lew Nichols IIIPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB105 1.8
106 RB Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYGQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB106 1.8
107 RB Julius ChestnutTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB107 1.8
108 RB Ollie Gordon IIMIAQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB108 1.8
109 RB Salvon AhmedCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB109 1.8
110 RB Sincere McCormickSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB110 1.8
111 RB Roschon JohnsonCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB111 1.8
112 RB Audric EstiméNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB112 1.8
113 RB D'Ernest JohnsonTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB113 1.8
114 RB Khalil HerbertSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB114 1.8
115 RB JaMycal HastyNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB115 1.8
116 RB Hassan HaskinsNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB116 1.8
117 RB Kene NwangwuNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB117 1.8
118 RB Tyler BadieDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB118 1.8
119 RB DeeJay DallasJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB119 1.8
120 RB Jaret PattersonLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB120 1.8
121 RB AJ DillonCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB121 1.8
122 RB Ronnie RiversLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB122 1.8
123 RB Deuce VaughnHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB123 1.8
124 RB Carlos WashingtonMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB124 1.8
125 RB Dylan LaubeLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB125 1.8
126 RB Carson SteelePHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB126 1.8
127 RB Tahj BrooksCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB127 1.8
128 RB Travis HomerPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB128 1.8
129 RB Jaleel McLaughlinDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB129 1.8
130 RB Israel AbanikandaDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB130 1.8
131 RB Jonathan WardBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB131 1.8
132 RB Seth McGowanIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB132 1.7
133 RB Sione VakiDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB133 1.7
134 RB Dameon PiercePHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB134 1.7
135 RB Reggie GilliamNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
RB135 1.7
136 RB Emanuel WilsonSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB136 1.7
137 RB Ray DavisBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB137 1.7
138 RB Ulysses Bentley IVIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB138 1.7
139 RB Andrew BeckNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
RB139 1.7
140 RB Emari DemercadoKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
RB140 1.6
141 RB Jordan JamesSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB141 1.6
142 RB Kyle JuszczykSFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
RB142 1.6
143 RB Kaleb JohnsonPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
RB143 1.5
144 RB Rasheen AliBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
RB144 1.5
145 RB Nicholas SingletonTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
RB145 1.5
146 RB Will ShipleyPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
RB146 1.5
147 RB British BrooksHOUQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
RB147 1.5
148 RB Hunter LuepkeDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
RB148 1.5

How these are made

This board was built from draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 64%, sportsbook props for 30%, an official status for 85%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Standard, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 9, 2026 18:39 UTC. Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-09.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); Polymarket (prediction-market prices); The Odds API (player props).

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