LAC · Bye 7
Oronde Gadsden II
LMD TE30 for Week 3 · 4.2 projected Half PPR points · TE48 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 4.2 points this week, TE30. Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 28% of simulated weeks. Up 14 since Week 2.
Week 3
TE30
190th by projected points
Rest of season
TE48
256th by projected points
Projected
4.2
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
13%
Top 3: 2% · Top 24: 28% at TE
Movement
↑ 14
TE44 in Week 2, TE30 now
- Draft / market prior
- Slight positive+0.20 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.55 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Positive+0.68 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Oronde Gadsden II has averaged +4.2 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs ARI | 2.1 | 4.2 | +2.1 |
| Wk 2 | vs LV | 2.5 | 8.8 | +6.3 |
| Wk 3 | @ BUF | 4.2 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 51.5 points this season, TE48. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 3% of simulated seasons. That is 4.1 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 13 since the Sept. 20 board.
Per game
4.1 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 3%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at TE
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Oronde Gadsden II #98 in 1QB and #99 in Superflex, TE8 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#98
TE8 · tier 23 · of 297
Superflex
#99
TE8 · tier 17 · of 303
- Last season 106.9 pts 7.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 88% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 4.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 14% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
8.11
pick 95.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
8.10
half of simulations take him by pick 94
Draft range
7.06 - 10.06
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,999 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 8.10 in 52% of simulations
Pick 94 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 3, the same seat picks again at 9.03, where he is available in 38% of simulations.
Slot 3's remaining turns: 8.10 52% · 9.03 38% · 10.10 6% · 11.03 3% · 12.10 <1% · 13.03 <1% · 14.10 <1% · 15.03 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 8.01 and 9.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 8.08 | 57% |
| 8.09 | 55% |
| 8.10 | 52% |
| 8.11 | 49% |
| 8.12 | 46% |
| 9.01 | 43% |
| 9.02 | 41% |
| 9.03 | 38% |
| 9.04 | 36% |
| 9.05 | 33% |
| 9.06 | 31% |
| 9.07 | 29% |
| 9.08 | 27% |
| 9.09 | 25% |
| 9.10 | 23% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 7.06-7.07 | 4% | 399 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.08-7.09 | 4% | 429 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.10-7.11 | 5% | 450 of 10000 simulations |
| 7.12-8.01 | 5% | 468 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.02-8.03 | 5% | 488 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04-8.05 | 5% | 524 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.06-8.07 | 6% | 573 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.08-8.09 | 5% | 532 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.10-8.11 | 6% | 586 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.12-9.01 | 5% | 535 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 5% | 482 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 5% | 451 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 5% | 450 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 4% | 375 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 4% | 395 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 3% | 334 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 3% | 260 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 2% | 248 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06 | 1% | 148 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9999 simulations in which Oronde Gadsden II was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Tucker Kraft TE · GB 3%
- Hunter Henry TE · NE 2%
- Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · ARI 2%
- Dalton Kincaid TE · BUF 2%
Usually taken just after
- Dalton Kincaid TE · BUF 2%
- Hunter Henry TE · NE 2%
- George Kittle TE · SF 2%
- Tucker Kraft TE · GB 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Oronde Gadsden II was selected in 9999 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.