CHI · Bye 10
Rome Odunze
LMD WR46 for Week 3 · 7.9 projected Half PPR points · WR53 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 7.9 points this week, WR46. Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 11% · Top 24: 23% of simulated weeks. Down 7 since Week 2.
Week 3
WR46
89th by projected points
Rest of season
WR53
100th by projected points
Projected
7.9
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
11%
Top 3: 2% · Top 24: 23% at WR
Movement
↓ 7
WR39 in Week 2, WR46 now
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+1.88 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-1.04 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.18 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Bears WR Rome Odunze reacts to big play vs. Panthers
yardbarker.com ·
-
Bears WR Rome Odunze Issues 4-Word Message on Status for Panthers Game
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Chicago Bears wide receiver Rome Odunze.
Sports Illustrated ·
-
‘I plan on playing’: Rome Odunze questionable but is optimistic he’ll suit up for Bears opener
kdhnews.com ·
-
Ben Johnson discusses Bears WR Rome Odunze heading into Year 3
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Rome Odunze by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Rome Odunze has averaged -0.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ CAR | 7.4 | 6.2 | -1.2 |
| Wk 2 | vs MIN | 6.2 | 5.8 | -0.4 |
| Wk 3 | vs PHI | 7.9 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR26. For the rest of the season LMD has him 27 spots lower, at WR53.
Preseason market: WR26 · ADP 48.2
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR53 −27
LMD has him 27 spots lower than his WR26 draft price.
Week 3
WR46 −20
LMD has him 20 spots lower than his WR26 draft price.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR26 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 116.3 points this season, WR53. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 9% of simulated seasons. That is 8.0 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 18 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
8.0 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 9%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Rome Odunze #69 in 1QB and #71 in Superflex, WR24 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#69
WR24 · tier 18 · of 297
Superflex
#71
WR24 · tier 14 · of 303
- Last season 124.1 pts 10.3 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 82% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 22% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
5.08
pick 56.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
5.08
half of simulations take him by pick 56
Draft range
4.09 - 6.07
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.08 in 52% of simulations
Pick 56 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 8, the same seat picks again at 6.05, where he is available in 15% of simulations.
Slot 8's remaining turns: 5.08 52% · 6.05 15% · 7.08 <1% · 8.05 <1% · 9.08 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 5.02 and 6.02.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 5.06 | 61% |
| 5.07 | 57% |
| 5.08 | 52% |
| 5.09 | 47% |
| 5.10 | 42% |
| 5.11 | 38% |
| 5.12 | 34% |
| 6.01 | 30% |
| 6.02 | 25% |
| 6.03 | 21% |
| 6.04 | 18% |
| 6.05 | 15% |
| 6.06 | 12% |
| 6.07 | 10% |
| 6.08 | 9% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 4.09 | 1% | 147 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 2% | 215 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11 | 2% | 229 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12 | 3% | 329 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01 | 3% | 324 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02 | 4% | 403 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03 | 4% | 421 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04 | 5% | 452 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05 | 5% | 453 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06 | 4% | 445 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07 | 5% | 494 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08 | 5% | 481 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.09 | 5% | 473 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10 | 4% | 438 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.11 | 4% | 418 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12 | 4% | 410 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.01 | 4% | 432 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02 | 4% | 405 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.03 | 3% | 341 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04 | 3% | 300 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.05 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06 | 2% | 196 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.07 | 2% | 191 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Rome Odunze was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- DJ Moore WR · BUF 4%
- Jaylen Waddle WR · DEN 3%
- Zay Flowers WR · BAL 3%
- D'Andre Swift RB · CHI 3%
Usually taken just after
- DJ Moore WR · BUF 4%
- Colston Loveland TE · CHI 3%
- David Montgomery RB · HOU 3%
- Zay Flowers WR · BAL 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Rome Odunze was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.