CAR · Bye 5
Jalen Coker
LMD WR14 for Week 3 · 8.3 projected Standard points · WR17 rest of season
Questionable
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 8.3 points this week, WR14. Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 20% · Top 24: 35% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable. Up 9 since Week 2.
Week 3
WR14
44th by projected points
Rest of season
WR17
48th by projected points
Projected
8.3
week 3, Standard
Top 12
20%
Top 3: 6% · Top 24: 35% at WR
Movement
↑ 9
WR23 in Week 2, WR14 now
- Draft / market prior
- Strong negative-2.58 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Positive+1.92 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral+0.04 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Eight receptions for Jalen Coker in Week 2
USA TODAY ·
-
Jalen Coker set to play in Week 2
USA TODAY ·
-
Undrafted wide receiver Jalen Coker is thriving in Carolina while first-round pick Legette struggles
infonews.ca ·
-
STATUS
Jalen Coker was listed as Questionable.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
Jalen Coker expects to be fine despite injury
USA TODAY ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jalen Coker by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Jalen Coker has averaged +11.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs CHI | 4.1 | 25.8 | +21.7 |
| Wk 2 | @ ATL | 6.0 | 6.6 | +0.6 |
| Wk 3 | @ CLE | 8.3 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR54. For the rest of the season LMD has him 37 spots higher, at WR17.
Preseason market: WR54 · ADP 116.5
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR17 +37
LMD has him 37 spots higher than his WR54 draft price.
Week 3
WR14 +40
LMD has him 40 spots higher than his WR54 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR54 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 121.7 points this season, WR17. Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 24% · Top 24: 57% of simulated seasons. That is 8.3 a game over 15 remaining games. Listed questionable. Up 5 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
8.3 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 24% · Top 24: 57%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jalen Coker #188 in 1QB and #191 in Superflex, WR79 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#188
WR79 · tier 42 · of 297
Superflex
#191
WR79 · tier 36 · of 303
- Last season 73.9 pts 6.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 65% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 4.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 15% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.07
pick 174.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.07
half of simulations take him by pick 175
Draft range
15.02 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 2,720 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.07 in 88% of simulations
Pick 175 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.04 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.05 | 93% |
| 15.06 | 90% |
| 15.07 | 88% |
| 15.08 | 85% |
| 15.09 | 83% |
| 15.10 | 80% |
| 15.11 | 78% |
| 15.12 | 75% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.02 | 1% | 109 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 188 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 225 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 232 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 264 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 262 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 252 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 255 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 256 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 2720 simulations in which Jalen Coker was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 3%
- Dylan Sampson RB · CLE 3%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 3%
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 3%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Alvin Kamara RB · NO 3%
- Isaiah Likely TE · NYG 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jalen Coker was selected in 2720 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.