LV · Bye 13
Brock Bowers
LMD TE12 rest of season · 85.6 projected Standard points
Out this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 85.6 points this season, TE12. Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 47% · Top 24: 87% of simulated seasons. That is 6.7 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Down 10 since the Sept. 20 board.
Rest of season
TE12
115th by projected points
Projected
85.6
rest of season, Standard
Top 12
47%
Top 3: 6% · Top 24: 87% at TE
Movement
↓ 10
TE2 on Sept. 20, TE12 now
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Brock Bowers to practice this week as unbeaten Raiders prepare for Saints
reviewjournal.com ·
-
The Raiders Just Got the Brock Bowers News They Needed
yardbarker.com ·
-
Brock Bowers set to take part in practice
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Raiders TE Brock Bowers will return to practice Week 3
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Raiders star tight end Brock Bowers ruled out against Chargers
nypost.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Brock Bowers by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs MIA | 8.3 | Pending | — |
| Wk 2 | @ LAC | 8.2 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at TE1. For the rest of the season LMD has him 11 spots lower, at TE12.
Preseason market: TE1 · ADP 47.7
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
TE12 −11
LMD has him 11 spots lower than his TE1 draft price.
This week
Not ranked this week — a bye or a ruling out takes a player off the weekly board rather than ranking him last.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
TE1 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 85.6 points this season, TE12. Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 47% · Top 24: 87% of simulated seasons. That is 6.7 a game over 14 remaining games. Ruled out this week, so this projection is for the games after it. Down 10 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
6.7 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 47% · Top 24: 87%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Brock Bowers #30 in 1QB and #37 in Superflex, TE2 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#30
TE2 · tier 11 · of 297
Superflex
#37
TE2 · tier 9 · of 303
- Last season 144.2 pts 12.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 82% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 8.1 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 24% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
4.11
pick 47.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
5.01
half of simulations take him by pick 49
Draft range
4.01 - 5.07
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.01 in 52% of simulations
Pick 49 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 6.12, where he is available in 0% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 5.01 52% · 6.12 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 4.07 and 5.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.11 | 62% |
| 4.12 | 57% |
| 5.01 | 52% |
| 5.02 | 44% |
| 5.03 | 36% |
| 5.04 | 29% |
| 5.05 | 23% |
| 5.06 | 17% |
| 5.07 | 13% |
| 5.08 | 9% |
| 5.09 | 6% |
| 5.10 | 4% |
| 5.11 | 3% |
| 5.12 | 2% |
| 6.01 | 1% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 4.01 | 2% | 199 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02 | 2% | 203 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03 | 2% | 232 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04 | 2% | 249 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05 | 3% | 264 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06 | 3% | 297 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 4% | 353 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 4% | 353 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 4% | 359 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 4% | 430 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11 | 5% | 493 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12 | 5% | 534 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01 | 8% | 782 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02 | 8% | 805 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03 | 7% | 727 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04 | 6% | 602 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05 | 6% | 550 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06 | 4% | 442 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 4% | 376 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Brock Bowers was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Drake Maye QB · NE 5%
- Trey McBride TE · ARI 5%
- Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN 5%
- Bucky Irving RB · TB 4%
Usually taken just after
- Trey McBride TE · ARI 6%
- Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN 4%
- Drake Maye QB · NE 4%
- Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 4%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Brock Bowers was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.