CLE · Bye 11
Quinshon Judkins
LMD RB23 for Week 3 · 10.2 projected Half PPR points · RB23 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 10.2 points this week, RB23. Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 21% · Top 24: 44% of simulated weeks. Up 1 since Week 2.
Week 3
RB23
40th by projected points
Rest of season
RB23
45th by projected points
Projected
10.2
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
21%
Top 3: 4% · Top 24: 44% at RB
Movement
↑ 1
RB24 in Week 2, RB23 now
- Draft / market prior
- Slight negative-0.25 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.79 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Positive+0.50 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advice: What to do with Travis Etienne Jr., Quinshon Judkins, more players in Week 2
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Quinshon Judkins doesn't get much opportunity
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Will Quinshon Judkins Be the First RB To Rush for 75+ Yards Against the Jaguars?
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Why is Quinshon Judkins a fantasy fade?
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Quinshon Judkins by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Quinshon Judkins has averaged -1.7 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ JAX | 8.5 | 6.0 | -2.5 |
| Wk 2 | @ TB | 8.2 | 7.3 | -0.9 |
| Wk 3 | vs CAR | 10.2 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB21. For the rest of the season LMD has him 2 spots lower, at RB23.
Preseason market: RB21 · ADP 50.1
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB23 −2
LMD has him 2 spots lower than his RB21 draft price.
Week 3
RB23 −2
LMD has him 2 spots lower than his RB21 draft price.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB21 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 148.9 points this season, RB23. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 4% · Top 24: 53% of simulated seasons. That is 10.6 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 1 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
10.6 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 4% · Top 24: 53%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Quinshon Judkins #51 in 1QB and #62 in Superflex, RB20 at his position. Age 22.
1QB
#51
RB20 · tier 15 · of 297
Superflex
#62
RB20 · tier 12 · of 303
- Last season 156.8 pts 11.2 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 82% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 19.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 8% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
5.11
pick 59.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
5.12
half of simulations take him by pick 60
Draft range
4.08 - 7.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 5.12 in 51% of simulations
Pick 60 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 12, the same seat picks again at 6.01, where he is available in 47% of simulations.
Slot 12's remaining turns: 5.12 51% · 6.01 47% · 7.12 <1% · 8.01 <1% · 9.12 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 5.04 and 6.07.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 5.10 | 58% |
| 5.11 | 54% |
| 5.12 | 51% |
| 6.01 | 47% |
| 6.02 | 43% |
| 6.03 | 40% |
| 6.04 | 36% |
| 6.05 | 33% |
| 6.06 | 30% |
| 6.07 | 27% |
| 6.08 | 23% |
| 6.09 | 21% |
| 6.10 | 19% |
| 6.11 | 16% |
| 6.12 | 14% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 4.08-4.09 | 3% | 257 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10-4.11 | 3% | 335 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.12-5.01 | 3% | 343 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.02-5.03 | 4% | 427 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.04-5.05 | 6% | 557 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.06-5.07 | 6% | 637 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.08-5.09 | 7% | 743 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.10-5.11 | 7% | 733 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.12-6.01 | 7% | 727 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.02-6.03 | 7% | 730 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.04-6.05 | 6% | 624 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.06-6.07 | 6% | 648 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.08-6.09 | 5% | 477 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.10-6.11 | 5% | 467 of 10000 simulations |
| 6.12-7.01 | 4% | 378 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.02 | 2% | 161 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Quinshon Judkins was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- David Montgomery RB · HOU 3%
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 3%
- Colston Loveland TE · CHI 3%
- Caleb Williams QB · CHI 3%
Usually taken just after
- Rhamondre Stevenson RB · NE 4%
- David Montgomery RB · HOU 3%
- Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX 3%
- Colston Loveland TE · CHI 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Quinshon Judkins was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.