NFL · 2026 Week 3
Week 3 Half PPR FLEX Rankings
Half PPR, 1QB · 307 players projected · updated September 22, 2026
See how our Week 2 rankings performed
Our Week 3 quarterback rankings are being corrected and are not shown. The board on this page was generated before a fix to how we model whether a quarterback plays at all, and it ranked several backups among the starters. Running backs, receivers and tight ends are unaffected and are current. No market snapshot: no sportsbook or prediction-market prices reached this board. Sportsbook prices reached 0 of 143 fantasy-relevant players (0%), so the market half of this board is thinner than a full week's.
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 3 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
FLEX combines RB, WR, TE — the positions a flex seat can start — into one ranking. Quarterbacks are not eligible and are not on it.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we rank every flex-eligible player against the others and record where each one finishes.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at RB, WR, TE combined
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished among the top 12 RB/WR/TE in 58% of the simulated weeks.
What stands out this week
307 FLEX-eligible players ranked for Week 3. Kenneth Walker III leads at 19.8 projected points.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Ahead
- Dalton SchultzTE2Our projection is higher than the outside forecast +18 vs. TE20
Behind
- Drake LondonWR17Our projection is lower than the outside forecast -10 vs. WR7
- Saquon BarkleyRB15Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 5% · Top 12: 15% · Top 24: 26% -7 vs. RB8
- Ja'Marr ChaseWR7Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 25% -6 vs. WR1
Movement
Risers
- Tre TuckerWR36 ↑ 34
- Denzel BostonWR31 ↑ 31
- Alvin KamaraRB32 ↑ 22
Fallers
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR65 ↓ 30
- DJ MooreWR34 ↓ 18
- Colston LovelandTE20 ↓ 16
Positional movement since the final Week 2 board, among players inside QB30, RB36, WR36 or TE12 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj | Outcome profile | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB | Kenneth Walker IIIKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%.
Top 3: 14%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 53% |
RB1↑ 7 | 19.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%. | |
| 2 | RB | Jahmyr GibbsDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%.
Top 3: 14%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 53% |
RB2↓ 1 | 19.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%. | |
| 3 | RB | Jonathan TaylorIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 52%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 48% |
RB3— | 18.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 52%. | |
| 4 | RB | Derrick HenryBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 52%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 48% |
RB4↑ 1 | 17.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 52%. | |
| 5 | RB | Bijan RobinsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 56%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 44% |
RB5↓ 3 | 17.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 56%. | |
| 6 | WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 58%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 42% |
WR1— | 16.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 58%. | |
| 7 | RB | Christian McCaffreySF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 59%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 41% |
RB6↓ 2 | 16.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 59%. | |
| 8 | RB | James CookBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 60%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 40% |
RB7↓ 1 | 16.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 60%. | |
| 9 | WR | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 61%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 39% |
WR2— | 15.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 61%. | |
| 10 | RB | Ashton JeantyLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 60%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 40% |
RB8↓ 1 | 15.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 60%. | |
| 11 | RB | De'Von AchaneMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 61%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 39% |
RB9↑ 1 | 15.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 61%. | |
| 12 | RB | Chase BrownCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 65%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 35% |
RB10↑ 1 | 14.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 65%. | |
| 13 | WR | Chris OlaveNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 67%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 33% |
WR3↑ 3 | 14.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 67%. | |
| 14 | RB | Breece HallNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 67%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 33% |
RB11↑ 1 | 14.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 67%. | |
| 15 | WR | CeeDee LambDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 29% |
WR4↑ 4 | 13.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%. | |
| 16 | RB | Omarion HamptonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 29% |
RB12↑ 2 | 12.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%. | |
| 17 | RB | D'Andre SwiftCHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 72%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 28% |
RB13↑ 3 | 12.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 72%. | |
| 18 | RB | Javonte WilliamsDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 73%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 27% |
RB14↓ 1 | 12.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 73%. | |
| 19 | WR | DeVonta SmithPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 27% |
WR5↑ 10 | 12.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. | |
| 20 | RB | Saquon BarkleyPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 74%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 26% |
RB15↓ 6 | 12.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 74%. | |
| 21 | WR | Davante AdamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 74%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 26% |
WR6↑ 19 | 12.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 74%. | |
| 22 | TE | Trey McBrideARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 75%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 25% |
TE1— | 12.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 75%. | |
| 23 | RB | Bucky IrvingTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 75%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 25% |
RB16↑ 4 | 12.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 75%. | |
| 24 | WR | Ja'Marr ChaseCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 75%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 25% |
WR7↓ 3 | 12.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 75%. | |
| 25 | WR | Christian WatsonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 24% |
WR8↑ 13 | 12.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 76%. | |
| 26 | WR | Justin JeffersonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 76%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 24% |
WR9↓ 4 | 11.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 76%. | |
| 27 | WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 22% |
WR10↑ 4 | 11.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. | |
| 28 | WR | Parker WashingtonJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 23% |
WR11↑ 15 | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. | |
| 29 | WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 20% |
WR12↓ 2 | 11.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%. | |
| 30 | RB | Cam SkatteboNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 21% |
RB17↑ 4 | 11.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%. | |
| 31 | RB | Jeremiyah LoveARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21% |
RB18↓ 3 | 11.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%. | |
| 32 | RB | Kyren WilliamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21% |
RB19↓ 1 | 11.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%. | |
| 33 | WR | Jalen CokerCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 20% |
WR13↑ 9 | 10.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 80%. | |
| 34 | RB | Bhayshul TutenJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
RB20↑ 7 | 10.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. | |
| 35 | RB | Travis EtienneNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
RB21↓ 2 | 10.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. | |
| 36 | WR | Tee HigginsCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
WR14↑ 6 | 10.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. | |
| 37 | TE | Dalton SchultzHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
TE2↑ 12 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. | |
| 38 | RB | Chuba HubbardCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18% |
RB22↑ 3 | 10.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. | |
| 39 | TE | Travis KelceKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 18% |
TE3↑ 6 | 10.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 82%. | |
| 40 | RB | Quinshon JudkinsCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 17% |
RB23↑ 1 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. | |
| 41 | RB | David MontgomeryHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18% |
RB24↓ 7 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. | |
| 42 | RB | Jaylen WarrenPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 17% |
RB25↓ 2 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. | |
| 43 | WR | George PickensDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 17% |
WR15↓ 3 | 10.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. | |
| 44 | WR | Malik NabersNYGQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% |
WR16↓ 5 | 10.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. | |
| 45 | WR | Drake LondonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
WR17↓ 8 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. | |
| 46 | TE | Isaiah LikelyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 16% |
TE4↑ 3 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. | |
| 47 | RB | Rhamondre StevensonNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
RB26↓ 4 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. | |
| 48 | WR | Jaylen WaddleDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR18↑ 10 | 9.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. | |
| 49 | TE | Dalton KincaidBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
TE5↑ 5 | 9.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. | |
| 50 | RB | TreVeyon HendersonNEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 82%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% |
RB27↑ 9 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 82%. | |
| 51 | RB | Jadarian PriceSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
RB28↓ 2 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. | |
| 52 | WR | Matthew GoldenGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
WR19↑ 10 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. | |
| 53 | WR | Ladd McConkeyLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
WR20↓ 2 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 84%. | |
| 54 | WR | Devaughn VeleNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
WR21↑ 12 | 9.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. | |
| 55 | WR | Stefon DiggsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
WR22↑ 12 | 9.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. | |
| 56 | RB | Aaron JonesMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14% |
RB29↓ 1 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. | |
| 57 | WR | Emeka EgbukaTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
WR23↓ 4 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. | |
| 58 | WR | Casey WashingtonCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 15% |
WR24NEW | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 85%. | |
| 59 | WR | Rashee RiceKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
WR25↓ 8 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. | |
| 60 | WR | Michael BandyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 16% |
WR26NEW | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 84%. | |
| 61 | TE | Sam LaPortaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
TE6↓ 3 | 9.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. | |
| 62 | WR | DK MetcalfPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 14% |
WR27↑ 3 | 9.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. | |
| 63 | TE | Tyler WarrenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 14% |
TE7↓ 2 | 9.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%. | |
| 64 | WR | Mike EvansSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 85%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 15% |
WR28↓ 1 | 9.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 85%. | |
| 65 | WR | Luther Burden IIICHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR29↓ 5 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. | |
| 66 | TE | George KittleSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 86%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 14% |
TE8↓ 2 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 86%. | |
| 67 | WR | Deebo Samuel Sr.SF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% |
WR30↑ 8 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. | |
| 68 | WR | Denzel BostonCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% |
WR31↑ 31 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. | |
| 69 | WR | Carnell TateTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% |
WR32↓ 1 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. | |
| 70 | WR | Terry McLaurinWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR33↑ 4 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. | |
| 71 | RB | Tony PollardTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
RB30↑ 3 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. | |
| 72 | WR | DJ MooreBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 87%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% |
WR34↓ 18 | 8.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 87%. | |
| 73 | WR | Jameson WilliamsDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR35↓ 12 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. | |
| 74 | WR | Tre TuckerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR36↑ 34 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. | |
| 75 | WR | Dontayvion WicksPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR37↑ 23 | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. | |
| 76 | RB | Kyle MonangaiCHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
RB31↓ 1 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. | |
| 77 | TE | Mark AndrewsBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
TE9↑ 7 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. | |
| 78 | WR | Xavier WorthyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR38↑ 7 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. | |
| 79 | WR | Josh DownsIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR39↑ 19 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. | |
| 80 | WR | KC ConcepcionCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR40↑ 10 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 81 | WR | Khalil ShakirBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 10% |
WR41↓ 5 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 90%. | |
| 82 | RB | Alvin KamaraNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 11% |
RB32↑ 22 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 89%. | |
| 83 | WR | Adonai MitchellNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR42↑ 25 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. | |
| 84 | WR | Mitchell TinsleyHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 12% |
WR43NEW | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%. | |
| 85 | WR | Brian Thomas Jr.JAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR44↑ 13 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 88%. | |
| 86 | TE | Juwan JohnsonNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 11% |
TE10↑ 7 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. | |
| 87 | WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR45↓ 13 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. | |
| 88 | RB | Rachaad WhiteWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
RB33↑ 12 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 89 | WR | Rome OdunzeCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR46↓ 7 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. | |
| 90 | WR | Xavier HutchinsonHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR47↑ 6 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 91 | RB | Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
RB34↓ 5 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 92 | WR | Michael WilsonARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR48↓ 8 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 93 | RB | Woody MarksHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
RB35↑ 14 | 7.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 94 | WR | Rashod BatemanBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR49↑ 38 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 95 | RB | Rico DowdlePITQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
RB36↓ 4 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 96 | WR | Romeo DoubsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR50↑ 18 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. | |
| 97 | WR | Caleb DouglasMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 9% |
WR51↓ 9 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 98 | RB | Blake CorumLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
RB37↑ 2 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. | |
| 99 | TE | Pat FreiermuthPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
TE11↑ 10 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. | |
| 100 | WR | Quentin JohnstonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR52↓ 4 | 7.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. | |
| 101 | TE | Harold Fannin Jr.CLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
TE12— | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 102 | TE | Hunter HenryNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 92%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 8% |
TE13↑ 9 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 92%. | |
| 103 | WR | Keenan AllenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR53↑ 2 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 104 | WR | Rashid ShaheedSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR54↑ 21 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 105 | WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR55↓ 1 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 106 | RB | Tyjae SpearsTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
RB38↑ 6 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 107 | WR | Kalif RaymondCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR56↓ 13 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 108 | TE | Tucker KraftGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 7% |
TE14↓ 6 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 109 | RB | Tyler AllgeierARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
RB39↓ 4 | 6.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 110 | TE | T.J. HockensonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
TE15↑ 3 | 6.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 111 | WR | Malik WashingtonMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR57↓ 8 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 112 | RB | MarShawn LloydGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
RB40↓ 9 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 113 | RB | J.K. DobbinsDENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
RB41↓ 4 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 114 | WR | Keon ColemanBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR58↑ 37 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 115 | RB | Kaelon BlackSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
RB42↓ 8 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 116 | WR | Jalen McMillanTBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR59↑ 15 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. | |
| 117 | WR | Alec PierceINDDDoubtful Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR60↓ 19 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 118 | WR | Jordan AddisonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 6% |
WR61↓ 10 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 119 | TE | Dallas GoedertPHIDDoubtful Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
TE16↓ 5 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 120 | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR62↓ 10 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 121 | RB | Kenny GainwellTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
RB43↓ 1 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. | |
| 122 | TE | Terrance FergusonLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
TE17↑ 19 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. | |
| 123 | WR | Jayden ReedGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 6% |
WR63↓ 17 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 124 | WR | Ted Hurst IIITB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR64↑ 19 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. | |
| 125 | TE | Jake FergusonDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
TE18↑ 2 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 126 | WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
WR65↓ 30 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 127 | WR | Jakobi MeyersJAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 6% |
WR66↓ 3 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 128 | TE | Kenyon SadiqNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
TE19↓ 4 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. | |
| 129 | RB | Jonathon BrooksCARDDoubtful Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
RB44↓ 3 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. | |
| 130 | WR | Travis HunterJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 6% |
WR67↑ 33 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 94%. | |
| 131 | WR | Ryan FlournoyDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR68↑ 8 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. | |
| 132 | WR | Tre HarrisLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR69— | 5.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 133 | TE | Colston LovelandCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
TE20↓ 16 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. | |
| 134 | WR | Cooper KuppSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR70↑ 9 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. | |
| 135 | WR | Malachi FieldsNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
WR71↑ 6 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 136 | WR | DeMario DouglasNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR72↓ 16 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 137 | TE | Kyle PittsATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
TE21↓ 8 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 138 | TE | Cade OttonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
TE22↑ 7 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 139 | WR | Kendrick BourneARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR73↓ 26 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 140 | WR | Mack HollinsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR74↓ 13 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 141 | RB | Emanuel WilsonSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
RB45↑ 71 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 142 | TE | Mike GesickiCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
TE23↓ 4 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. | |
| 143 | WR | Tory HortonSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR75NEW | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. | |
| 144 | WR | Jahan DotsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR76↑ 8 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 145 | WR | Jaylin NoelHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR77↑ 12 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 146 | WR | Antonio WilliamsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR78↓ 5 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 147 | WR | Jerry JeudyCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR79↓ 8 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 148 | RB | Brian RobinsonATLQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
RB46↑ 4 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 149 | WR | Kayshon BoutteHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR80— | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 150 | WR | Danny GrayPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR81↑ 44 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 151 | WR | Jalen TolbertMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
WR82NEW | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 152 | WR | Odell Beckham Jr.NYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 4% |
WR83↑ 28 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 153 | WR | Jalen ReagorMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 3% |
WR84NEW | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 154 | WR | Calvin RidleyTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR85↓ 3 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 155 | WR | Alex BachmanLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR86↑ 48 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. | |
| 156 | WR | K.J. OsbornTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 3% |
WR87↑ 23 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 157 | RB | Emmett JohnsonKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
RB47↑ 1 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 158 | WR | Brandon JohnsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR88NEW | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 159 | RB | Braelon AllenNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
RB48↓ 5 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 160 | WR | Jalen NailorLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR89↓ 23 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 161 | WR | Tyquan ThorntonKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR90↑ 12 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 162 | WR | Xavier GipsonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR91NEW | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 163 | WR | Nick Westbrook-IkhineIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR92NEW | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 164 | WR | Xavier LegetteCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR93↓ 3 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 165 | TE | Gunnar HelmTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE24↑ 2 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 166 | WR | Makai LemonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR94↓ 29 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 167 | WR | Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR95↑ 2 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 168 | WR | Pat BryantDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR96↓ 37 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 169 | WR | Austin TrammellJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR97NEW | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 170 | TE | Michael MayerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE25↓ 1 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 171 | WR | Roman WilsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR98↓ 34 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 172 | WR | Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR99NEW | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 173 | WR | Darnell MooneyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR100↓ 12 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 174 | WR | Josh PalmerBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR101↓ 9 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 175 | WR | Dyami BrownWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR102↓ 6 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 176 | WR | Isaac TeSlaaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR103↓ 9 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 177 | RB | Chris BrooksGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
RB49↓ 2 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 178 | TE | AJ BarnerSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
TE26↑ 6 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 179 | TE | Brenton StrangeJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE27↑ 1 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 180 | TE | Tommy TrembleCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE28↑ 2 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 181 | WR | Jack BechLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR104↓ 26 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 182 | RB | Devin NealNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
RB50↑ 38 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 183 | RB | Jarquez HunterMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
RB51↑ 58 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 184 | RB | Carlos WashingtonMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
RB52↑ 59 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 185 | RB | Jonah ColemanDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
RB53NEW | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 186 | WR | Dylan DrummondATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR105NEW | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 187 | TE | Austin HooperATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
TE29NEW | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. | |
| 188 | RB | Devin SingletaryNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
RB54↓ 14 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 189 | WR | Ricky White IIISEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR106NEW | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 190 | TE | Oronde Gadsden IILAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
TE30↑ 14 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 191 | RB | Justice HillBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 1% |
RB55↓ 4 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. | |
| 192 | RB | Patrick RicardNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
RB56NEW | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 193 | WR | Marquise BrownPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR107↑ 1 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 194 | WR | Isaiah WilliamsNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR108↓ 7 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. | |
| 195 | TE | Darren WallerCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
TE31↑ 8 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 196 | RB | Tank BigsbyPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
RB57↑ 51 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 197 | RB | George HolaniSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
RB58↓ 12 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. | |
| 198 | WR | David MooreCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR109NEW | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 199 | TE | Stephen CarlsonCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
TE32NEW | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. | |
| 200 | TE | Greg DulcichMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
TE33↑ 2 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks among FLEX-eligible players, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. |
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 68% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 58%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 22, 2026 18:57 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 2 board generated before that week's first kickoff (September 17, 2026). Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-22.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections).