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TE

JAX · Bye 7

Brenton Strange

LMD TE27 for Week 3 · 4.4 projected Half PPR points · TE37 rest of season

Regular season

Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 4.4 points this week, TE27. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 29% of simulated weeks. Up 1 since Week 2.

Week 3

TE27

179th by projected points

Rest of season

TE37

231st by projected points

Projected

4.4

week 3, Half PPR

Top 12

14%

Top 3: 3% · Top 24: 29% at TE

Movement

↑ 1

TE28 in Week 2, TE27 now

Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All TE rankings · Projected points board

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 2 completed games Brenton Strange has averaged +1.5 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Brenton Strange, Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 vs CLE 4.6 9.3 +4.7
Wk 2 @ DEN 4.5 2.7 -1.8
Wk 3 vs NE 4.4 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 59.1 points this season, TE37. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 10% of simulated seasons. That is 4.4 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 14 since the Sept. 20 board.

Per game

4.4 / game

Over 15 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 10%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Brenton Strange #220 in 1QB and #221 in Superflex, TE32 at his position. Age 25.

1QB

#220

TE32 · tier 48 · of 297

Superflex

#221

TE32 · tier 40 · of 303

  • Last season 95.0 pts 7.9 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 68% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 3.9 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 12% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty TE rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

11.02

pick 122.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

10.11

half of simulations take him by pick 119

Draft range

9.08 - 12.09

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,792 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 14 teams
Scoring Half PPR also published: Full PPR, Standard
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 10.11 in 53% of simulations

Pick 119 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 11.02, where he is available in 45% of simulations.

Slot 2's remaining turns: 10.11 53% · 11.02 45% · 12.11 11% · 13.02 9% · 14.11 7% · 15.02 6%

The middle half of simulations take him between 10.02 and 11.11.

Brenton Strange still on the board
PickAvailable
10.09 58%
10.10 56%
10.11 53%
10.12 50%
11.01 48%
11.02 45%
11.03 43%
11.04 41%
11.05 39%
11.06 37%
11.07 34%
11.08 32%
11.09 30%
11.10 29%
11.11 27%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Brenton Strange was selected at each pick, 9.08-9.09 through 12.08-12.09. He goes earlier than this window in 9%, later in 10%, undrafted in 2%.
Draft position distribution for Brenton Strange
PickShare of simulationsCount
9.08-9.095%501 of 10000 simulations
9.10-9.115%524 of 10000 simulations
9.12-10.015%503 of 10000 simulations
10.02-10.035%458 of 10000 simulations
10.04-10.055%519 of 10000 simulations
10.06-10.076%556 of 10000 simulations
10.08-10.095%519 of 10000 simulations
10.10-10.115%529 of 10000 simulations
10.12-11.015%486 of 10000 simulations
11.02-11.034%440 of 10000 simulations
11.04-11.055%450 of 10000 simulations
11.06-11.074%429 of 10000 simulations
11.08-11.094%375 of 10000 simulations
11.10-11.113%329 of 10000 simulations
11.12-12.013%324 of 10000 simulations
12.02-12.033%311 of 10000 simulations
12.04-12.053%253 of 10000 simulations
12.06-12.073%253 of 10000 simulations
12.08-12.092%207 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9792 simulations in which Brenton Strange was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Brenton Strange was selected in 9792 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Half PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.