LV · Bye 13
Tre Tucker
LMD WR36 for Week 3 · 8.5 projected Half PPR points · WR41 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 8.5 points this week, WR36. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 25% of simulated weeks. Up 34 since Week 2.
Week 3
WR36
74th by projected points
Rest of season
WR41
80th by projected points
Projected
8.5
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
13%
Top 3: 3% · Top 24: 25% at WR
Movement
↑ 34
WR70 in Week 2, WR36 now
- Draft / market prior
- Negative-0.50 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Positive+0.76 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral-0.05 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
ADP UPDATE
Tre Tucker's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 129.1 to 134.8 over the last 7 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Tre Tucker has averaged +7.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs MIA | 4.9 | 3.7 | -1.2 |
| Wk 2 | @ LAC | 5.1 | 20.4 | +15.3 |
| Wk 3 | @ NO | 8.5 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR58. For the rest of the season LMD has him 17 spots higher, at WR41.
Preseason market: WR58 · ADP 131.2
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR41 +17
LMD has him 17 spots higher than his WR58 draft price.
Week 3
WR36 +22
LMD has him 22 spots higher than his WR58 draft price.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR58 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 124.7 points this season, WR41. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 17% of simulated seasons. That is 8.3 a game over 15 remaining games. Up 10 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
8.3 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 17%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Tre Tucker #125 in 1QB and #130 in Superflex, WR53 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#125
WR53 · tier 28 · of 297
Superflex
#130
WR53 · tier 23 · of 303
- Last season 133.2 pts 7.8 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 95% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.3 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 15% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
11.03
pick 122.7 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
11.01
half of simulations take him by pick 121
Draft range
9.10 - 12.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,995 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 11.01 in 50% of simulations
Pick 121 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 1, the same seat picks again at 12.12, where he is available in 10% of simulations.
Slot 1's remaining turns: 11.01 50% · 12.12 10% · 13.01 9% · 14.12 <1% · 15.01 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 10.03 and 11.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.11 | 55% |
| 10.12 | 53% |
| 11.01 | 50% |
| 11.02 | 48% |
| 11.03 | 45% |
| 11.04 | 42% |
| 11.05 | 40% |
| 11.06 | 38% |
| 11.07 | 35% |
| 11.08 | 33% |
| 11.09 | 31% |
| 11.10 | 29% |
| 11.11 | 27% |
| 11.12 | 25% |
| 12.01 | 23% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 9.10-9.11 | 5% | 510 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 5% | 531 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 5% | 546 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 6% | 561 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 6% | 564 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 5% | 529 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 5% | 543 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 5% | 497 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 5% | 542 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 5% | 481 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 5% | 469 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 4% | 437 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 4% | 387 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 3% | 339 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 3% | 280 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 2% | 216 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 2% | 217 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 2% | 187 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9995 simulations in which Tre Tucker was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 2%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 2%
- Stefon Diggs WR · WAS 2%
- Denzel Boston WR · CLE 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 2%
- Stefon Diggs WR · WAS 2%
- Parker Washington WR · JAX 2%
- Jake Ferguson TE · DAL 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Tre Tucker was selected in 9995 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.