WAS · Bye 7
Rachaad White
LMD RB Tier 6 for Week 9 · 7.9 projected Standard points · RB33 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 7.9 points this week, RB Tier 6. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 2.5 - 15.8 points. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 15% · Top 24: 35% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
RB Tier 6
7.5 - 8.8 projected points
Rest of season
RB33
58th by projected points
Projected
7.9
week 9, Standard
Top 12
15%
Top 3: 3% · Top 24: 35% at RB
Movement
↓ 3
RB29 in Week 8, RB32 now
Should you start Rachaad White in Week 9?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Rachaad White RB32 for Week 9, just outside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 35% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral+0.01 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight negative-0.17 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.34 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight positive+0.19 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Fantasy football Week 4 inactives: Jayden Daniels, Rachaad White out, Terry McLaurin unlikely
The New York Times ·
-
ADP UPDATE
Rachaad White's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 127.9 to 135.6 over the last 7 days.
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Rachaad White by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 6 completed games Rachaad White has averaged +2.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ PHI | 4.6 | 2.7 | -1.9 |
| Wk 2 | @ DAL | 3.4 | 8.3 | +4.9 |
| Wk 3 | vs SEA | 6.0 | 10.1 | +4.1 |
| Wk 4 | vs IND | 6.1 | Pending | — |
| Wk 5 | vs NYG | 6.3 | 2.0 | -4.3 |
| Wk 6 | @ SF | 5.3 | 11.7 | +6.4 |
| Wk 8 | vs PHI | 8.0 | 12.0 | +4.0 |
| Wk 9 | vs LAR | 7.9 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB42. For the rest of the season LMD has him 9 spots higher, at RB33.
Preseason market: RB42 · ADP 136.8
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB33 +9
LMD has him 9 spots higher than his RB42 draft price.
Week 9
RB32 +10
LMD has him 10 spots higher than his RB42 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB42 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 75.4 points this season, RB33. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 22% of simulated seasons. That is 7.9 a game over 9.914 remaining games. Down 2 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
7.9 / game
Over 9.914 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 22%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Rachaad White #117 in 1QB and #123 in Superflex, RB37 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#117
RB37 · tier 26 · of 300
Superflex
#123
RB37 · tier 21 · of 307
- Last season 123.0 pts 7.2 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 96% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 13.2 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
12.01
pick 132.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
11.10
half of simulations take him by pick 130
Draft range
10.05 - 14.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,727 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 11.10 in 53% of simulations
Pick 130 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 12.03, where he is available in 39% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 11.10 53% · 12.03 39% · 13.10 15% · 14.03 14% · 15.10 4%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.12 and 12.07.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 11.08 | 58% |
| 11.09 | 56% |
| 11.10 | 53% |
| 11.11 | 50% |
| 11.12 | 47% |
| 12.01 | 44% |
| 12.02 | 41% |
| 12.03 | 39% |
| 12.04 | 36% |
| 12.05 | 33% |
| 12.06 | 31% |
| 12.07 | 28% |
| 12.08 | 26% |
| 12.09 | 24% |
| 12.10 | 22% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 10.05-10.07 | 6% | 591 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.10 | 6% | 611 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-11.01 | 7% | 661 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.04 | 7% | 706 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.07 | 8% | 764 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.10 | 8% | 827 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-12.01 | 9% | 877 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.04 | 8% | 788 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.07 | 7% | 730 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.10 | 6% | 636 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11-13.01 | 4% | 392 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.04 | <1% | 12 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.05-13.07 | <1% | 17 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.10 | <1% | 26 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.11-14.01 | <1% | 61 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.04 | <1% | 86 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.05-14.07 | <1% | 89 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | <1% | 60 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9727 simulations in which Rachaad White was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 2%
- Dalton Schultz TE · HOU 2%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
Usually taken just after
- Kenny Gainwell RB · TB 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
- Tyler Shough QB · NO 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Rachaad White was selected in 9727 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
