NE · Bye 11
Romeo Doubs
LMD WR50 for Week 3 · 7.6 projected Half PPR points · WR64 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 7.6 points this week, WR50. Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 21% of simulated weeks. Up 18 since Week 2.
Week 3
WR50
96th by projected points
Rest of season
WR64
114th by projected points
Projected
7.6
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
9%
Top 3: 2% · Top 24: 21% at WR
Movement
↑ 18
WR68 in Week 2, WR50 now
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+1.31 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-1.02 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.48 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
ADP UPDATE
Romeo Doubs's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 99.0 to 107.2 over the last 7 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Romeo Doubs has averaged +0.7 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ SEA | 4.7 | 0.0 | -4.7 |
| Wk 2 | vs PIT | 5.0 | 11.1 | +6.1 |
| Wk 3 | @ JAX | 7.6 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR49. For the rest of the season LMD has him 15 spots lower, at WR64.
Preseason market: WR49 · ADP 99.6
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR64 −15
LMD has him 15 spots lower than his WR49 draft price.
Week 3
WR50 −1
LMD has him 1 spot lower than his WR49 draft price.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR49 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 104.4 points this season, WR64. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 3% of simulated seasons. That is 7.5 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 7 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
7.5 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 3%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Romeo Doubs #109 in 1QB and #112 in Superflex, WR44 at his position. Age 26.
1QB
#109
WR44 · tier 25 · of 297
Superflex
#112
WR44 · tier 20 · of 303
- Last season 137.9 pts 8.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 90% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 19% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
12.05
pick 136.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.01
half of simulations take him by pick 133
Draft range
11.01 - 15.01
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,475 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.01 in 53% of simulations
Pick 133 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 12, the same seat picks again at 13.12, where he is available in 21% of simulations.
Slot 12's remaining turns: 12.01 53% · 13.12 21% · 14.01 21% · 15.12 6%
The middle half of simulations take him between 11.05 and 12.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 11.11 | 59% |
| 11.12 | 56% |
| 12.01 | 53% |
| 12.02 | 50% |
| 12.03 | 47% |
| 12.04 | 45% |
| 12.05 | 42% |
| 12.06 | 39% |
| 12.07 | 36% |
| 12.08 | 33% |
| 12.09 | 31% |
| 12.10 | 28% |
| 12.11 | 26% |
| 12.12 | 24% |
| 13.01 | 22% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.01-11.03 | 10% | 970 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.06 | 10% | 971 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.07-11.09 | 9% | 946 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.12 | 9% | 907 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.03 | 8% | 812 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.06 | 9% | 869 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.07-12.09 | 8% | 751 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.12 | 7% | 689 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.01-13.03 | <1% | 16 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.06 | <1% | 19 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07-13.09 | <1% | 32 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.12 | <1% | 36 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01-14.03 | <1% | 98 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.06 | 1% | 106 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07-14.09 | 1% | 133 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.12 | 1% | 124 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 1% | 130 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9475 simulations in which Romeo Doubs was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Stefon Diggs WR · WAS 3%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 3%
- Josh Downs WR · IND 3%
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 2%
Usually taken just after
- Stefon Diggs WR · WAS 2%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 2%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Romeo Doubs was selected in 9475 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.