NFL · 2026 Week 3
2026 Week 3 Half PPR WR Rankings
Final pre-kickoff board · published September 24, 2026, 22:49 UTC · first kickoff September 25, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Half PPR, 1QB · 175 players projected · updated September 24, 2026
See how these rankings performed
Sportsbook prices reached 45 of 145 fantasy-relevant players (31%), so the market half of this board is thinner than a full week's.
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 3 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at his position
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.
How often a strong start lasts
Since 1999, 43% of WRs inside the top 12 through Week 2 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 325 WR-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.
What stood out in Week 3
175 WRs ranked for Week 3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads at 16.7 projected points.
Tier break
1.6 projected points separate WR3 Chris Olave from WR4 CeeDee Lamb.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Ahead
- Stefon DiggsWR21Our projection is higher than the outside forecastTop 3: 4% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 33% +13 vs. WR34
Behind
- DJ MooreWR36Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 27% -13 vs. WR23
- Malik NabersWR22Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 5% · Top 12: 18% · Top 24: 32% -8 vs. WR14
- Ladd McConkeyWR27Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 4% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 30% -6 vs. WR21
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj | Outcome profile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR5 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR61 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 18%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 63% |
WR1 | 16.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR5 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR61 in the middle 80%. |
| 2 | WR | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR6 - WR37 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 61% |
WR2 | 15.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 39%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR6 - WR37 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR60 in the middle 80%. |
| 3 | WR | Chris OlaveNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR7 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 53% |
WR3 | 14.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR7 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR73 in the middle 80%. |
| 4 | WR | CeeDee LambDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR10 - WR51 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 49% |
WR4 | 13.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR10 - WR51 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR72 in the middle 80%. |
| 5 | WR | Davante AdamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR10 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 48% |
WR5 | 12.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR10 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR72 in the middle 80%. |
| 6 | WR | Ja'Marr ChaseCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR11 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 49% |
WR6 | 12.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR11 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR69 in the middle 80%. |
| 7 | WR | Zay FlowersBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR11 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 44% |
WR7 | 12.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR11 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR91 in the middle 80%. |
| 8 | WR | Puka NacuaLARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR12 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 41% |
WR8 | 12.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR12 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR94 in the middle 80%. |
| 9 | WR | DeVonta SmithPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR11 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 46% |
WR9 | 12.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR11 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR75 in the middle 80%. |
| 10 | WR | Christian WatsonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR12 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 44% |
WR10 | 11.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR12 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR78 in the middle 80%. |
| 11 | WR | Justin JeffersonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR12 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 43% |
WR11 | 11.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR12 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%. |
| 12 | WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR13 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 43% |
WR12 | 11.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR13 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%. |
| 13 | WR | Jalen CokerCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR14 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 39% |
WR13 | 11.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR14 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR91 in the middle 80%. |
| 14 | WR | Nico CollinsHOUQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR13 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 40% |
WR14 | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR13 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR101 in the middle 80%. |
| 15 | WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR14 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 42% |
WR15 | 11.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR14 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%. |
| 16 | WR | Drake LondonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR15 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR77 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 40% |
WR16 | 11.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR15 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR77 in the middle 80%. |
| 17 | WR | Parker WashingtonJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR14 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 41% |
WR17 | 11.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR14 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%. |
| 18 | WR | Tee HigginsCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 64%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR17 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 36% |
WR18 | 10.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 64%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR17 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR81 in the middle 80%. |
| 19 | WR | George PickensDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR17 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 34% |
WR19 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR17 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR88 in the middle 80%. |
| 20 | WR | Jaylen WaddleDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 34% |
WR20 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%. |
| 21 | WR | Stefon DiggsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR68 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 33% |
WR21 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR68 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR92 in the middle 80%. |
| 22 | WR | Malik NabersNYGQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR18 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 32% |
WR22 | 9.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR18 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR101 in the middle 80%. |
| 23 | WR | Devaughn VeleNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 31% |
WR23 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%. |
| 24 | WR | Matthew GoldenGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 32% |
WR24 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%. |
| 25 | WR | Rashee RiceKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 32% |
WR25 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR89 in the middle 80%. |
| 26 | WR | Emeka EgbukaTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR20 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 31% |
WR26 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR20 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%. |
| 27 | WR | Ladd McConkeyLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR19 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 30% |
WR27 | 9.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR19 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR99 in the middle 80%. |
| 28 | WR | DK MetcalfPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR21 - WR69 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 30% |
WR28 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR21 - WR69 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR90 in the middle 80%. |
| 29 | WR | Mike EvansSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR21 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 29% |
WR29 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR21 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR107 in the middle 80%. |
| 30 | WR | Denzel BostonCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% |
WR30 | 8.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR97 in the middle 80%. |
| 31 | WR | Terry McLaurinWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 27% |
WR31 | 8.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR98 in the middle 80%. |
| 32 | WR | Luther Burden IIICHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% |
WR32 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR96 in the middle 80%. |
| 33 | WR | Adonai MitchellNYJQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR22 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 27% |
WR33 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR22 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR103 in the middle 80%. |
| 34 | WR | Carnell TateTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 27% |
WR34 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR97 in the middle 80%. |
| 35 | WR | Jameson WilliamsDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28% |
WR35 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR93 in the middle 80%. |
| 36 | WR | DJ MooreBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR22 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
WR36 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR22 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR104 in the middle 80%. |
| 37 | WR | Tre TuckerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR22 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
WR37 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR22 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR98 in the middle 80%. |
| 38 | WR | Deebo Samuel Sr.SF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 26% |
WR38 | 8.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR100 in the middle 80%. |
| 39 | WR | Michael PittmanPITQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR23 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR116 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 26% |
WR39 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR23 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR116 in the middle 80%. |
| 40 | WR | Dontayvion WicksPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR25 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 25% |
WR40 | 8.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR25 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR99 in the middle 80%. |
| 41 | WR | KC ConcepcionCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR25 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 25% |
WR41 | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR25 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR102 in the middle 80%. |
| 42 | WR | Josh DownsIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR26 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
WR42 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR26 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR101 in the middle 80%. |
| 43 | WR | Xavier WorthyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR25 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 24% |
WR43 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR25 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR99 in the middle 80%. |
| 44 | WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR26 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
WR44 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR26 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR106 in the middle 80%. |
| 45 | WR | Khalil ShakirBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR26 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 23% |
WR45 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR26 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR103 in the middle 80%. |
| 46 | WR | Michael WilsonARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR26 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 24% |
WR46 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR26 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR102 in the middle 80%. |
| 47 | WR | Brian Thomas Jr.JAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR26 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 23% |
WR47 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR26 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR109 in the middle 80%. |
| 48 | WR | Rome OdunzeCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR28 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22% |
WR48 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR28 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR103 in the middle 80%. |
| 49 | WR | Jalen ReagorMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR29 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR122 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 22% |
WR49 | 7.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR29 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR122 in the middle 80%. |
| 50 | WR | Rashod BatemanBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR28 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 21% |
WR50 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR28 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR106 in the middle 80%. |
| 51 | WR | Rashid ShaheedSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR29 - WR85 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 21% |
WR51 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR29 - WR85 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR109 in the middle 80%. |
| 52 | WR | Jalen Moreno-CropperNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR28 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22% |
WR52 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR28 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR124 in the middle 80%. |
| 53 | WR | Romeo DoubsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR30 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19% |
WR53 | 7.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR30 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR105 in the middle 80%. |
| 54 | WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR32 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19% |
WR54 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR32 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR110 in the middle 80%. |
| 55 | WR | Kalif RaymondCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR33 - WR85 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17% |
WR55 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR33 - WR85 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR109 in the middle 80%. |
| 56 | WR | Keenan AllenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR33 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR116 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17% |
WR56 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR33 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR116 in the middle 80%. |
| 57 | WR | Caleb DouglasMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR33 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR123 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18% |
WR57 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR33 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR123 in the middle 80%. |
| 58 | WR | Malik WashingtonMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR35 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16% |
WR58 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR35 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR110 in the middle 80%. |
| 59 | WR | Jalen McMillanTBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR34 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR142 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% |
WR59 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR34 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR142 in the middle 80%. |
| 60 | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR34 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR60 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR34 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR115 in the middle 80%. |
| 61 | WR | Xavier HutchinsonHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR36 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR117 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16% |
WR61 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR36 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR117 in the middle 80%. |
| 62 | WR | Jakobi MeyersJAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR36 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR123 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR62 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR36 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR123 in the middle 80%. |
| 63 | WR | Quentin JohnstonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR36 - WR90 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% |
WR63 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR36 - WR90 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR112 in the middle 80%. |
| 64 | WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR39 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR64 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR39 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR115 in the middle 80%. |
| 65 | WR | Ted Hurst IIITB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR39 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR65 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR39 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR120 in the middle 80%. |
| 66 | WR | Travis HunterJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR40 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 14% |
WR66 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR40 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR139 in the middle 80%. |
| 67 | WR | Ryan FlournoyDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR41 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR122 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR67 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR41 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR122 in the middle 80%. |
| 68 | WR | Malachi FieldsNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR42 - WR100 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR68 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR42 - WR100 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR124 in the middle 80%. |
| 69 | WR | Cooper KuppSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR44 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR132 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR69 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR44 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR132 in the middle 80%. |
| 70 | WR | Tre HarrisLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR44 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR118 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR70 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR44 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR118 in the middle 80%. |
| 71 | WR | Roman WilsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR45 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR71 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR45 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR124 in the middle 80%. |
| 72 | WR | Jordan AddisonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR45 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR127 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
WR72 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR45 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR127 in the middle 80%. |
| 73 | WR | DeMario DouglasNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR46 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR117 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR73 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR46 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR117 in the middle 80%. |
| 74 | WR | Jaylin NoelHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR46 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR126 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
WR74 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR46 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR126 in the middle 80%. |
| 75 | WR | Keon ColemanBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR46 - WR112 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR75 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR46 - WR112 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR137 in the middle 80%. |
| 76 | WR | Antonio WilliamsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR49 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR131 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR76 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR49 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR131 in the middle 80%. |
| 77 | WR | Jalen NailorLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR49 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR77 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR49 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR130 in the middle 80%. |
| 78 | WR | Michael BandyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR50 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR145 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 10% |
WR78 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR50 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR145 in the middle 80%. |
| 79 | WR | Pat BryantDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR53 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR131 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR79 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR53 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR131 in the middle 80%. |
| 80 | WR | Calvin RidleyTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR53 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR80 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR53 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR141 in the middle 80%. |
| 81 | WR | Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR54 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR81 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR54 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR140 in the middle 80%. |
| 82 | WR | Mack HollinsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR83 at the median, WR57 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR128 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR82 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR83 at the median, WR57 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR128 in the middle 80%. |
| 83 | WR | Jauan JenningsMINQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR53 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR83 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR53 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR153 in the middle 80%. |
| 84 | WR | Jahan DotsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR56 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR132 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR84 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR56 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR132 in the middle 80%. |
| 85 | WR | Makai LemonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR57 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR85 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR57 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR138 in the middle 80%. |
| 86 | WR | Tyquan ThorntonKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR57 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR86 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR57 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR137 in the middle 80%. |
| 87 | WR | Isaac TeSlaaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR59 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR87 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR59 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR140 in the middle 80%. |
| 88 | WR | Cedrick Wilson Jr.MIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR57 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR156 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR88 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR57 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR156 in the middle 80%. |
| 89 | WR | Darnell MooneyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR58 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR89 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR58 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR136 in the middle 80%. |
| 90 | WR | Josh PalmerBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR56 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR90 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR56 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR139 in the middle 80%. |
| 91 | WR | Elic AyomanorTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR58 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR91 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR58 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR139 in the middle 80%. |
| 92 | WR | Ronnie BellLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR58 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR92 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR58 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR154 in the middle 80%. |
| 93 | WR | Bryce OliverTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR60 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR93 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR60 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR153 in the middle 80%. |
| 94 | WR | Xavier LegetteCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR60 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR94 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR60 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR148 in the middle 80%. |
| 95 | WR | Jerry JeudyCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR60 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR95 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR60 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR140 in the middle 80%. |
| 96 | WR | Reggie VirgilARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR61 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR96 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR61 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR155 in the middle 80%. |
| 97 | WR | Dominic LovettDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR59 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR97 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR59 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR154 in the middle 80%. |
| 98 | WR | Dyami BrownWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR62 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR98 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR62 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR140 in the middle 80%. |
| 99 | WR | Isaiah WilliamsNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR62 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR99 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR62 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR139 in the middle 80%. |
| 100 | WR | Jalen TolbertMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR60 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR100 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR60 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR157 in the middle 80%. |
| 101 | WR | Kendrick BourneARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR62 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR101 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR62 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR138 in the middle 80%. |
| 102 | WR | Marvin Mims Jr.DENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR64 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR102 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR64 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR158 in the middle 80%. |
| 103 | WR | Jared WayneHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR63 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR143 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR103 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR63 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR143 in the middle 80%. |
| 104 | WR | Chris BellMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR62 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR151 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR104 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR62 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR151 in the middle 80%. |
| 105 | WR | Laquon TreadwellIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR66 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR105 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR66 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR144 in the middle 80%. |
| 106 | WR | Germie BernardPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR73 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR106 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR73 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR157 in the middle 80%. |
| 107 | WR | Odell Beckham Jr.NYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR109 at the median, WR71 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR166 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR107 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR109 at the median, WR71 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR166 in the middle 80%. |
| 108 | WR | Chris MooreBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR74 - WR136 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR159 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR108 | 3.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR74 - WR136 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR159 in the middle 80%. |
| 109 | WR | Simi FehokoARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR108 at the median, WR76 - WR136 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR109 | 3.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR108 at the median, WR76 - WR136 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR158 in the middle 80%. |
| 110 | WR | Jack BechLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR108 at the median, WR78 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR110 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR108 at the median, WR78 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR155 in the middle 80%. |
| 111 | WR | Marquise BrownPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR82 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR165 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR111 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR82 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR165 in the middle 80%. |
| 112 | WR | Kayshon BoutteHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR83 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR112 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR83 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR158 in the middle 80%. |
| 113 | WR | Kyle WilliamsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR113 at the median, WR85 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR159 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR113 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR113 at the median, WR85 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR159 in the middle 80%. |
| 114 | WR | Skyler BellBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR82 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR114 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR82 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR173 in the middle 80%. |
| 115 | WR | Dillon BellMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR120 at the median, WR86 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR115 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR120 at the median, WR86 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR44 - WR173 in the middle 80%. |
| 116 | WR | Bryce LanceNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR87 - WR142 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR162 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR116 | 3.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR87 - WR142 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR162 in the middle 80%. |
| 117 | WR | Luke McCaffreyWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR86 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR117 | 3.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR86 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR174 in the middle 80%. |
| 118 | WR | Tutu AtwellLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR85 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR167 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR118 | 3.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR85 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR167 in the middle 80%. |
| 119 | WR | Montorie Foster JrSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR90 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR119 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR90 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR170 in the middle 80%. |
| 120 | WR | Skyy MooreGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR90 - WR142 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR161 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR120 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR90 - WR142 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR161 in the middle 80%. |
| 121 | WR | KaVontae TurpinDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR120 at the median, WR91 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR53 - WR164 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR121 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR120 at the median, WR91 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR53 - WR164 in the middle 80%. |
| 122 | WR | Jahdae WalkerCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR126 at the median, WR93 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR122 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR126 at the median, WR93 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR173 in the middle 80%. |
| 123 | WR | Olamide ZaccheausATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR95 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR162 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR123 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR95 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR162 in the middle 80%. |
| 124 | WR | Tez JohnsonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR95 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR168 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR124 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR95 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR168 in the middle 80%. |
| 125 | WR | Troy FranklinDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR96 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR125 | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR96 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR169 in the middle 80%. |
| 126 | WR | Zavion ThomasCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR96 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR126 | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR96 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR174 in the middle 80%. |
| 127 | WR | Devontez WalkerBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR100 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR184 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR127 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR100 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR184 in the middle 80%. |
| 128 | WR | Darius CooperPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR103 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR128 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR103 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR174 in the middle 80%. |
| 129 | WR | Jalen BrooksARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR103 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR179 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR129 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR103 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR179 in the middle 80%. |
| 130 | WR | Emmanuel Henderson Jr.SEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR138 at the median, WR106 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR184 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR130 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR138 at the median, WR106 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR184 in the middle 80%. |
| 131 | WR | Konata MumpfieldLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR131 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR174 in the middle 80%. |
| 132 | WR | Malik BensonLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR104 - WR155 in the middle half, and WR69 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR132 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR104 - WR155 in the middle half, and WR69 - WR173 in the middle 80%. |
| 133 | WR | LaJohntay WesterBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR108 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR177 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR133 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR108 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR177 in the middle 80%. |
| 134 | WR | Zachariah BranchATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR116 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR181 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR134 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR116 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR181 in the middle 80%. |
| 135 | WR | Ben SkowronekPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR114 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR186 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR135 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR114 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR186 in the middle 80%. |
| 136 | WR | Jalen RoyalsKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR118 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR81 - WR184 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR136 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR118 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR81 - WR184 in the middle 80%. |
| 137 | WR | Cyrus AllenKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR148 at the median, WR118 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR188 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR137 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR148 at the median, WR118 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR188 in the middle 80%. |
| 138 | WR | Coleman OwenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR119 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR79 - WR192 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR138 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR119 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR79 - WR192 in the middle 80%. |
| 139 | WR | Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR119 - WR173 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR189 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR139 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR119 - WR173 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR189 in the middle 80%. |
| 140 | WR | J. Michael SturdivantGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR148 at the median, WR118 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR189 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR140 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR148 at the median, WR118 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR189 in the middle 80%. |
| 141 | WR | C.J. WilliamsJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR117 - WR175 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR192 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR141 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR117 - WR175 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR192 in the middle 80%. |
| 142 | WR | Elijah SarrattBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR119 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR142 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR119 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 143 | WR | Tyler JohnsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR122 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR143 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR122 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 144 | WR | Brandon SmithPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR144 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 145 | WR | Deven ThompkinsLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR145 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 146 | WR | Ricky White IIISEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR121 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR81 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR146 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR121 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR81 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 147 | WR | Xavier GipsonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR122 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR147 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR122 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 148 | WR | David MooreCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR148 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 149 | WR | Dylan DrummondATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR121 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR149 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR121 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 150 | WR | Jacob CowingSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR150 at the median, WR124 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR187 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR150 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR150 at the median, WR124 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR187 in the middle 80%. |
| 151 | WR | Charlie JonesNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR121 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR151 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR121 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 152 | WR | Xavier RestrepoTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR122 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR152 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR122 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 153 | WR | Brandon JohnsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR195 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR153 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR195 in the middle 80%. |
| 154 | WR | Dohnte MeyersCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR123 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR90 - WR186 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR154 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR123 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR90 - WR186 in the middle 80%. |
| 155 | WR | Tai FeltonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR125 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR195 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR155 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR125 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR195 in the middle 80%. |
| 156 | WR | Alex BachmanLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR156 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 157 | WR | Sterling ShepardNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR157 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 158 | WR | Trent SherfieldBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR158 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 159 | WR | Kevin Austin Jr.NO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR124 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR192 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR159 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR124 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR192 in the middle 80%. |
| 160 | WR | Nick Westbrook-IkhineIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR160 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 161 | WR | Jalin HyattNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR195 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR161 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR195 in the middle 80%. |
| 162 | WR | Bo MeltonGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR127 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR162 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR127 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 163 | WR | Isaiah NeyorGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR90 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR163 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR90 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 164 | WR | Josh CameronJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR157 at the median, WR131 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR190 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR164 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR157 at the median, WR131 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR190 in the middle 80%. |
| 165 | WR | Camden BrownDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR128 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR94 - WR197 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR165 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR128 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR94 - WR197 in the middle 80%. |
| 166 | WR | Ryan MillerMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR158 at the median, WR127 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR91 - WR197 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR166 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR158 at the median, WR127 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR91 - WR197 in the middle 80%. |
| 167 | WR | Brenen ThompsonLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR132 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR198 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR167 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR132 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR198 in the middle 80%. |
| 168 | WR | Ray-Ray McCloudNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR130 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR96 - WR197 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR168 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR130 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR96 - WR197 in the middle 80%. |
| 169 | WR | Cody WhiteLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR136 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR108 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR169 | 1.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR136 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR108 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 170 | WR | Xavier SmithLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR132 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR106 - WR190 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR170 | 1.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR132 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR106 - WR190 in the middle 80%. |
| 171 | WR | K.J. OsbornTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR136 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR198 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR171 | 1.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR136 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR198 in the middle 80%. |
| 172 | WR | Mitchell TinsleyHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR136 - WR187 in the middle half, and WR98 - WR199 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR172 | 1.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR136 - WR187 in the middle half, and WR98 - WR199 in the middle 80%. |
| 173 | WR | Austin TrammellJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR135 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR99 - WR199 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR173 | 1.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR135 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR99 - WR199 in the middle 80%. |
| 174 | WR | Gary JenningsLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR135 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR198 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR174 | 1.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR135 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR198 in the middle 80%. |
| 175 | WR | Brennan PresleyLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR136 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR101 - WR199 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR175 | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR136 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR101 - WR199 in the middle 80%. |
Simulated finishes
This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.
Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.
Week 3 WR outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.
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WR16Jaxon Smith-Njigba is ranked WR1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR5 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR61 in the middle 80%.
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WR16Amon-Ra St. Brown is ranked WR2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR6 - WR37 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
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WR3 Chris OlaveWR23Chris Olave is ranked WR3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR7 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
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WR4 CeeDee LambWR25CeeDee Lamb is ranked WR4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR10 - WR51 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
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WR5 Davante AdamsWR26Davante Adams is ranked WR5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR10 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
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WR6 Ja'Marr ChaseWR25Ja'Marr Chase is ranked WR6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR11 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
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WR7 Zay FlowersWR32Zay Flowers is ranked WR7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR11 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
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WR8 Puka NacuaWR34Puka Nacua is ranked WR8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR12 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
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WR9 DeVonta SmithWR28DeVonta Smith is ranked WR9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR11 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
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WR10 Christian WatsonWR29Christian Watson is ranked WR10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR12 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
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WR11 Justin JeffersonWR30Justin Jefferson is ranked WR11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR12 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
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WR12 Tetairoa McMillanWR31Tetairoa McMillan is ranked WR12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR13 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
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WR13 Jalen CokerWR35Jalen Coker is ranked WR13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR14 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
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WR14 Nico CollinsWR36Nico Collins is ranked WR14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR13 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
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WR15 Garrett WilsonWR32Garrett Wilson is ranked WR15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR14 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
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WR16 Drake LondonWR33Drake London is ranked WR16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR15 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR77 in the middle 80%.
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WR17 Parker WashingtonWR32Parker Washington is ranked WR17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR14 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
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WR18 Tee HigginsWR36Tee Higgins is ranked WR18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR17 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR19 George PickensWR39George Pickens is ranked WR19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR17 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR88 in the middle 80%.
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WR20 Jaylen WaddleWR41Jaylen Waddle is ranked WR20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
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WR21 Stefon DiggsWR41Stefon Diggs is ranked WR21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR68 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR92 in the middle 80%.
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WR22 Malik NabersWR44Malik Nabers is ranked WR22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR18 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
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WR23 Devaughn VeleWR44Devaughn Vele is ranked WR23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
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WR24 Matthew GoldenWR42Matthew Golden is ranked WR24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
Show WR25 - WR36
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WR25 Rashee RiceWR41Rashee Rice is ranked WR25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
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WR26 Emeka EgbukaWR44Emeka Egbuka is ranked WR26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR20 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
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WR27 Ladd McConkeyWR47Ladd McConkey is ranked WR27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR19 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
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WR28 DK MetcalfWR45DK Metcalf is ranked WR28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR21 - WR69 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR90 in the middle 80%.
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WR29 Mike EvansWR50Mike Evans is ranked WR29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR21 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR107 in the middle 80%.
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WR30 Denzel BostonWR47Denzel Boston is ranked WR30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR97 in the middle 80%.
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WR31 Terry McLaurinWR48Terry McLaurin is ranked WR31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
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WR32 Luther Burden IIIWR48Luther Burden III is ranked WR32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
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WR33 Adonai MitchellWR50Adonai Mitchell is ranked WR33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR22 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
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WR34 Carnell TateWR49Carnell Tate is ranked WR34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR97 in the middle 80%.
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WR35 Jameson WilliamsWR47Jameson Williams is ranked WR35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
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WR36 DJ MooreWR51DJ Moore is ranked WR36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR22 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR104 in the middle 80%.
Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.
The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 67% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 59%, sportsbook props for 11%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 24, 2026 22:48 UTC. Model rankings-v1.4.0, board captured 2026-09-24.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
