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PIT · Bye 9 · Rookie

Germie Bernard

LMD WR114 for Week 3 · 3.1 projected Half PPR points · WR134 rest of season

Regular season

Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 3.1 points this week, WR114. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 3% of simulated weeks.

Week 3

WR114

221st by projected points

Rest of season

WR134

246th by projected points

Projected

3.1

week 3, Half PPR

Top 12

1%

Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 3% at WR

Movement

NEW

Not ranked at WR in Week 2

Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All WR rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Germie Bernard by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 1 completed game Germie Bernard has averaged +2.6 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Germie Bernard, Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 vs ATL 3.1 Pending —
Wk 2 @ NE 2.9 5.5 +2.6
Wk 3 vs CIN 3.1 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 54.9 points this season, WR134. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 3.1 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 40 since the Sept. 20 board.

Per game

3.1 / game

Over 15 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Germie Bernard #132 in 1QB and #135 in Superflex, WR56 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.

1QB

#132

WR56 · tier 29 · of 297 · rookie 13 of 52

Superflex

#135

WR56 · tier 24 · of 303 · rookie 13 of 52

  • Draft capital Round 2, pick 47 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

11.10

pick 129.8 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

11.07

half of simulations take him by pick 127

Draft range

10.04 - 13.07

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,980 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Half PPR
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Dynasty also published: Rookie

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 11.07 in 52% of simulations

Pick 127 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 12.06, where he is available in 28% of simulations.

Slot 7's remaining turns: 11.07 52% · 12.06 28% · 13.07 11% · 14.06 3% · 15.07 <1%

The middle half of simulations take him between 10.10 and 12.07.

Germie Bernard still on the board
PickAvailable
11.05 58%
11.06 55%
11.07 52%
11.08 50%
11.09 48%
11.10 45%
11.11 43%
11.12 40%
12.01 38%
12.02 36%
12.03 33%
12.04 31%
12.05 30%
12.06 28%
12.07 26%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Germie Bernard was selected at each pick, 10.04-10.05 through 13.06-13.07. He goes earlier than this window in 8%, later in 10%, undrafted in <1%.
Draft position distribution for Germie Bernard
PickShare of simulationsCount
10.04-10.055%531 of 10000 simulations
10.06-10.075%504 of 10000 simulations
10.08-10.095%529 of 10000 simulations
10.10-10.116%570 of 10000 simulations
10.12-11.015%523 of 10000 simulations
11.02-11.035%529 of 10000 simulations
11.04-11.055%547 of 10000 simulations
11.06-11.075%502 of 10000 simulations
11.08-11.095%473 of 10000 simulations
11.10-11.115%503 of 10000 simulations
11.12-12.015%462 of 10000 simulations
12.02-12.034%415 of 10000 simulations
12.04-12.054%354 of 10000 simulations
12.06-12.073%335 of 10000 simulations
12.08-12.093%317 of 10000 simulations
12.10-12.113%271 of 10000 simulations
12.12-13.012%231 of 10000 simulations
13.02-13.032%245 of 10000 simulations
13.04-13.052%207 of 10000 simulations
13.06-13.072%184 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9980 simulations in which Germie Bernard was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Germie Bernard was selected in 9980 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
rank

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.