LAC · Bye 7
Omarion Hampton
LMD RB12 for Week 3 · 12.9 projected Half PPR points · RB13 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 12.9 points this week, RB12. Top 3: 8% · Top 12: 33% · Top 24: 59% of simulated weeks. Up 2 since Week 2.
Week 3
RB12
16th by projected points
Rest of season
RB13
17th by projected points
Projected
12.9
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
33%
Top 3: 8% · Top 24: 59% at RB
Movement
↑ 2
RB14 in Week 2, RB12 now
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+0.83 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.61 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.23 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Fantasy football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em RB in Week 2: Omarion Hampton poised to bounce back against Raiders
CBS Sports ·
-
ADP UPDATE
Omarion Hampton's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 22.2 to 19.9 over the last 7 days.
-
NFL Week 1 Best Bets: TD Props For Saquon Barkley, Omarion Hampton
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Kay Adams has lofty expectations for RB Omarion Hampton as Chargers improve their "makeshift" O-line
sportskeeda.com ·
-
Will Omarion Hampton deliver top-8 fantasy value?
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Omarion Hampton by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Omarion Hampton has averaged +1.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs ARI | 12.7 | 8.3 | -4.4 |
| Wk 2 | vs LV | 10.2 | 16.5 | +6.3 |
| Wk 3 | @ BUF | 12.9 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB11. For the rest of the season LMD has him 2 spots lower, at RB13.
Preseason market: RB11 · ADP 22.0
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB13 −2
LMD has him 2 spots lower than his RB11 draft price.
Week 3
RB12 −1
LMD has him 1 spot lower than his RB11 draft price.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB11 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 189.4 points this season, RB13. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 37% · Top 24: 92% of simulated seasons. That is 12.9 a game over 15 remaining games. Up 2 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
12.9 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 37% · Top 24: 92%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Omarion Hampton #73 in 1QB and #76 in Superflex, RB24 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#73
RB24 · tier 19 · of 297
Superflex
#76
RB24 · tier 15 · of 303
- Last season 119.7 pts 13.3 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 53% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 17.7 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 12% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
2.11
pick 23.1 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
2.11
half of simulations take him by pick 23
Draft range
2.06 - 3.04
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 2.11 in 61% of simulations
Pick 23 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 3.02, where he is available in 27% of simulations.
Slot 2's remaining turns: 2.11 61% · 3.02 27% · 4.11 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 2.09 and 3.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 2.09 | 79% |
| 2.10 | 71% |
| 2.11 | 61% |
| 2.12 | 49% |
| 3.01 | 37% |
| 3.02 | 27% |
| 3.03 | 19% |
| 3.04 | 12% |
| 3.05 | 6% |
| 3.06 | 3% |
| 3.07 | 2% |
| 3.08 | 1% |
| 3.09 | <1% |
| 3.10 | <1% |
| 3.11 | <1% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | 3% | 255 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.07 | 4% | 397 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.08 | 6% | 640 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.09 | 8% | 823 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.10 | 10% | 1043 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.11 | 12% | 1189 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.12 | 12% | 1185 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01 | 9% | 938 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.02 | 9% | 866 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.03 | 7% | 718 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.04 | 5% | 518 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Omarion Hampton was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 9%
- Kenneth Walker III RB · KC 9%
- Nico Collins WR · HOU 8%
- Saquon Barkley RB · PHI 5%
Usually taken just after
- Kenneth Walker III RB · KC 9%
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 9%
- Nico Collins WR · HOU 8%
- Javonte Williams RB · DAL 7%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Omarion Hampton was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.