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TE

BAL · Bye 13

Mark Andrews

LMD TE9 for Week 3 · 8.2 projected Half PPR points · TE10 rest of season

Regular season

Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 8.2 points this week, TE9. Top 3: 11% · Top 12: 36% · Top 24: 60% of simulated weeks. Up 7 since Week 2.

Week 3

TE9

77th by projected points

Rest of season

TE10

86th by projected points

Projected

8.2

week 3, Half PPR

Top 12

36%

Top 3: 11% · Top 24: 60% at TE

Movement

↑ 7

TE16 in Week 2, TE9 now

Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All TE rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Mark Andrews by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 2 completed games Mark Andrews has averaged +1.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Mark Andrews, Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 @ IND 5.9 6.9 +1.0
Wk 2 vs NO 6.5 7.9 +1.4
Wk 3 @ DAL 8.2 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 120.0 points this season, TE10. Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 61% · Top 24: 97% of simulated seasons. That is 8.0 a game over 15 remaining games.

Per game

8.0 / game

Over 15 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 61% · Top 24: 97%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Mark Andrews #181 in 1QB and #176 in Superflex, TE23 at his position. Age 30.

1QB

#181

TE23 · tier 40 · of 297

Superflex

#176

TE23 · tier 33 · of 303

  • Last season 107.0 pts 6.3 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 92% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 4.9 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 17% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

10.01

pick 109.3 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

9.11

half of simulations take him by pick 107

Draft range

8.08 - 11.09

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,979 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 14 teams
Scoring Half PPR also published: Full PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft also published: Dynasty

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 9.11 in 53% of simulations

Pick 107 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 11, the same seat picks again at 10.02, where he is available in 44% of simulations.

Slot 11's remaining turns: 9.11 53% · 10.02 44% · 11.11 9% · 12.02 6% · 13.11 2% · 14.02 1% · 15.11 <1%

The middle half of simulations take him between 9.02 and 10.10.

Mark Andrews still on the board
PickAvailable
9.09 58%
9.10 55%
9.11 53%
9.12 50%
10.01 47%
10.02 44%
10.03 42%
10.04 40%
10.05 37%
10.06 35%
10.07 33%
10.08 31%
10.09 29%
10.10 27%
10.11 24%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Mark Andrews was selected at each pick, 8.08-8.09 through 11.08-11.09. He goes earlier than this window in 10%, later in 9%, undrafted in <1%.
Draft position distribution for Mark Andrews
PickShare of simulationsCount
8.08-8.095%450 of 10000 simulations
8.10-8.115%506 of 10000 simulations
8.12-9.015%464 of 10000 simulations
9.02-9.035%461 of 10000 simulations
9.04-9.055%501 of 10000 simulations
9.06-9.075%533 of 10000 simulations
9.08-9.095%549 of 10000 simulations
9.10-9.116%569 of 10000 simulations
9.12-10.015%538 of 10000 simulations
10.02-10.035%456 of 10000 simulations
10.04-10.055%481 of 10000 simulations
10.06-10.074%414 of 10000 simulations
10.08-10.094%419 of 10000 simulations
10.10-10.114%428 of 10000 simulations
10.12-11.013%312 of 10000 simulations
11.02-11.033%331 of 10000 simulations
11.04-11.052%247 of 10000 simulations
11.06-11.072%212 of 10000 simulations
11.08-11.092%193 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9979 simulations in which Mark Andrews was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Mark Andrews was selected in 9979 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Half PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.