TEN · Bye 9
Elic Ayomanor
LMD WR120 for Week 3 · 2.7 projected Half PPR points
In season
Week 3 fantasy ranking
We project 2.7 points this week, WR120. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 2% of simulated weeks. Down 22 since Week 2.
Week 3
WR120
240th by projected points
Projected
2.7
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
1%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 2% at WR
Movement
↓ 22
WR98 in Week 2, WR120 now
- Draft / market prior
- Negative-1.79 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Positive+0.89 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.30 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Cam Ward shares a muscle-memory battle with Titans WR Elic Ayomanor, but only one has made it a clear priority
yardbarker.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Elic Ayomanor by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Elic Ayomanor has averaged +5.6 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | — | — | 7.6 | — |
| Wk 2 | vs PHI | 2.3 | 7.9 | +5.6 |
| Wk 3 | @ NYG | 2.7 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Elic Ayomanor #114 in 1QB and #119 in Superflex, WR48 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#114
WR48 · tier 26 · of 297
Superflex
#119
WR48 · tier 21 · of 303
- Last season 96.0 pts 6.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 94% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 18% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
10.04
pick 112.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
10.03
half of simulations take him by pick 111
Draft range
8.11 - 11.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.03 in 50% of simulations
Pick 111 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 11.10, where he is available in 12% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 10.03 50% · 11.10 12% · 12.03 7% · 13.10 <1% · 14.03 <1% · 15.10 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.05 and 11.01.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.01 | 56% |
| 10.02 | 53% |
| 10.03 | 50% |
| 10.04 | 48% |
| 10.05 | 45% |
| 10.06 | 42% |
| 10.07 | 40% |
| 10.08 | 37% |
| 10.09 | 35% |
| 10.10 | 32% |
| 10.11 | 30% |
| 10.12 | 27% |
| 11.01 | 25% |
| 11.02 | 23% |
| 11.03 | 22% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.11-8.12 | 4% | 449 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 5% | 483 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 5% | 466 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 5% | 531 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 5% | 517 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 5% | 527 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 6% | 562 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 6% | 554 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 6% | 557 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 5% | 500 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 5% | 496 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 5% | 502 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 5% | 458 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.01-11.02 | 3% | 344 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.03-11.04 | 3% | 313 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.06 | 3% | 301 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.07-11.08 | 2% | 237 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.10 | 2% | 241 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11 | 1% | 107 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Elic Ayomanor was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 2%
- Rashee Rice WR · KC 2%
- Josh Downs WR · IND 2%
- Malik Nabers WR · NYG 2%
Usually taken just after
- Josh Downs WR · IND 2%
- Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ 2%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
- Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Elic Ayomanor was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.