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Shedeur Sanders

Shedeur Sanders comes off the board at 15.02 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty mock drafts, with a median of 15.03.

12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Shedeur Sanders, Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 @ JAX 5.1 Pending —
Wk 2 @ TB 8.6 Pending —
Wk 3 vs CAR 14.2 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Shedeur Sanders #183 in 1QB and #167 in Superflex, QB35 at his position. Age 24.

1QB

#183

QB35 · tier 41 · of 297

Superflex

#167

QB35 · tier 31 · of 303

  • Last season 84.9 pts 10.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 47% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Attempts 26.5 / game Pass attempts per game, the opportunity the projection is built on.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty QB rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

15.02

pick 170.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

15.03

half of simulations take him by pick 171

Draft range

14.06 - 15.10

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 3,399 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Half PPR
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Dynasty

Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Shedeur Sanders.

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.03 in 83% of simulations

Pick 171 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 14.09 and 15.07.

Shedeur Sanders still on the board
PickAvailable
15.01 86%
15.02 85%
15.03 83%
15.04 81%
15.05 80%
15.06 78%
15.07 76%
15.08 74%
15.09 72%
15.10 71%
15.11 69%
15.12 68%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Shedeur Sanders was selected at each pick, 14.06 through 15.10. He goes earlier than this window in 3%, later in 3%, undrafted in 66%.
Draft position distribution for Shedeur Sanders
PickShare of simulationsCount
14.062%168 of 10000 simulations
14.072%166 of 10000 simulations
14.081%131 of 10000 simulations
14.092%156 of 10000 simulations
14.102%151 of 10000 simulations
14.112%153 of 10000 simulations
14.122%173 of 10000 simulations
15.012%156 of 10000 simulations
15.022%172 of 10000 simulations
15.032%169 of 10000 simulations
15.042%164 of 10000 simulations
15.052%201 of 10000 simulations
15.062%165 of 10000 simulations
15.072%199 of 10000 simulations
15.082%176 of 10000 simulations
15.092%154 of 10000 simulations
15.102%160 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 3399 simulations in which Shedeur Sanders was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Shedeur Sanders was selected in 3399 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
rank

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Mock a 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.