ATL · Bye 11
Drake London
LMD WR17 for Week 3 · 9.9 projected Half PPR points · WR28 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 9.9 points this week, WR17. Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 34% of simulated weeks. Down 8 since Week 2.
Week 3
WR17
45th by projected points
Rest of season
WR28
62nd by projected points
Projected
9.9
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
17%
Top 3: 4% · Top 24: 34% at WR
Movement
↓ 8
WR9 in Week 2, WR17 now
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+1.68 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-1.59 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Positive+0.66 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Drake London explained what happened in his verbal altercation with Falcons fan
bundle.app ·
-
Falcons news: What Drake London said about calling out 'disrespectful' fan
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Falcons' Drake London gets into heated exchange with fan during blowout loss to Panthers
CBS Sports ·
-
Real reason Drake London shouted at NFL fan revealed as TV cameras spot Atlanta Falcons star’s furious outburst
the-sun.com ·
-
Falcons’ Drake London confronts fan during lopsided loss to Panthers, addresses disrespect postgame
mixvale.com.br ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Drake London by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Drake London has averaged -4.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ PIT | 11.2 | 4.5 | -6.7 |
| Wk 2 | vs CAR | 9.9 | 6.9 | -3.0 |
| Wk 3 | @ GB | 9.9 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 136.3 points this season, WR28. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 32% of simulated seasons. That is 9.8 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 18 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
9.8 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 32%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Drake London #32 in 1QB and #41 in Superflex, WR10 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#32
WR10 · tier 11 · of 297
Superflex
#41
WR10 · tier 10 · of 303
- Last season 167.9 pts 14.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 84% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 8.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 28% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
2.07
pick 19.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
2.07
half of simulations take him by pick 19
Draft range
1.10 - 3.03
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 2.07 in 57% of simulations
Pick 19 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 3.06, where he is available in 4% of simulations.
Slot 6's remaining turns: 2.07 57% · 3.06 4% · 4.07 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 2.04 and 2.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 2.05 | 70% |
| 2.06 | 65% |
| 2.07 | 57% |
| 2.08 | 50% |
| 2.09 | 43% |
| 2.10 | 36% |
| 2.11 | 30% |
| 2.12 | 24% |
| 3.01 | 19% |
| 3.02 | 15% |
| 3.03 | 12% |
| 3.04 | 9% |
| 3.05 | 6% |
| 3.06 | 4% |
| 3.07 | 3% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | 1% | 140 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.11 | 2% | 183 of 10000 simulations |
| 1.12 | 2% | 211 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.01 | 3% | 303 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.02 | 3% | 328 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.03 | 4% | 407 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.04 | 5% | 491 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.05 | 6% | 584 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.06 | 7% | 711 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.07 | 8% | 786 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.08 | 7% | 699 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.09 | 7% | 664 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.10 | 6% | 633 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.11 | 6% | 581 of 10000 simulations |
| 2.12 | 5% | 477 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.01 | 4% | 394 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.02 | 4% | 359 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.03 | 3% | 297 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Drake London was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- A.J. Brown WR · NE 8%
- Justin Jefferson WR · MIN 6%
- Saquon Barkley RB · PHI 6%
- Nico Collins WR · HOU 5%
Usually taken just after
- Nico Collins WR · HOU 6%
- Ashton Jeanty RB · LV 6%
- A.J. Brown WR · NE 6%
- Saquon Barkley RB · PHI 6%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Drake London was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.