CHI · Bye 10
Kyle Monangai
LMD RB Tier 5 for Week 9 · 9.9 projected Standard points · RB25 rest of season
Questionable
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 9.9 points this week, RB Tier 5. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 2.3 - 20.5 points. Top 3: 7% · Top 12: 25% · Top 24: 44% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable.
Week 9
RB Tier 5
9.0 - 10.2 projected points
Rest of season
RB25
39th by projected points
Projected
9.9
week 9, Standard
Top 12
25%
Top 3: 7% · Top 24: 44% at RB
Movement
↑ 4
RB27 in Week 8, RB23 now
Should you start Kyle Monangai in Week 9?
Start
Yes in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Kyle Monangai RB23 for Week 9, inside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 44% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Strong negative-2.18 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Strong positive+2.45 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Unavailable
- Betting markets
- No signal · Upstream unavailable
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Bears TE Colston Loveland active for MNF, RB Kyle Monangai out again
lufkindailynews.com ·
-
Colston Loveland good to go, Kyle Monangai ruled out in Bears’ latest Week 8 injury report
clutchpoints.com ·
-
Colston Loveland, Kyle Monangai & More Injury Updates From Bears' Final Practice Report
Sports Illustrated ·
-
STATUS
Kyle Monangai was ruled Out.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
Bears Wednesday Injury Report: Bad News For Kyle Monangai, Caleb Williams Progresses
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Kyle Monangai by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 4 completed games Kyle Monangai has averaged +7.5 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ CAR | 4.4 | 18.4 | +14.0 |
| Wk 2 | vs MIN | 5.9 | 5.8 | -0.1 |
| Wk 3 | vs PHI | 7.4 | 3.1 | -4.3 |
| Wk 4 | vs NYJ | 6.6 | 27.0 | +20.4 |
| Wk 5 | @ GB | 9.5 | Pending | — |
| Wk 6 | @ ATL | 10.1 | Pending | — |
| Wk 7 | vs NE | 9.8 | Pending | — |
| Wk 8 | @ SEA | 9.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 9 | vs TB | 9.9 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB36. For the rest of the season LMD has him 11 spots higher, at RB25.
Preseason market: RB36 · ADP 98.8
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB25 +11
LMD has him 11 spots higher than his RB36 draft price.
Week 9
RB23 +13
LMD has him 13 spots higher than his RB36 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB36 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 88.2 points this season, RB25. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 47% of simulated seasons. That is 9.9 a game over 9 remaining games. Listed questionable.
Per game
9.9 / game
Over 9 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 47%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Kyle Monangai #74 in 1QB and #79 in Superflex, RB25 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#74
RB25 · tier 19 · of 300
Superflex
#79
RB25 · tier 15 · of 307
- Last season 137.7 pts 8.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 100% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 11.7 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 6% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
7.03
pick 75.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
7.03
half of simulations take him by pick 75
Draft range
5.10 - 8.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 7.03 in 51% of simulations
Pick 75 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 3, the same seat picks again at 8.10, where he is available in 8% of simulations.
Slot 3's remaining turns: 7.03 51% · 8.10 8% · 9.03 4% · 10.10 <1% · 11.03 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 6.05 and 8.01.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 7.01 | 56% |
| 7.02 | 53% |
| 7.03 | 51% |
| 7.04 | 49% |
| 7.05 | 46% |
| 7.06 | 44% |
| 7.07 | 41% |
| 7.08 | 39% |
| 7.09 | 36% |
| 7.10 | 33% |
| 7.11 | 30% |
| 7.12 | 28% |
| 8.01 | 25% |
| 8.02 | 23% |
| 8.03 | 20% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 5.10-5.11 | 4% | 397 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12-6.01 | 5% | 451 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02-6.03 | 5% | 490 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04-6.05 | 5% | 494 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06-6.07 | 5% | 521 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08-6.09 | 5% | 512 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10-6.11 | 5% | 475 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12-7.01 | 5% | 526 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.02-7.03 | 4% | 448 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.04-7.05 | 5% | 499 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.06-7.07 | 5% | 511 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.08-7.09 | 5% | 539 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.10-7.11 | 5% | 539 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.12-8.01 | 5% | 489 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.02-8.03 | 5% | 480 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04-8.05 | 4% | 388 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.06-8.07 | 3% | 332 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.08 | 1% | 149 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Kyle Monangai was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3%
- Tony Pollard RB · TEN 3%
- Jadarian Price RB · SEA 3%
- Jalen Hurts QB · PHI 3%
Usually taken just after
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3%
- Tyler Warren TE · IND 3%
- Tony Pollard RB · TEN 2%
- Jadarian Price RB · SEA 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Kyle Monangai was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.