NYG · Bye 8 · Rookie
Malachi Fields
LMD WR71 for Week 3 · 5.7 projected Half PPR points · WR86 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 5.7 points this week, WR71. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 5% · Top 24: 12% of simulated weeks. Up 6 since Week 2.
Week 3
WR71
135th by projected points
Rest of season
WR86
153rd by projected points
Projected
5.7
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
5%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 12% at WR
Movement
↑ 6
WR77 in Week 2, WR71 now
- Draft / market prior
- Negative-1.17 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight positive+0.29 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.27 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Malachi Fields has averaged +0.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs DAL | 3.7 | 3.5 | -0.2 |
| Wk 2 | @ LAR | 3.3 | 4.0 | +0.7 |
| Wk 3 | vs TEN | 5.7 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 81.6 points this season, WR86. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 5.7 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 6 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
5.7 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Malachi Fields #162 in 1QB and #168 in Superflex, WR66 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 23.
1QB
#162
WR66 · tier 37 · of 297 · rookie 18 of 52
Superflex
#168
WR66 · tier 32 · of 303 · rookie 18 of 52
- Draft capital Round 3, pick 74 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
14.02
pick 157.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
14.01
half of simulations take him by pick 157
Draft range
12.10 - 15.06
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,732 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 14.01 in 57% of simulations
Pick 157 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 12, the same seat picks again at 15.12, where he is available in 14% of simulations.
Slot 12's remaining turns: 14.01 57% · 15.12 14%
The middle half of simulations take him between 13.04 and 14.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 13.11 | 62% |
| 13.12 | 60% |
| 14.01 | 57% |
| 14.02 | 55% |
| 14.03 | 52% |
| 14.04 | 50% |
| 14.05 | 47% |
| 14.06 | 45% |
| 14.07 | 43% |
| 14.08 | 41% |
| 14.09 | 39% |
| 14.10 | 37% |
| 14.11 | 35% |
| 14.12 | 33% |
| 15.01 | 31% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 12.10-12.11 | 5% | 468 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 4% | 449 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | 5% | 488 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | 5% | 491 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | 5% | 463 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | 5% | 498 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | 5% | 507 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | 5% | 532 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | 5% | 479 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | 5% | 452 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | 4% | 439 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | 4% | 419 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | 4% | 372 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | 4% | 385 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 4% | 382 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 3% | 327 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 150 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8732 simulations in which Malachi Fields was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Mike Washington Jr. RB · LV 2%
- Xavier Legette WR · CAR 2%
- Caleb Douglas WR · MIA 2%
- Tez Johnson WR · TB 2%
Usually taken just after
- Zachariah Branch WR · ATL 2%
- Terry McLaurin WR · WAS 2%
- Gunnar Helm TE · TEN 2%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Malachi Fields was selected in 8732 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
