NFL · 2026 Week 3
2026 Week 3 Half PPR FLEX Rankings
Final pre-kickoff board · published September 24, 2026, 22:49 UTC · first kickoff September 25, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Half PPR, 1QB · 368 players projected · updated September 24, 2026
See how these rankings performed
Sportsbook prices reached 45 of 145 fantasy-relevant players (31%), so the market half of this board is thinner than a full week's.
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 3 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
FLEX combines RB, WR, TE — the positions a flex seat can start — into one ranking. Quarterbacks are not eligible and are not on it.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we rank every flex-eligible player against the others and record where each one finishes.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at RB, WR, TE combined
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished among the top 12 RB/WR/TE in 58% of the simulated weeks.
What stood out in Week 3
368 FLEX-eligible players ranked for Week 3. Jahmyr Gibbs leads at 19.7 projected points.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Ahead
- Dalton SchultzTE2Our projection is higher than the outside forecast +17 vs. TE19
Behind
- Ja'Marr ChaseWR6Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 26% -5 vs. WR1
- Saquon BarkleyRB14Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 4% · Top 12: 15% · Top 24: 26% -5 vs. RB9
- Justin JeffersonWR11Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 11% · Top 24: 23% -5 vs. WR6
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj | Outcome profile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB | Jahmyr GibbsDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 46%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 54% |
RB1 | 19.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 46%. |
| 2 | RB | Kenneth Walker IIIKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 53% |
RB2 | 19.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%. |
| 3 | RB | Jonathan TaylorIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 48%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 52% |
RB3 | 19.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 48%. |
| 4 | RB | Derrick HenryBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 54%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 46% |
RB4 | 17.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 54%. |
| 5 | RB | Bijan RobinsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 52%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 48% |
RB5 | 17.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 52%. |
| 6 | WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 59%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 41% |
WR1 | 16.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 59%. |
| 7 | RB | James CookBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 58%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 42% |
RB6 | 16.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 58%. |
| 8 | RB | Christian McCaffreySF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 59%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 41% |
RB7 | 16.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 59%. |
| 9 | RB | Ashton JeantyLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 60%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 40% |
RB8 | 16.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 60%. |
| 10 | WR | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 60%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 40% |
WR2 | 15.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 60%. |
| 11 | RB | De'Von AchaneMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 62%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 38% |
RB9 | 15.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 62%. |
| 12 | WR | Chris OlaveNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 66%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 34% |
WR3 | 14.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 66%. |
| 13 | RB | Chase BrownCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 65%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 35% |
RB10 | 14.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 65%. |
| 14 | RB | Breece HallNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 71%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 29% |
RB11 | 13.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 71%. |
| 15 | WR | CeeDee LambDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 28% |
WR4 | 13.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 72%. |
| 16 | RB | D'Andre SwiftCHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 28% |
RB12 | 13.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 72%. |
| 17 | WR | Davante AdamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 73%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 27% |
WR5 | 12.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 73%. |
| 18 | TE | Trey McBrideARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 73%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 27% |
TE1 | 12.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 73%. |
| 19 | WR | Ja'Marr ChaseCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 74%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 26% |
WR6 | 12.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 74%. |
| 20 | WR | Zay FlowersBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 75%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 25% |
WR7 | 12.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 75%. |
| 21 | RB | Bucky IrvingTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
RB13 | 12.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. |
| 22 | RB | Saquon BarkleyPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 74%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 26% |
RB14 | 12.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 74%. |
| 23 | RB | Omarion HamptonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 75%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 25% |
RB15 | 12.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 75%. |
| 24 | RB | Javonte WilliamsDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 74%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 26% |
RB16 | 12.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 74%. |
| 25 | WR | Puka NacuaLARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 24% |
WR8 | 12.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 76%. |
| 26 | WR | DeVonta SmithPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 75%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 25% |
WR9 | 12.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 75%. |
| 27 | WR | Christian WatsonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 24% |
WR10 | 11.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 76%. |
| 28 | WR | Justin JeffersonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 23% |
WR11 | 11.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 77%. |
| 29 | WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 22% |
WR12 | 11.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. |
| 30 | RB | Cam SkatteboNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 23% |
RB17 | 11.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. |
| 31 | WR | Jalen CokerCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 22% |
WR13 | 11.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 78%. |
| 32 | RB | Kyren WilliamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 21% |
RB18 | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%. |
| 33 | WR | Nico CollinsHOUQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 22% |
WR14 | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 78%. |
| 34 | WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21% |
WR15 | 11.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%. |
| 35 | WR | Drake LondonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
WR16 | 11.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. |
| 36 | WR | Parker WashingtonJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 20% |
WR17 | 11.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%. |
| 37 | RB | Jeremiyah LoveARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 20% |
RB19 | 11.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%. |
| 38 | TE | Dalton SchultzHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 19% |
TE2 | 10.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 81%. |
| 39 | RB | Chuba HubbardCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 19% |
RB20 | 10.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. |
| 40 | RB | Travis EtienneNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 19% |
RB21 | 10.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 81%. |
| 41 | RB | David MontgomeryHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% |
RB22 | 10.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| 42 | TE | Brock BowersLVQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 20% |
TE3 | 10.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 80%. |
| 43 | TE | Travis KelceKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% |
TE4 | 10.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| 44 | RB | Jaylen WarrenPITQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
RB23 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 81%. |
| 45 | TE | Dalton KincaidBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 18% |
TE5 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| 46 | RB | Bhayshul TutenJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18% |
RB24 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. |
| 47 | RB | Quinshon JudkinsCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 17% |
RB25 | 10.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. |
| 48 | WR | Tee HigginsCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17% |
WR18 | 10.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. |
| 49 | WR | George PickensDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 17% |
WR19 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. |
| 50 | TE | Sam LaPortaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 17% |
TE6 | 10.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 83%. |
| 51 | WR | Jaylen WaddleDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR20 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| 52 | WR | Stefon DiggsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 15% |
WR21 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. |
| 53 | RB | Aaron JonesMINQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 16% |
RB26 | 9.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| 54 | WR | Malik NabersNYGQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
WR22 | 9.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| 55 | TE | Isaiah LikelyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
TE7 | 9.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| 56 | WR | Devaughn VeleNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 15% |
WR23 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 85%. |
| 57 | WR | Matthew GoldenGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14% |
WR24 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| 58 | WR | Rashee RiceKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14% |
WR25 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| 59 | RB | TreVeyon HendersonNEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
RB27 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. |
| 60 | WR | Emeka EgbukaTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 14% |
WR26 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| 61 | RB | Jadarian PriceSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
RB28 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. |
| 62 | RB | Rhamondre StevensonNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
RB29 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. |
| 63 | WR | Ladd McConkeyLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 14% |
WR27 | 9.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| 64 | WR | DK MetcalfPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% |
WR28 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. |
| 65 | WR | Mike EvansSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 14% |
WR29 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| 66 | TE | Tyler WarrenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
TE8 | 9.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. |
| 67 | TE | George KittleSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 14% |
TE9 | 8.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 86%. |
| 68 | WR | Denzel BostonCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR30 | 8.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| 69 | WR | Terry McLaurinWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR31 | 8.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| 70 | WR | Luther Burden IIICHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR32 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| 71 | WR | Adonai MitchellNYJQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 12% |
WR33 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| 72 | WR | Carnell TateTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR34 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| 73 | WR | Jameson WilliamsDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR35 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. |
| 74 | WR | DJ MooreBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 12% |
WR36 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| 75 | RB | Tony PollardTENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 12% |
RB30 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| 76 | WR | Tre TuckerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR37 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. |
| 77 | WR | Deebo Samuel Sr.SF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR38 | 8.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. |
| 78 | WR | Michael PittmanPITQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 13% |
WR39 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 87%. |
| 79 | WR | Dontayvion WicksPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR40 | 8.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| 80 | WR | KC ConcepcionCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR41 | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. |
| 81 | WR | Josh DownsIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR42 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| 82 | RB | Kyle MonangaiCHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
RB31 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. |
| 83 | WR | Xavier WorthyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR43 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| 84 | WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR44 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| 85 | WR | Khalil ShakirBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR45 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| 86 | RB | Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
RB32 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| 87 | WR | Michael WilsonARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR46 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| 88 | WR | Brian Thomas Jr.JAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
WR47 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. |
| 89 | RB | Rachaad WhiteWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 8% |
RB33 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| 90 | TE | Mark AndrewsBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
TE10 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| 91 | RB | Alvin KamaraNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 11% |
RB34 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. |
| 92 | RB | Blake CorumLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
RB35 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| 93 | WR | Rome OdunzeCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 8% |
WR48 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| 94 | WR | Jalen ReagorMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 10% |
WR49 | 7.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| 95 | TE | Juwan JohnsonNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 10% |
TE11 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 90%. |
| 96 | WR | Rashod BatemanBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR50 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| 97 | RB | Woody MarksHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
RB36 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| 98 | WR | Rashid ShaheedSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 8% |
WR51 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| 99 | WR | Jalen Moreno-CropperNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR52 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| 100 | WR | Romeo DoubsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR53 | 7.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| 101 | RB | RJ HarveyDENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
RB37 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| 102 | TE | Tucker KraftGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
TE12 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| 103 | TE | Terrance FergusonLARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
TE13 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. |
| 104 | TE | Harold Fannin Jr.CLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
TE14 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| 105 | TE | Hunter HenryNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
TE15 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| 106 | WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR54 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| 107 | WR | Kalif RaymondCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR55 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 108 | TE | T.J. HockensonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
TE16 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| 109 | RB | Rico DowdlePITQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
RB38 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| 110 | TE | Pat FreiermuthPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
TE17 | 6.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| 111 | WR | Keenan AllenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR56 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 112 | WR | Caleb DouglasMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR57 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| 113 | RB | Tyjae SpearsTENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
RB39 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| 114 | RB | J.K. DobbinsDENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
RB40 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. |
| 115 | WR | Malik WashingtonMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR58 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 116 | WR | Jalen McMillanTBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 8% |
WR59 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. |
| 117 | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR60 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 118 | RB | Kenny GainwellTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
RB41 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 119 | RB | Tyler AllgeierARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
RB42 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 120 | TE | Colston LovelandCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
TE18 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 121 | RB | MarShawn LloydGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
RB43 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 122 | WR | Xavier HutchinsonHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR61 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 123 | WR | Jakobi MeyersJAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 6% |
WR62 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 124 | WR | Quentin JohnstonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR63 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 125 | TE | Jake FergusonDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
TE19 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 126 | WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR64 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 127 | TE | Kenyon SadiqNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 6% |
TE20 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 128 | WR | Ted Hurst IIITB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR65 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 129 | RB | Kaelon BlackSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
RB44 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 130 | TE | Stone SmarttNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 6% |
TE21 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 131 | TE | Kyle PittsATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
TE22 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 132 | WR | Travis HunterJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR66 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%. |
| 133 | WR | Ryan FlournoyDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
WR67 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 134 | WR | Malachi FieldsNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
WR68 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 135 | TE | Cade OttonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
TE23 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 136 | TE | Michael MayerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
TE24 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 137 | WR | Cooper KuppSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR69 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 138 | WR | Tre HarrisLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR70 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 139 | WR | Roman WilsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR71 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 140 | WR | Jordan AddisonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR72 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 141 | WR | DeMario DouglasNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR73 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 142 | WR | Jaylin NoelHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR74 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 143 | RB | Jonah ColemanDENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
RB45 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 144 | RB | Emanuel WilsonSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
RB46 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 145 | WR | Keon ColemanBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
WR75 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 146 | RB | Brian RobinsonATLQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
RB47 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 147 | TE | Mike GesickiCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
TE25 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. |
| 148 | WR | Antonio WilliamsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR76 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 149 | WR | Jalen NailorLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR77 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 150 | WR | Michael BandyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
WR78 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 151 | WR | Pat BryantDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR79 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 152 | RB | Emmett JohnsonKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
RB48 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 153 | TE | Gunnar HelmTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
TE26 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 154 | WR | Calvin RidleyTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR80 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 155 | WR | Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR81 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 156 | WR | Mack HollinsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR82 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 157 | WR | Jauan JenningsMINQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR83 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. |
| 158 | RB | Tank BigsbyPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
RB49 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 159 | WR | Jahan DotsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR84 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 160 | WR | Makai LemonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR85 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 161 | WR | Tyquan ThorntonKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR86 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 162 | WR | Isaac TeSlaaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR87 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 163 | WR | Cedrick Wilson Jr.MIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR88 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 164 | WR | Darnell MooneyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR89 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 165 | TE | Tommy TrembleCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE27 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 166 | WR | Josh PalmerBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR90 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 167 | WR | Elic AyomanorTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR91 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 168 | TE | Brenton StrangeJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
TE28 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 169 | WR | Ronnie BellLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR92 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 170 | WR | Bryce OliverTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR93 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 171 | WR | Xavier LegetteCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR94 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 172 | RB | Braelon AllenNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
RB50 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 173 | WR | Jerry JeudyCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR95 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 174 | RB | Chris BrooksGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
RB51 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 175 | WR | Reggie VirgilARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR96 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 176 | WR | Dominic LovettDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR97 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 177 | WR | Dyami BrownWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR98 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 178 | TE | Chig OkonkwoWASQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
TE29 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 179 | WR | Isaiah WilliamsNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR99 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 180 | WR | Jalen TolbertMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR100 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 181 | WR | Kendrick BourneARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR101 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 182 | TE | Oronde Gadsden IILAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE30 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 183 | WR | Marvin Mims Jr.DENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR102 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 97%. |
| 184 | WR | Jared WayneHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR103 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 185 | TE | Darren WallerCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 1% |
TE31 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 186 | RB | Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
RB52 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 187 | WR | Chris BellMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR104 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 188 | RB | Justice HillBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
RB53 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 189 | TE | Greg DulcichMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
TE32 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 190 | TE | Evan EngramDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
TE33 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 191 | TE | Chris MyarickLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE34 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 192 | WR | Laquon TreadwellIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR105 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 193 | TE | AJ BarnerSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE35 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 194 | RB | Najee HarrisNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
RB54 | 4.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 195 | TE | Luke SchoonmakerDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE36 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 196 | RB | Devin SingletaryNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
RB55 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 197 | TE | Elijah ArroyoSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE37 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 198 | WR | Germie BernardPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR106 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
| 199 | WR | Odell Beckham Jr.NYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR107 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. |
| 200 | RB | Samaje PerineCINQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
RB56 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 67% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 59%, sportsbook props for 11%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 24, 2026 22:48 UTC. Model rankings-v1.4.0, board captured 2026-09-24.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.