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NFL · 2026 Week 3

Week 3 Half PPR RB Rankings

Half PPR, 1QB · 96 players projected · updated September 22, 2026

See how our Week 2 rankings performed

Our Week 3 quarterback rankings are being corrected and are not shown. The board on this page was generated before a fix to how we model whether a quarterback plays at all, and it ranked several backups among the starters. Running backs, receivers and tight ends are unaffected and are current. No market snapshot: no sportsbook or prediction-market prices reached this board. Sportsbook prices reached 0 of 143 fantasy-relevant players (0%), so the market half of this board is thinner than a full week's.

How these rankings work

How these rankings are built

We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.

We then update those expectations for Week 3 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.

We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.

This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.

What the percentages mean

For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.

Top 3
how often he finishes among the top three at his position
Top 12
how often he finishes in the top 12
Top 24
how often he finishes in the top 24

A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.

How often a strong start lasts

Since 1999, 55% of RBs inside the top 12 through Week 2 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 324 RB-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.

What stands out this week

96 RBs ranked for Week 3. Kenneth Walker III leads at 19.8 projected points.

Biggest differences from the draft market

Behind

  • Saquon BarkleyRB15Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 9% · Top 12: 30% · Top 24: 53% -7 vs. RB8
  • MarShawn LloydRB40Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 1% · Top 12: 8% · Top 24: 25% -4 vs. RB36
  • J.K. DobbinsRB41Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 1% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 25% -4 vs. RB37

Movement

Risers

  • Alvin KamaraRB32Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 31% ↑ 22
  • Woody MarksRB35Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 11% · Top 24: 29% ↑ 14
  • Rachaad WhiteRB33Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 11% · Top 24: 30% ↑ 12

Fallers

Positional movement since the final Week 2 board, among players inside RB36 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.

Week 3 Half PPR RB Rankings -- Half PPR scoring: projected fantasy points and the share of simulated weeks finishing top 3, top 12 and top 24 at the position. From our own statistical and market model, not analyst consensus.
# Pos Player Pos rank Proj
1 RB Kenneth Walker IIIKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 24% of the time, 4th to 12th 35%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 19%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB10 at the median, RB4 - RB20 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB33 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 24%Top 12: 59%Top 24: 81%
 RB1↑ 7 19.8
2 RB Jahmyr GibbsDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 24% of the time, 4th to 12th 35%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 19%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB10 at the median, RB4 - RB21 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB35 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 24%Top 12: 58%Top 24: 81%
 RB2↓ 1 19.6
3 RB Jonathan TaylorIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 20% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 24%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB11 at the median, RB5 - RB24 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 20%Top 12: 54%Top 24: 76%
 RB3— 18.2
4 RB Derrick HenryBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 19% of the time, 4th to 12th 34%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 24%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB12 at the median, RB5 - RB23 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB38 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 19%Top 12: 53%Top 24: 76%
 RB4↑ 1 17.9
5 RB Bijan RobinsonATL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 17% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 25%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB13 at the median, RB5 - RB24 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 17%Top 12: 50%Top 24: 75%
 RB5↓ 3 17.2
6 RB Christian McCaffreySF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 29%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB40 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 71%
 RB6↓ 2 16.3
7 RB James CookBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 15% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 28%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB26 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB40 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 15%Top 12: 46%Top 24: 72%
 RB7↓ 1 16.2
8 RB Ashton JeantyLV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 33%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 29%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB27 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB40 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 71%
 RB8↓ 1 15.7
9 RB De'Von AchaneMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 31%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 30%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB6 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB41 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 70%
 RB9↑ 1 15.6
10 RB Chase BrownCIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 34%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB7 - RB31 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB42 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 40%Top 24: 66%
 RB10↑ 1 14.6
11 RB Breece HallNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB32 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB43 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 64%
 RB11↑ 1 14.0
12 RB Omarion HamptonLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 41%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB20 at the median, RB9 - RB36 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB47 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 59%
 RB12↑ 2 12.9
13 RB D'Andre SwiftCHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 45%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB10 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 55%
 RB13↑ 3 12.9
14 RB Javonte WilliamsDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 43%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB20 at the median, RB10 - RB37 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 57%
 RB14↓ 1 12.7
15 RB Saquon BarkleyPHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB10 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 53%
 RB15↓ 6 12.4
16 RB Bucky IrvingTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 26%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB11 - RB37 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 56%
 RB16↑ 4 12.2
17 RB Cam SkatteboNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 25%, and outside the top 24 50%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB12 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 50%
 RB17↑ 4 11.2
18 RB Jeremiyah LoveARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB25 at the median, RB13 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 49%
 RB18↓ 3 11.1
19 RB Kyren WilliamsLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB25 at the median, RB13 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 48%
 RB19↓ 1 11.0
20 RB Bhayshul TutenJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB26 at the median, RB13 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB53 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 48%
 RB20↑ 7 10.7
21 RB Travis EtienneNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB27 at the median, RB14 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 46%
 RB21↓ 2 10.6
22 RB Chuba HubbardCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB28 at the median, RB14 - RB42 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB53 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 45%
 RB22↑ 3 10.3
23 RB Quinshon JudkinsCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB28 at the median, RB14 - RB42 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 44%
 RB23↑ 1 10.2
24 RB David MontgomeryHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB28 at the median, RB14 - RB45 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 44%
 RB24↓ 7 10.2
25 RB Jaylen WarrenPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB28 at the median, RB14 - RB43 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 45%
 RB25↓ 2 10.2
26 RB Rhamondre StevensonNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 24%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB29 at the median, RB15 - RB44 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 44%
 RB26↓ 4 9.9
27 RB TreVeyon HendersonNEQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB34 at the median, RB16 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB67 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 39%
 RB27↑ 9 9.6
28 RB Jadarian PriceSEAQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB32 at the median, RB16 - RB48 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB61 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 40%
 RB28↓ 2 9.6
29 RB Aaron JonesMIN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB30 at the median, RB16 - RB45 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 41%
 RB29↓ 1 9.4
30 RB Tony PollardTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB34 at the median, RB19 - RB47 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 35%
 RB30↑ 3 8.7
31 RB Kyle MonangaiCHIQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB38 at the median, RB20 - RB52 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB65 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 33%
 RB31↓ 1 8.2
32 RB Alvin KamaraNOQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB21 - RB55 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 31%
 RB32↑ 22 8.0
33 RB Rachaad WhiteWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB37 at the median, RB21 - RB50 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 30%
 RB33↑ 12 7.9
34 RB Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB21 - RB52 in the middle half, and RB11 - RB63 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 31%
 RB34↓ 5 7.8
35 RB Woody MarksHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB22 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 29%
 RB35↑ 14 7.7
36 RB Rico DowdlePITQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB40 at the median, RB22 - RB56 in the middle half, and RB11 - RB70 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 29%
 RB36↓ 4 7.6
37 RB Blake CorumLAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB22 - RB52 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB64 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 29%
 RB37↑ 2 7.5
38 RB Tyjae SpearsTEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB41 at the median, RB24 - RB52 in the middle half, and RB14 - RB65 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 25%
 RB38↑ 6 7.1
39 RB Tyler AllgeierARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB43 at the median, RB25 - RB55 in the middle half, and RB14 - RB68 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 24%
 RB39↓ 4 6.9
40 RB MarShawn LloydGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB43 at the median, RB25 - RB56 in the middle half, and RB14 - RB69 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 25%
 RB40↓ 9 6.8
41 RB J.K. DobbinsDENQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB44 at the median, RB24 - RB60 in the middle half, and RB13 - RB74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 25%
 RB41↓ 4 6.8
42 RB Kaelon BlackSFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB46 at the median, RB25 - RB61 in the middle half, and RB13 - RB75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 24%
 RB42↓ 8 6.6
43 RB Kenny GainwellTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB43 at the median, RB26 - RB57 in the middle half, and RB15 - RB68 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 23%
 RB43↓ 1 6.5
44 RB Jonathon BrooksCARDDoubtful
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB47 at the median, RB30 - RB63 in the middle half, and RB16 - RB79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 20%
 RB44↓ 3 6.0
45 RB Emanuel WilsonSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB50 at the median, RB33 - RB64 in the middle half, and RB19 - RB76 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 16%
 RB45↑ 71 5.4
46 RB Brian RobinsonATLQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB52 at the median, RB34 - RB68 in the middle half, and RB19 - RB83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15%
 RB46↑ 4 5.2
47 RB Emmett JohnsonKC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB54 at the median, RB37 - RB67 in the middle half, and RB21 - RB80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 13%
 RB47↑ 1 4.9
48 RB Braelon AllenNYJ
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB54 at the median, RB37 - RB69 in the middle half, and RB22 - RB81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 14%
 RB48↓ 5 4.8
49 RB Chris BrooksGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB56 at the median, RB40 - RB70 in the middle half, and RB23 - RB82 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%
 RB49↓ 2 4.5
50 RB Devin NealNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB60 at the median, RB41 - RB78 in the middle half, and RB22 - RB93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%
 RB50↑ 38 4.4
51 RB Jarquez HunterMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB60 at the median, RB41 - RB77 in the middle half, and RB22 - RB93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12%
 RB51↑ 58 4.4
52 RB Carlos WashingtonMIA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB59 at the median, RB40 - RB77 in the middle half, and RB22 - RB93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 12%
 RB52↑ 59 4.4
53 RB Jonah ColemanDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB58 at the median, RB43 - RB73 in the middle half, and RB24 - RB85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 11%
 RB53NEW 4.3
54 RB Devin SingletaryNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB59 at the median, RB43 - RB73 in the middle half, and RB24 - RB86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 10%
 RB54↓ 14 4.2
55 RB Justice HillBAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB57 at the median, RB43 - RB72 in the middle half, and RB25 - RB84 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%
 RB55↓ 4 4.2
56 RB Patrick RicardNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB61 at the median, RB42 - RB77 in the middle half, and RB25 - RB91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 10%
 RB56NEW 4.1
57 RB Tank BigsbyPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB61 at the median, RB43 - RB75 in the middle half, and RB24 - RB88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 10%
 RB57↑ 51 4.1
58 RB George HolaniSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB60 at the median, RB44 - RB74 in the middle half, and RB25 - RB86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 9%
 RB58↓ 12 4.1
59 RB Mike Washington Jr.LV
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB62 at the median, RB46 - RB76 in the middle half, and RB27 - RB89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 8%
 RB59↓ 3 3.8
60 RB Najee HarrisNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB63 at the median, RB46 - RB80 in the middle half, and RB26 - RB94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 RB60↑ 18 3.8
61 RB Chris Rodriguez Jr.JAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB62 at the median, RB46 - RB76 in the middle half, and RB26 - RB88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 RB61↓ 4 3.8
62 RB Samaje PerineCINQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB64 at the median, RB46 - RB81 in the middle half, and RB27 - RB95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8%
 RB62↓ 10 3.7
63 RB Keaton MitchellLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB66 at the median, RB50 - RB80 in the middle half, and RB30 - RB93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6%
 RB63↓ 10 3.4
64 RB Roschon JohnsonCHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB69 at the median, RB51 - RB85 in the middle half, and RB29 - RB100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7%
 RB64NEW 3.3
65 RB Kaleb JohnsonGB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB74 at the median, RB56 - RB89 in the middle half, and RB31 - RB100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5%
 RB65NEW 3.0
66 RB Will ShipleyPHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB70 at the median, RB54 - RB84 in the middle half, and RB32 - RB96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB66↑ 36 3.0
67 RB Ameer AbdullahJAX
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB72 at the median, RB57 - RB85 in the middle half, and RB32 - RB97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB67↓ 5 2.9
68 RB AJ DillonCAR
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB71 at the median, RB56 - RB85 in the middle half, and RB33 - RB97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB68↓ 3 2.9
69 RB Tyler BadieDEN
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB73 at the median, RB56 - RB89 in the middle half, and RB34 - RB101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB69↑ 18 2.8
70 RB Amar JohnsonLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB78 at the median, RB58 - RB96 in the middle half, and RB35 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB70↓ 3 2.7
71 RB Kyle JuszczykSFQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB77 at the median, RB58 - RB94 in the middle half, and RB35 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4%
 RB71↑ 21 2.7
72 RB LeQuint Allen Jr.JAXQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB82 at the median, RB62 - RB99 in the middle half, and RB37 - RB110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB72↑ 43 2.4
73 RB Emari DemercadoDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB79 at the median, RB63 - RB93 in the middle half, and RB39 - RB103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
 RB73↓ 12 2.4
74 RB Reggie GilliamNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB81 at the median, RB63 - RB97 in the middle half, and RB38 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB74↑ 46 2.4
75 RB Lan LarisonNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB81 at the median, RB63 - RB96 in the middle half, and RB37 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB75↑ 5 2.4
76 RB Raheim SandersCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB80 at the median, RB65 - RB94 in the middle half, and RB43 - RB105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB76↓ 17 2.3
77 RB Phil MafahNYG
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB67 - RB104 in the middle half, and RB36 - RB112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB77↑ 27 2.3
78 RB Lew Nichols IIIPIT
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB85 at the median, RB66 - RB102 in the middle half, and RB37 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB78↑ 27 2.3
79 RB Ronnie RiversLARQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB84 at the median, RB64 - RB100 in the middle half, and RB40 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB79↓ 19 2.3
80 RB Kaytron AllenWAS
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB82 at the median, RB66 - RB96 in the middle half, and RB42 - RB106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB80↑ 10 2.3
81 RB Evan HullARI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB86 at the median, RB66 - RB102 in the middle half, and RB39 - RB112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB81↑ 22 2.2
82 RB Sincere McCormickSF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB69 - RB103 in the middle half, and RB40 - RB113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB82↑ 1 2.2
83 RB Jacardia WrightSEA
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB67 - RB104 in the middle half, and RB39 - RB113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3%
 RB83↑ 1 2.2
84 RB Jawhar JordanHOU
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB68 - RB103 in the middle half, and RB39 - RB113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB84↑ 5 2.2
85 RB Carson SteelePHI
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB68 - RB103 in the middle half, and RB39 - RB112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3%
 RB85↑ 6 2.2
86 RB Jaleel McLaughlinCLE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB83 at the median, RB66 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB46 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB86NEW 2.2
87 RB Seth McGowanIND
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB85 at the median, RB69 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB45 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB87↑ 27 2.1
88 RB Josh WilliamsTB
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB86 at the median, RB69 - RB101 in the middle half, and RB48 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB88NEW 2.1
89 RB CJ DonaldsonNO
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB84 at the median, RB68 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB46 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB89↓ 25 2.1
90 RB Ray DavisBUF
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB84 at the median, RB68 - RB98 in the middle half, and RB45 - RB107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB90↑ 28 2.1
91 RB Sione VakiDET
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB86 at the median, RB70 - RB99 in the middle half, and RB52 - RB108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1%
 RB91↓ 33 2.0
92 RB Tyler GoodsonDAL
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB69 - RB103 in the middle half, and RB47 - RB112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB92↑ 7 2.0
93 RB Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYGQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB70 - RB102 in the middle half, and RB47 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB93NEW 2.0
94 RB Corey KinerNE
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB73 - RB101 in the middle half, and RB46 - RB110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB94↓ 31 2.0
95 RB Kimani VidalLAC
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB88 at the median, RB71 - RB102 in the middle half, and RB48 - RB111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB95NEW 2.0
96 RB Sean TuckerTBQQuestionable
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB92 at the median, RB71 - RB107 in the middle half, and RB45 - RB116 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2%
 RB96↓ 3 2.0

Simulated finishes

This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.

Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.

Week 3 RB outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.

Projected rank
Median finish
13612243660
  1. RB1 Kenneth Walker III
    RB10
    Kenneth Walker III is ranked RB1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB10 at the median, RB4 - RB20 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB33 in the middle 80%.
  2. RB2 Jahmyr Gibbs
    RB10
    Jahmyr Gibbs is ranked RB2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB10 at the median, RB4 - RB21 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB35 in the middle 80%.
  3. RB3 Jonathan Taylor
    RB11
    Jonathan Taylor is ranked RB3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB11 at the median, RB5 - RB24 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
  4. RB4 Derrick Henry
    RB12
    Derrick Henry is ranked RB4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB12 at the median, RB5 - RB23 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB38 in the middle 80%.
  5. RB5 Bijan Robinson
    RB13
    Bijan Robinson is ranked RB5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB13 at the median, RB5 - RB24 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB37 in the middle 80%.
  6. RB6 Christian McCaffrey
    RB14
    Christian McCaffrey is ranked RB6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB40 in the middle 80%.
  7. RB7 James Cook
    RB14
    James Cook is ranked RB7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB26 in the middle half, and RB2 - RB40 in the middle 80%.
  8. RB8 Ashton Jeanty
    RB14
    Ashton Jeanty is ranked RB8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB14 at the median, RB6 - RB27 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB40 in the middle 80%.
  9. RB9 De'Von Achane
    RB15
    De'Von Achane is ranked RB9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB15 at the median, RB6 - RB28 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB41 in the middle 80%.
  10. RB10 Chase Brown
    RB17
    Chase Brown is ranked RB10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB7 - RB31 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB42 in the middle 80%.
  11. RB11 Breece Hall
    RB17
    Breece Hall is ranked RB11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB17 at the median, RB8 - RB32 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB43 in the middle 80%.
  12. RB12 Omarion Hampton
    RB20
    Omarion Hampton is ranked RB12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB20 at the median, RB9 - RB36 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB47 in the middle 80%.
  13. RB13 D'Andre Swift
    RB21
    D'Andre Swift is ranked RB13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB10 - RB39 in the middle half, and RB3 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
  14. RB14 Javonte Williams
    RB20
    Javonte Williams is ranked RB14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB20 at the median, RB10 - RB37 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
  15. RB15 Saquon Barkley
    RB23
    Saquon Barkley is ranked RB15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB23 at the median, RB10 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB4 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
  16. RB16 Bucky Irving
    RB21
    Bucky Irving is ranked RB16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB21 at the median, RB11 - RB37 in the middle half, and RB5 - RB48 in the middle 80%.
  17. RB17 Cam Skattebo
    RB24
    Cam Skattebo is ranked RB17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB24 at the median, RB12 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
  18. RB18 Jeremiyah Love
    RB25
    Jeremiyah Love is ranked RB18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB25 at the median, RB13 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
  19. RB19 Kyren Williams
    RB25
    Kyren Williams is ranked RB19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB25 at the median, RB13 - RB40 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
  20. RB20 Bhayshul Tuten
    RB26
    Bhayshul Tuten is ranked RB20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB26 at the median, RB13 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB6 - RB53 in the middle 80%.
  21. RB21 Travis Etienne
    RB27
    Travis Etienne is ranked RB21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB27 at the median, RB14 - RB41 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB51 in the middle 80%.
  22. RB22 Chuba Hubbard
    RB28
    Chuba Hubbard is ranked RB22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB28 at the median, RB14 - RB42 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB53 in the middle 80%.
  23. RB23 Quinshon Judkins
    RB28
    Quinshon Judkins is ranked RB23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB28 at the median, RB14 - RB42 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
  24. RB24 David Montgomery
    RB28
    David Montgomery is ranked RB24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB28 at the median, RB14 - RB45 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
Show RB25 - RB36
  1. RB25 Jaylen Warren
    RB28
    Jaylen Warren is ranked RB25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB28 at the median, RB14 - RB43 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB52 in the middle 80%.
  2. RB26 Rhamondre Stevenson
    RB29
    Rhamondre Stevenson is ranked RB26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB29 at the median, RB15 - RB44 in the middle half, and RB8 - RB55 in the middle 80%.
  3. RB27 TreVeyon Henderson
    RB34
    TreVeyon Henderson is ranked RB27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB34 at the median, RB16 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB67 in the middle 80%.
  4. RB28 Jadarian Price
    RB32
    Jadarian Price is ranked RB28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB32 at the median, RB16 - RB48 in the middle half, and RB7 - RB61 in the middle 80%.
  5. RB29 Aaron Jones
    RB30
    Aaron Jones is ranked RB29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB30 at the median, RB16 - RB45 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
  6. RB30 Tony Pollard
    RB34
    Tony Pollard is ranked RB30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB34 at the median, RB19 - RB47 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB57 in the middle 80%.
  7. RB31 Kyle Monangai
    RB38
    Kyle Monangai is ranked RB31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB38 at the median, RB20 - RB52 in the middle half, and RB9 - RB65 in the middle 80%.
  8. RB32 Alvin Kamara
    RB39
    Alvin Kamara is ranked RB32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB21 - RB55 in the middle half, and RB10 - RB72 in the middle 80%.
  9. RB33 Rachaad White
    RB37
    Rachaad White is ranked RB33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB37 at the median, RB21 - RB50 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB62 in the middle 80%.
  10. RB34 Jacory Croskey-Merritt
    RB39
    Jacory Croskey-Merritt is ranked RB34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB21 - RB52 in the middle half, and RB11 - RB63 in the middle 80%.
  11. RB35 Woody Marks
    RB39
    Woody Marks is ranked RB35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB39 at the median, RB22 - RB51 in the middle half, and RB12 - RB62 in the middle 80%.
  12. RB36 Rico Dowdle
    RB40
    Rico Dowdle is ranked RB36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes RB40 at the median, RB22 - RB56 in the middle half, and RB11 - RB70 in the middle 80%.

Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.

The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.

How these are made

This board was built from 2026 usage for 68% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 58%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.

Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 22, 2026 18:57 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 2 board generated before that week's first kickoff (September 17, 2026). Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-22.

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections).

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