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CLE · Bye 11

Jerry Jeudy

LMD WR79 for Week 3 · 5.2 projected Half PPR points · WR87 rest of season

Regular season

Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 5.2 points this week, WR79. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 4% · Top 24: 10% of simulated weeks. Down 8 since Week 2.

Week 3

WR79

147th by projected points

Rest of season

WR87

154th by projected points

Projected

5.2

week 3, Half PPR

Top 12

4%

Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 10% at WR

Movement

↓ 8

WR71 in Week 2, WR79 now

Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All WR rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

  • ADP UPDATE

    Jerry Jeudy's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 126.1 to 132.5 over the last 7 days.

    Fantasy Football Calculator ·

Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 2 completed games Jerry Jeudy has averaged -2.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Jerry Jeudy, Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 @ JAX 3.9 3.6 -0.3
Wk 2 @ TB 4.1 0.0 -4.1
Wk 3 vs CAR 5.2 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 81.6 points this season, WR87. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 5.4 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 17 since the Sept. 20 board.

Per game

5.4 / game

Over 15 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Jerry Jeudy #148 in 1QB and #151 in Superflex, WR62 at his position. Age 27.

1QB

#148

WR62 · tier 33 · of 297

Superflex

#151

WR62 · tier 27 · of 303

  • Last season 95.7 pts 5.6 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 99% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 6.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 21% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

15.03

pick 199.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

15.05

half of simulations take him by pick 201

Draft range

14.06 - 15.12

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 5,668 of them

Filters

League format

League size 14 teams
Scoring Half PPR
QB format 1QB
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.05 in 72% of simulations

Pick 201 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 14.14 and 15.09.

Jerry Jeudy still on the board
PickAvailable
15.03 79%
15.04 76%
15.05 72%
15.06 69%
15.07 66%
15.08 63%
15.09 60%
15.10 57%
15.11 54%
15.12 51%
15.13 49%
15.14 46%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Jerry Jeudy was selected at each pick, 14.06 through 15.12. He goes earlier than this window in 5%, later in 5%, undrafted in 43%.
Draft position distribution for Jerry Jeudy
PickShare of simulationsCount
14.06<1%69 of 10000 simulations
14.07<1%81 of 10000 simulations
14.08<1%83 of 10000 simulations
14.09<1%98 of 10000 simulations
14.10<1%80 of 10000 simulations
14.111%123 of 10000 simulations
14.121%136 of 10000 simulations
14.131%115 of 10000 simulations
14.141%120 of 10000 simulations
15.013%337 of 10000 simulations
15.023%323 of 10000 simulations
15.033%341 of 10000 simulations
15.043%328 of 10000 simulations
15.053%334 of 10000 simulations
15.063%299 of 10000 simulations
15.073%294 of 10000 simulations
15.083%321 of 10000 simulations
15.093%283 of 10000 simulations
15.103%260 of 10000 simulations
15.113%299 of 10000 simulations
15.123%271 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 5668 simulations in which Jerry Jeudy was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Jerry Jeudy was selected in 5668 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
rank

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 14-team Half PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.