LAR · Bye 11
Blake Corum
LMD RB37 for Week 3 · 7.5 projected Half PPR points · RB37 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 7.5 points this week, RB37. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 10% · Top 24: 29% of simulated weeks. Up 2 since Week 2.
Week 3
RB37
98th by projected points
Rest of season
RB37
110th by projected points
Projected
7.5
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
10%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 29% at RB
Movement
↑ 2
RB39 in Week 2, RB37 now
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral+0.02 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No mean changeNarrower range+0.06 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.17 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
ADP UPDATE
Blake Corum's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 117.7 to 113.8 over the last 7 days.
-
Dave Richard's Final Running Back Tiers: Kenneth Walker III, D'Andre Swift, Blake Corum all make pushes
CBS Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Blake Corum by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Blake Corum has averaged +2.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs SF | 5.3 | 5.4 | +0.1 |
| Wk 2 | vs NYG | 4.3 | 9.7 | +5.4 |
| Wk 3 | @ DEN | 7.5 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at RB41. For the rest of the season LMD has him 4 spots higher, at RB37.
Preseason market: RB41 · ADP 113.5
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
RB37 +4
LMD has him 4 spots higher than his RB41 draft price.
Week 3
RB37 +4
LMD has him 4 spots higher than his RB41 draft price.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
RB41 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 109.8 points this season, RB37. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 6% of simulated seasons. That is 7.4 a game over 15 remaining games. Up 12 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
7.4 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 6%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Blake Corum #154 in 1QB and #155 in Superflex, RB45 at his position. Age 25.
1QB
#154
RB45 · tier 34 · of 297
Superflex
#155
RB45 · tier 28 · of 303
- Last season 118.2 pts 7.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 96% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.5 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 2% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
10.08
pick 115.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
10.07
half of simulations take him by pick 115
Draft range
8.12 - 12.02
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,995 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.07 in 52% of simulations
Pick 115 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 11.06, where he is available in 26% of simulations.
Slot 6's remaining turns: 10.07 52% · 11.06 26% · 12.07 6% · 13.06 2% · 14.07 1% · 15.06 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.09 and 11.06.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.05 | 58% |
| 10.06 | 55% |
| 10.07 | 52% |
| 10.08 | 50% |
| 10.09 | 48% |
| 10.10 | 45% |
| 10.11 | 43% |
| 10.12 | 41% |
| 11.01 | 38% |
| 11.02 | 36% |
| 11.03 | 34% |
| 11.04 | 31% |
| 11.05 | 29% |
| 11.06 | 26% |
| 11.07 | 24% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.12-9.01 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 3% | 269 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 3% | 339 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 4% | 377 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 4% | 400 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 4% | 384 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 5% | 463 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 5% | 509 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 5% | 534 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 5% | 501 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 5% | 494 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 5% | 450 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 5% | 485 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 5% | 461 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 5% | 494 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 4% | 432 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 4% | 401 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 4% | 370 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 3% | 326 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02 | 1% | 125 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9995 simulations in which Blake Corum was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WAS 2%
- James Conner RB · ARI 2%
- Jake Ferguson TE · DAL 2%
Usually taken just after
- Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI 2%
- Michael Pittman WR · PIT 2%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Blake Corum was selected in 9995 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
