SEA · Bye 11
Rashid Shaheed
LMD WR53 for Week 3 · 5.7 projected Standard points · WR69 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 5.7 points this week, WR53. Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 19% of simulated weeks. Up 22 since Week 2.
Week 3
WR53
106th by projected points
Rest of season
WR69
128th by projected points
Projected
5.7
week 3, Standard
Top 12
9%
Top 3: 2% · Top 24: 19% at WR
Movement
↑ 22
WR75 in Week 2, WR53 now
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.12 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.72 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.43 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
ADP UPDATE
Rashid Shaheed's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 118.5 to 122.6 over the last 7 days.
-
New Seahawks Rumors on JSN, Jadarian Price, Rashid Shaheed and Fantasy Implications vs. Patriots
Bleacher Report ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Rashid Shaheed by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Rashid Shaheed has averaged -1.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs NE | 4.0 | 0.4 | -3.6 |
| Wk 2 | @ ARI | 2.7 | 3.9 | +1.2 |
| Wk 3 | @ WAS | 5.7 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR50. For the rest of the season LMD has him 19 spots lower, at WR69.
Preseason market: WR50 · ADP 105.9
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR69 −19
LMD has him 19 spots lower than his WR50 draft price.
Week 3
WR53 −3
LMD has him 3 spots lower than his WR50 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR50 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 79.1 points this season, WR69. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 3% of simulated seasons. That is 5.7 a game over 15 remaining games. Up 16 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
5.7 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 3%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Rashid Shaheed #173 in 1QB and #180 in Superflex, WR74 at his position. Age 28.
1QB
#173
WR74 · tier 39 · of 297
Superflex
#180
WR74 · tier 33 · of 303
- Last season 115.1 pts 6.4 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 81% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 6.2 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 18% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
11.04
pick 123.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
11.03
half of simulations take him by pick 123
Draft range
9.03 - 12.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,756 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 11.03 in 53% of simulations
Pick 123 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 3, the same seat picks again at 12.10, where he is available in 14% of simulations.
Slot 3's remaining turns: 11.03 53% · 12.10 14% · 13.03 10% · 14.10 8% · 15.03 6%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.02 and 12.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 11.01 | 58% |
| 11.02 | 55% |
| 11.03 | 53% |
| 11.04 | 51% |
| 11.05 | 49% |
| 11.06 | 47% |
| 11.07 | 45% |
| 11.08 | 42% |
| 11.09 | 40% |
| 11.10 | 38% |
| 11.11 | 36% |
| 11.12 | 34% |
| 12.01 | 32% |
| 12.02 | 30% |
| 12.03 | 28% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 9.03-9.04 | 2% | 231 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 2% | 217 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 2% | 230 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 3% | 254 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 3% | 300 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 3% | 317 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 3% | 336 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 4% | 364 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 3% | 346 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 4% | 415 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.01-11.02 | 4% | 439 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.03-11.04 | 4% | 430 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.06 | 4% | 410 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.07-11.08 | 5% | 471 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.10 | 4% | 422 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11-11.12 | 4% | 413 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.02 | 4% | 424 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.03-12.04 | 4% | 417 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.05-12.06 | 4% | 384 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.07-12.08 | 4% | 367 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.09-12.10 | 3% | 320 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.11 | 1% | 136 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9756 simulations in which Rashid Shaheed was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Dalton Schultz TE · HOU 2%
- Aaron Jones RB · MIN 2%
- KC Concepcion WR · CLE 2%
- Josh Downs WR · IND 2%
Usually taken just after
- Rachaad White RB · WAS 2%
- KC Concepcion WR · CLE 2%
- James Conner RB · ARI 2%
- Juwan Johnson TE · NO 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Rashid Shaheed was selected in 9756 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
