JAX · Bye 7
Jakobi Meyers
LMD WR Tier 7 for Week 9 · 5.9 projected Standard points · WR53 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 5.9 points this week, WR Tier 7. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.7 - 12.1 points. Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 10% · Top 24: 23% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
WR Tier 7
5.3 - 6.1 projected points
Rest of season
WR53
115th by projected points
Projected
5.9
week 9, Standard
Top 12
10%
Top 3: 2% · Top 24: 23% at WR
Movement
↓ 10
WR36 in Week 8, WR46 now
Should you start Jakobi Meyers in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Jakobi Meyers WR46 for Week 9, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 23% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
WR46 vs WR41 -5
LMD has him WR46. The fantasy draft market has him WR41, 5 places higher.
Our projection is lower than the outside forecast.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral-0.01 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight negative-0.18 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.45 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.06 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Fantasy Football Week 9 Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em: Jakobi Meyers vs. Brian Thomas Jr.
Sports Illustrated ·
-
STATUS
Jakobi Meyers is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
Brian Thomas Jr. credits Jakobi Meyers for ‘big brother’ role
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Revisiting the Jakobi Meyers trade: How Jacksonville's low-cost gem boosted Trevor Lawrence
CBS Sports ·
-
Are Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers playing today vs Eagles? Slow start frustrates fantasy managers
hindustantimes.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Jakobi Meyers by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 7 completed games Jakobi Meyers has averaged +1.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs CLE | 4.3 | 10.2 | +5.9 |
| Wk 2 | @ DEN | 4.0 | 2.8 | -1.2 |
| Wk 3 | vs NE | 5.1 | 12.4 | +7.3 |
| Wk 4 | @ CIN | 5.9 | 3.3 | -2.6 |
| Wk 5 | vs PHI | 5.7 | 3.7 | -2.0 |
| Wk 6 | vs HOU | 5.2 | 8.3 | +3.1 |
| Wk 8 | vs IND | 4.1 | 2.4 | -1.7 |
| Wk 9 | @ BAL | 5.9 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 53.5 points this season, WR53. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 8% of simulated seasons. That is 5.7 a game over 9.942 remaining games. Up 2 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
5.7 / game
Over 9.942 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 8%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
broad
Broad market coverage across several venues and markets.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Jakobi Meyers #123 in 1QB and #129 in Superflex, WR52 at his position. Age 29.
1QB
#123
WR52 · tier 28 · of 300
Superflex
#129
WR52 · tier 23 · of 307
- Last season 138.3 pts 8.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 92% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 23% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
9.03
pick 98.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
9.01
half of simulations take him by pick 97
Draft range
7.09 - 10.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 9.01 in 53% of simulations
Pick 97 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 10.12, where he is available in 8% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 9.01 53% · 10.12 8% · 11.01 7% · 12.12 <1% · 13.01 <1% · 14.12 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 8.04 and 10.01.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 8.11 | 58% |
| 8.12 | 55% |
| 9.01 | 53% |
| 9.02 | 50% |
| 9.03 | 47% |
| 9.04 | 44% |
| 9.05 | 42% |
| 9.06 | 40% |
| 9.07 | 37% |
| 9.08 | 35% |
| 9.09 | 33% |
| 9.10 | 30% |
| 9.11 | 29% |
| 9.12 | 27% |
| 10.01 | 25% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 7.09-7.10 | 4% | 401 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.11-7.12 | 4% | 385 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.01-8.02 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.03-8.04 | 5% | 456 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.05-8.06 | 5% | 471 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.07-8.08 | 6% | 555 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.09-8.10 | 5% | 513 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.11-8.12 | 5% | 541 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 6% | 581 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 5% | 515 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 5% | 477 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 4% | 425 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 4% | 409 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 4% | 351 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 4% | 390 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 4% | 361 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 3% | 302 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 3% | 303 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 2% | 213 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Jakobi Meyers was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Michael Pittman Jr. WR · PIT 2%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%
- J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN 2%
- Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX 2%
Usually taken just after
- Oronde Gadsden II TE · LAC 2%
- Jordan Addison WR · MIN 2%
- Brian Robinson Jr. RB · ATL 2%
- Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Jakobi Meyers was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.