CAR · Bye 5
Jalen Coker
LMD WR Tier 5 for Week 9 · 7.3 projected Standard points · WR23 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 7.3 points this week, WR Tier 5. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 2.2 - 14.7 points. Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 15% · Top 24: 30% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
WR Tier 5
7.1 - 7.5 projected points
Rest of season
WR23
61st by projected points
Projected
7.3
week 9, Standard
Top 12
15%
Top 3: 4% · Top 24: 30% at WR
Movement
↓ 12
WR16 in Week 8, WR28 now
Should you start Jalen Coker in Week 9?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Jalen Coker WR28 for Week 9, just outside the WR24 starter line. He finishes inside WR24 in 30% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral-0.04 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No mean changeNarrower range+0.02 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.14 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight negative-0.20 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Week 9 NFL Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em: Tetairoa McMillan vs. Jalen Coker
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Jalen Coker defends Bryce Young after one-touchdown performance in Panthers loss
yardbarker.com ·
-
Fantasy start-sit Week 8: Jalen Coker, Darren Waller, Tetairoa McMillan, Chuba Hubbard
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Week 8 TNF Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em: Jalen Coker vs. Matthew Golden
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Thursday Night Football fantasy: Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jalen Coker by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 6 completed games Jalen Coker has averaged +2.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs CHI | 4.1 | 25.8 | +21.7 |
| Wk 2 | @ ATL | 6.0 | 6.6 | +0.6 |
| Wk 3 | @ CLE | 6.1 | 1.8 | -4.3 |
| Wk 4 | vs DET | 7.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 6 | @ PHI | 8.0 | 9.7 | +1.7 |
| Wk 7 | vs TB | 9.1 | 0.9 | -8.2 |
| Wk 8 | @ GB | 8.2 | 9.6 | +1.4 |
| Wk 9 | vs DEN | 7.3 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR54. For the rest of the season LMD has him 31 spots higher, at WR23.
Preseason market: WR54 · ADP 116.5
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR23 +31
LMD has him 31 spots higher than his WR54 draft price.
Week 9
WR28 +26
LMD has him 26 spots higher than his WR54 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR54 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 72.1 points this season, WR23. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 41% of simulated seasons. That is 7.3 a game over 10.004 remaining games.
Per game
7.3 / game
Over 10.004 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 41%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jalen Coker #188 in 1QB and #191 in Superflex, WR79 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#188
WR79 · tier 42 · of 300
Superflex
#191
WR79 · tier 36 · of 307
- Last season 73.9 pts 6.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 65% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 4.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 15% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.07
pick 174.7 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.07
half of simulations take him by pick 175
Draft range
15.02 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 2,738 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.07 in 88% of simulations
Pick 175 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.04 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.05 | 93% |
| 15.06 | 90% |
| 15.07 | 88% |
| 15.08 | 85% |
| 15.09 | 83% |
| 15.10 | 80% |
| 15.11 | 78% |
| 15.12 | 75% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.02 | 1% | 149 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 188 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 221 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 251 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 244 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 263 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 242 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 247 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 234 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 249 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 2738 simulations in which Jalen Coker was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 3%
- Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF 3%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 3%
- Alvin Kamara RB · NO 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jauan Jennings WR · MIN 3%
- Mike Washington Jr. RB · LV 3%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 3%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jalen Coker was selected in 2738 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.