JAX · Bye 7
Bhayshul Tuten
LMD RB Tier 6 for Week 9 · 8.8 projected Standard points · RB10 rest of season
Questionable · projection includes a 71% chance of playing
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 8.8 points this week, RB Tier 6. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 0.0 - 20.8 points. Top 3: 7% · Top 12: 25% · Top 24: 41% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable (Ankle, Foot). The projection and the Top 3, 12 and 24 odds include a 71% chance he plays; the weeks he sits count as zero.
Week 9
RB Tier 6
7.5 - 8.8 projected points
Rest of season
RB10
11th by projected points
Projected
8.8
week 9, Standard
Top 12
25%
Top 3: 7% · Top 24: 41% at RB
Movement
↓ 12
RB15 in Week 8, RB27 now
Should you start Bhayshul Tuten in Week 9?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Bhayshul Tuten RB27 for Week 9, just outside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 41% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
RB27 vs RB18 -9
LMD has him RB27. The fantasy draft market has him RB18, 9 places higher.
Our projection is lower than the outside forecast and sportsbooks pricing him below our baseline.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral+0.10 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No mean changeNarrower range+0.05 pts
- AvailabilityQuestionable
- Strong negative-3.62 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.15 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight negative-0.15 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Why Jaguars Stopped Using Bhayshul Tuten After Injury Status On TNF
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Bhayshul Tuten Net Worth In 2026: How A Fourth-Round Rookie Deal Shapes His Early Earnings
sports.ndtv.com ·
-
Is Bhayshul Tuten playing on TNF? A look at the Jaguars RB's status against Ravens
CBS Sports ·
-
Experts update Jaguars vs. Ravens predictions after Bhayshul Tuten injury news, Jacoby Brissett trade
silive.com ·
-
Jaguars’ Week 9 injury report vs. Ravens: Bhayshul Tuten designation makes for tricky fantasy decision
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Bhayshul Tuten by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 7 completed games Bhayshul Tuten has averaged +5.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs CLE | 7.2 | 8.8 | +1.6 |
| Wk 2 | @ DEN | 6.8 | 12.2 | +5.4 |
| Wk 3 | vs NE | 9.4 | 15.0 | +5.6 |
| Wk 4 | @ CIN | 9.9 | 9.1 | -0.8 |
| Wk 5 | vs PHI | 10.8 | 9.6 | -1.2 |
| Wk 6 | vs HOU | 11.2 | 20.7 | +9.5 |
| Wk 8 | vs IND | 11.4 | 27.9 | +16.5 |
| Wk 9 | @ BAL | 8.8 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB22. For the rest of the season LMD has him 12 spots higher, at RB10.
Preseason market: RB22 · ADP 49.1
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB10 +12
LMD has him 12 spots higher than his RB22 draft price.
Week 9
RB27 −5
LMD has him 5 spots lower than his RB22 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB22 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 118.2 points this season, RB10. Top 3: 7% · Top 12: 51% · Top 24: 90% of simulated seasons. That is 12.7 a game over 9.728 remaining games. Listed questionable (Ankle, Foot). The projection and the Top 3, 12 and 24 odds include a 71% chance he plays; the weeks he sits count as zero. Up 1 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
12.7 / game
Over 9.728 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 7% · Top 12: 51% · Top 24: 90%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Bhayshul Tuten #145 in 1QB and #147 in Superflex, RB41 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#145
RB41 · tier 32 · of 300
Superflex
#147
RB41 · tier 26 · of 307
- Last season 83.6 pts 5.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 88% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 6.5 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 3% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
5.10
pick 57.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
5.10
half of simulations take him by pick 58
Draft range
4.11 - 6.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.10 in 55% of simulations
Pick 58 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 6.03, where he is available in 28% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 5.10 55% · 6.03 28% · 7.10 <1% · 8.03 <1% · 9.10 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 5.05 and 6.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 5.08 | 65% |
| 5.09 | 60% |
| 5.10 | 55% |
| 5.11 | 50% |
| 5.12 | 45% |
| 6.01 | 39% |
| 6.02 | 34% |
| 6.03 | 28% |
| 6.04 | 24% |
| 6.05 | 20% |
| 6.06 | 16% |
| 6.07 | 13% |
| 6.08 | 11% |
| 6.09 | 8% |
| 6.10 | 7% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 4.11 | 1% | 134 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12 | 1% | 144 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01 | 2% | 219 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02 | 2% | 209 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03 | 3% | 276 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04 | 3% | 326 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05 | 4% | 363 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06 | 4% | 411 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 4% | 449 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08 | 5% | 462 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09 | 5% | 548 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10 | 5% | 502 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.11 | 5% | 537 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12 | 6% | 578 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.01 | 5% | 513 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02 | 6% | 560 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.03 | 4% | 438 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04 | 4% | 394 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.05 | 3% | 335 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06 | 3% | 308 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.07 | 3% | 260 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Bhayshul Tuten was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- David Montgomery RB · HOU 4%
- Trey McBride TE · ARI 4%
- Joe Burrow QB · CIN 4%
- Quinshon Judkins RB · CLE 4%
Usually taken just after
- TreVeyon Henderson RB · NE 4%
- Joe Burrow QB · CIN 4%
- David Montgomery RB · HOU 3%
- Luther Burden III WR · CHI 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Bhayshul Tuten was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.