LAR · Bye 11
Blake Corum
LMD RB Tier 6 for Week 9 · 8.5 projected Standard points · RB32 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 8.5 points this week, RB Tier 6. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 2.9 - 16.5 points. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 39% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
RB Tier 6
7.5 - 8.8 projected points
Rest of season
RB32
57th by projected points
Projected
8.5
week 9, Standard
Top 12
17%
Top 3: 3% · Top 24: 39% at RB
Movement
↑ 2
RB30 in Week 8, RB28 now
Should you start Blake Corum in Week 9?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Blake Corum RB28 for Week 9, just outside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 39% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight positive+0.34 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral+0.03 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight positive+0.16 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Blake Corum offers intriguing Chargers verdict after Jim Harbaugh reunion
themirror.com ·
-
Blake Corum makes 'stay steady admission' as Rams turn inconsistent season around
themirror.com ·
-
10 Takeaways From Rams' Win Over Chargers: Blake Corum Shines, WR3 Concerns Grow
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Blake Corum makes the most of his carries in Week 8 win
USA TODAY ·
-
Kyren Williams, Blake Corum balance the Rams' offense. Can Sean McVay unlock their potential?
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Blake Corum by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 8 completed games Blake Corum has averaged +2.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs SF | 5.0 | 5.4 | +0.4 |
| Wk 2 | vs NYG | 4.1 | 9.2 | +5.1 |
| Wk 3 | @ DEN | 7.3 | 1.5 | -5.8 |
| Wk 4 | @ PHI | 6.5 | 2.1 | -4.4 |
| Wk 5 | vs BUF | 6.2 | 13.2 | +7.0 |
| Wk 6 | vs ARI | 6.6 | 12.0 | +5.4 |
| Wk 7 | @ LV | 7.0 | 16.1 | +9.1 |
| Wk 8 | vs LAC | 8.0 | 13.3 | +5.3 |
| Wk 9 | @ WAS | 8.5 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB37. For the rest of the season LMD has him 5 spots higher, at RB32.
Preseason market: RB37 · ADP 105.6
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB32 +5
LMD has him 5 spots higher than his RB37 draft price.
Week 9
RB28 +9
LMD has him 9 spots higher than his RB37 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB37 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 76.1 points this season, RB32. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 24% of simulated seasons. That is 8.4 a game over 9 remaining games.
Per game
8.4 / game
Over 9 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 24%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Blake Corum #154 in 1QB and #155 in Superflex, RB45 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#154
RB45 · tier 34 · of 300
Superflex
#155
RB45 · tier 28 · of 307
- Last season 118.2 pts 7.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 96% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.5 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 2% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
9.10
pick 106.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
9.10
half of simulations take him by pick 106
Draft range
8.06 - 11.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 9.10 in 50% of simulations
Pick 106 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 10.03, where he is available in 35% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 9.10 50% · 10.03 35% · 11.10 3% · 12.03 1% · 13.10 <1% · 14.03 <1% · 15.10 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.01 and 10.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 9.08 | 56% |
| 9.09 | 53% |
| 9.10 | 50% |
| 9.11 | 47% |
| 9.12 | 44% |
| 10.01 | 41% |
| 10.02 | 38% |
| 10.03 | 35% |
| 10.04 | 32% |
| 10.05 | 30% |
| 10.06 | 27% |
| 10.07 | 24% |
| 10.08 | 22% |
| 10.09 | 20% |
| 10.10 | 17% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.06-8.07 | 5% | 488 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.08-8.09 | 5% | 484 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.10-8.11 | 4% | 447 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.12-9.01 | 5% | 498 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 5% | 546 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 5% | 533 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 6% | 607 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 6% | 599 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 6% | 636 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 6% | 598 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 6% | 586 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 5% | 504 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 5% | 494 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 5% | 455 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 3% | 328 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 3% | 302 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02 | 1% | 143 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Blake Corum was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 3%
- Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 2%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%
- Hunter Henry TE · NE 2%
Usually taken just after
- Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 3%
- George Kittle TE · SF 2%
- Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 2%
- James Conner RB · ARI 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Blake Corum was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.