NFL · 2026 Week 3
Week 3 Half PPR WR Rankings
Half PPR, 1QB · 143 players projected · updated September 22, 2026
See how our Week 2 rankings performed
Our Week 3 quarterback rankings are being corrected and are not shown. The board on this page was generated before a fix to how we model whether a quarterback plays at all, and it ranked several backups among the starters. Running backs, receivers and tight ends are unaffected and are current. No market snapshot: no sportsbook or prediction-market prices reached this board. Sportsbook prices reached 0 of 143 fantasy-relevant players (0%), so the market half of this board is thinner than a full week's.
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 3 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at his position
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.
How often a strong start lasts
Since 1999, 43% of WRs inside the top 12 through Week 2 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 325 WR-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.
What stands out this week
143 WRs ranked for Week 3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads at 16.5 projected points.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Behind
- DJ MooreWR34Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 4% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 27% -12 vs. WR22
- Drake LondonWR17Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 4% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 34% -10 vs. WR7
- Ja'Marr ChaseWR7Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 8% · Top 12: 27% · Top 24: 46% -6 vs. WR1
Movement
Risers
- Tre TuckerWR36Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 25% ↑ 34
- Denzel BostonWR31Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 28% ↑ 31
- Davante AdamsWR6Top 3: 9% · Top 12: 28% · Top 24: 46% ↑ 19
Fallers
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR65 ↓ 30
- DJ MooreWR34Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 27% ↓ 18
- Courtland SuttonWR45Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 11% · Top 24: 24% ↓ 13
Positional movement since the final Week 2 board, among players inside WR36 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj | Outcome profile | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR5 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR61 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 18%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 63% |
WR1— | 16.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 37%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR5 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR61 in the middle 80%. | |
| 2 | WR | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 40%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR17 at the median, WR6 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR64 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 16%Top 12: 41%Top 24: 60% |
WR2— | 15.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 40%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR17 at the median, WR6 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR64 in the middle 80%. | |
| 3 | WR | Chris OlaveNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR8 - WR52 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 14%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 51% |
WR3↑ 3 | 14.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR8 - WR52 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR76 in the middle 80%. | |
| 4 | WR | CeeDee LambDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR9 - WR51 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 49% |
WR4↑ 4 | 13.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR9 - WR51 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR73 in the middle 80%. | |
| 5 | WR | DeVonta SmithPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR10 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 46% |
WR5↑ 10 | 12.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR10 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR76 in the middle 80%. | |
| 6 | WR | Davante AdamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR11 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 46% |
WR6↑ 19 | 12.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR11 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR78 in the middle 80%. | |
| 7 | WR | Ja'Marr ChaseCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR11 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 46% |
WR7↓ 3 | 12.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR11 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR78 in the middle 80%. | |
| 8 | WR | Christian WatsonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR12 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 44% |
WR8↑ 13 | 12.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR12 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR81 in the middle 80%. | |
| 9 | WR | Justin JeffersonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR12 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 43% |
WR9↓ 4 | 11.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR12 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR80 in the middle 80%. | |
| 10 | WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR13 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 41% |
WR10↑ 4 | 11.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR13 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%. | |
| 11 | WR | Parker WashingtonJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR13 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 42% |
WR11↑ 15 | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR13 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR81 in the middle 80%. | |
| 12 | WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR14 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 41% |
WR12↓ 2 | 11.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 59%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR14 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR83 in the middle 80%. | |
| 13 | WR | Jalen CokerCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 62%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR38 at the median, WR15 - WR68 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 38% |
WR13↑ 9 | 10.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 62%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR38 at the median, WR15 - WR68 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 14 | WR | Tee HigginsCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR15 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 37% |
WR14↑ 6 | 10.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR15 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR86 in the middle 80%. | |
| 15 | WR | George PickensDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR18 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 34% |
WR15↓ 3 | 10.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR18 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR90 in the middle 80%. | |
| 16 | WR | Malik NabersNYGQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR17 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 33% |
WR16↓ 5 | 10.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR17 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 17 | WR | Drake LondonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR18 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 34% |
WR17↓ 8 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR18 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR89 in the middle 80%. | |
| 18 | WR | Jaylen WaddleDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR18 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 33% |
WR18↑ 10 | 9.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR18 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR88 in the middle 80%. | |
| 19 | WR | Matthew GoldenGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 32% |
WR19↑ 10 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR89 in the middle 80%. | |
| 20 | WR | Ladd McConkeyLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR19 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 31% |
WR20↓ 2 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR19 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR104 in the middle 80%. | |
| 21 | WR | Devaughn VeleNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 32% |
WR21↑ 12 | 9.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%. | |
| 22 | WR | Stefon DiggsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 33% |
WR22↑ 12 | 9.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 23 | WR | Emeka EgbukaTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31% |
WR23↓ 4 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%. | |
| 24 | WR | Casey WashingtonCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR19 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 30% |
WR24NEW | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR19 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR111 in the middle 80%. | |
| 25 | WR | Rashee RiceKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 31% |
WR25↓ 8 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR96 in the middle 80%. | |
| 26 | WR | Michael BandyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR19 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 31% |
WR26NEW | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR19 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR109 in the middle 80%. | |
| 27 | WR | DK MetcalfPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR20 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 31% |
WR27↑ 3 | 9.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR20 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR96 in the middle 80%. | |
| 28 | WR | Mike EvansSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR20 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 29% |
WR28↓ 1 | 9.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR20 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR108 in the middle 80%. | |
| 29 | WR | Luther Burden IIICHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28% |
WR29↓ 5 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR96 in the middle 80%. | |
| 30 | WR | Deebo Samuel Sr.SF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% |
WR30↑ 8 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 31 | WR | Denzel BostonCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR21 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% |
WR31↑ 31 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR21 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 32 | WR | Carnell TateTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% |
WR32↓ 1 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR98 in the middle 80%. | |
| 33 | WR | Terry McLaurinWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR21 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% |
WR33↑ 4 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR21 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR100 in the middle 80%. | |
| 34 | WR | DJ MooreBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR23 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 27% |
WR34↓ 18 | 8.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR23 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR109 in the middle 80%. | |
| 35 | WR | Jameson WilliamsDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
WR35↓ 12 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR100 in the middle 80%. | |
| 36 | WR | Tre TuckerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR24 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 25% |
WR36↑ 34 | 8.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR24 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR101 in the middle 80%. | |
| 37 | WR | Dontayvion WicksPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR24 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 26% |
WR37↑ 23 | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR24 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR100 in the middle 80%. | |
| 38 | WR | Xavier WorthyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR24 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 26% |
WR38↑ 7 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR24 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 39 | WR | Josh DownsIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR26 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
WR39↑ 19 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR26 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 40 | WR | KC ConcepcionCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR25 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 24% |
WR40↑ 10 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR25 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR102 in the middle 80%. | |
| 41 | WR | Khalil ShakirBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR26 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
WR41↓ 5 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR26 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR104 in the middle 80%. | |
| 42 | WR | Adonai MitchellNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR26 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
WR42↑ 25 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR26 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 43 | WR | Mitchell TinsleyHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR26 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 24% |
WR43NEW | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR26 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR120 in the middle 80%. | |
| 44 | WR | Brian Thomas Jr.JAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR26 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 24% |
WR44↑ 13 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR26 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR115 in the middle 80%. | |
| 45 | WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR26 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
WR45↓ 13 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR26 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR107 in the middle 80%. | |
| 46 | WR | Rome OdunzeCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR26 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 23% |
WR46↓ 7 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR26 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 47 | WR | Xavier HutchinsonHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR27 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 23% |
WR47↑ 6 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR27 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 48 | WR | Michael WilsonARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR27 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 23% |
WR48↓ 8 | 7.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR27 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR104 in the middle 80%. | |
| 49 | WR | Rashod BatemanBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR28 - WR85 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 22% |
WR49↑ 38 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR28 - WR85 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR109 in the middle 80%. | |
| 50 | WR | Romeo DoubsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR28 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 21% |
WR50↑ 18 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR28 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR108 in the middle 80%. | |
| 51 | WR | Caleb DouglasMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR29 - WR91 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR116 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22% |
WR51↓ 9 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR29 - WR91 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR116 in the middle 80%. | |
| 52 | WR | Quentin JohnstonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR30 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 20% |
WR52↓ 4 | 7.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR30 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR111 in the middle 80%. | |
| 53 | WR | Keenan AllenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR31 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19% |
WR53↑ 2 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR31 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR110 in the middle 80%. | |
| 54 | WR | Rashid ShaheedSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR31 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19% |
WR54↑ 21 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR31 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR111 in the middle 80%. | |
| 55 | WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR31 - WR86 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
WR55↓ 1 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR31 - WR86 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR109 in the middle 80%. | |
| 56 | WR | Kalif RaymondCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR33 - WR86 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 18% |
WR56↓ 13 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR33 - WR86 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR110 in the middle 80%. | |
| 57 | WR | Malik WashingtonMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR35 - WR89 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17% |
WR57↓ 8 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR35 - WR89 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 58 | WR | Keon ColemanBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR33 - WR91 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17% |
WR58↑ 37 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR33 - WR91 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR115 in the middle 80%. | |
| 59 | WR | Jalen McMillanTBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR35 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% |
WR59↑ 15 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR35 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR140 in the middle 80%. | |
| 60 | WR | Alec PierceINDDDoubtful Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR36 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR60↓ 19 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR36 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR124 in the middle 80%. | |
| 61 | WR | Jordan AddisonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR35 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR118 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17% |
WR61↓ 10 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR35 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR118 in the middle 80%. | |
| 62 | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR35 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR118 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR62↓ 10 | 6.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR35 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR118 in the middle 80%. | |
| 63 | WR | Jayden ReedGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR37 - WR104 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR131 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR63↓ 17 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR37 - WR104 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR131 in the middle 80%. | |
| 64 | WR | Ted Hurst IIITB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR37 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR64↑ 19 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR37 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR120 in the middle 80%. | |
| 65 | WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR40 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR117 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR65↓ 30 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR40 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR117 in the middle 80%. | |
| 66 | WR | Jakobi MeyersJAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR39 - WR105 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR129 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
WR66↓ 3 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR39 - WR105 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR129 in the middle 80%. | |
| 67 | WR | Travis HunterJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR42 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14% |
WR67↑ 33 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR42 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 68 | WR | Ryan FlournoyDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR40 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR68↑ 8 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR40 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR124 in the middle 80%. | |
| 69 | WR | Tre HarrisLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR43 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR123 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR69— | 5.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR43 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR123 in the middle 80%. | |
| 70 | WR | Cooper KuppSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR43 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR134 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 13% |
WR70↑ 9 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR43 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR134 in the middle 80%. | |
| 71 | WR | Malachi FieldsNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR44 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR126 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR71↑ 6 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR44 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR126 in the middle 80%. | |
| 72 | WR | DeMario DouglasNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR44 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR125 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR72↓ 16 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR44 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR125 in the middle 80%. | |
| 73 | WR | Kendrick BourneARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR46 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR125 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR73↓ 26 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR46 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR125 in the middle 80%. | |
| 74 | WR | Mack HollinsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR48 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR128 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
WR74↓ 13 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR78 at the median, WR48 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR128 in the middle 80%. | |
| 75 | WR | Tory HortonSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR48 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 12% |
WR75NEW | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR48 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR154 in the middle 80%. | |
| 76 | WR | Jahan DotsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR79 at the median, WR47 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR129 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR76↑ 8 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR79 at the median, WR47 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR129 in the middle 80%. | |
| 77 | WR | Jaylin NoelHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR79 at the median, WR49 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR129 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR77↑ 12 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR79 at the median, WR49 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR129 in the middle 80%. | |
| 78 | WR | Antonio WilliamsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR51 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR78↓ 5 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR51 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR130 in the middle 80%. | |
| 79 | WR | Jerry JeudyCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR49 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR79↓ 8 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR49 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR130 in the middle 80%. | |
| 80 | WR | Kayshon BoutteHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR51 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR132 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR80— | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR51 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR132 in the middle 80%. | |
| 81 | WR | Danny GrayPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR52 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR81↑ 44 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR52 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 82 | WR | Jalen TolbertMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR54 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR82NEW | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR54 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 83 | WR | Odell Beckham Jr.NYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR50 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR149 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR83↑ 28 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR50 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR149 in the middle 80%. | |
| 84 | WR | Jalen ReagorMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR49 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR84NEW | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR49 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 85 | WR | Calvin RidleyTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR54 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR85↓ 3 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR54 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 86 | WR | Alex BachmanLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR53 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR86↑ 48 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR53 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 87 | WR | K.J. OsbornTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR54 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR150 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR87↑ 23 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR54 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR150 in the middle 80%. | |
| 88 | WR | Brandon JohnsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR53 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR149 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR88NEW | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR53 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR149 in the middle 80%. | |
| 89 | WR | Jalen NailorLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR55 - WR112 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR134 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
WR89↓ 23 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR55 - WR112 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR134 in the middle 80%. | |
| 90 | WR | Tyquan ThorntonKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR55 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR90↑ 12 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR55 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 91 | WR | Xavier GipsonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR55 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR150 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR91NEW | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR55 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR150 in the middle 80%. | |
| 92 | WR | Nick Westbrook-IkhineIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR53 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR152 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR92NEW | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR53 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR152 in the middle 80%. | |
| 93 | WR | Xavier LegetteCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR93↓ 3 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 94 | WR | Makai LemonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR55 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
WR94↓ 29 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR55 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 95 | WR | Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR56 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR95↑ 2 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR56 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR144 in the middle 80%. | |
| 96 | WR | Pat BryantDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR55 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR96↓ 37 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR55 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 97 | WR | Austin TrammellJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR56 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR150 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR97NEW | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR56 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR150 in the middle 80%. | |
| 98 | WR | Roman WilsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR98↓ 34 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 99 | WR | Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR56 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
WR99NEW | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR56 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR144 in the middle 80%. | |
| 100 | WR | Darnell MooneyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR58 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR100↓ 12 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR58 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR137 in the middle 80%. | |
| 101 | WR | Josh PalmerBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR58 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR101↓ 9 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR58 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 102 | WR | Dyami BrownWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR59 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR102↓ 6 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR59 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR138 in the middle 80%. | |
| 103 | WR | Isaac TeSlaaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR60 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR103↓ 9 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR60 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 104 | WR | Jack BechLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR61 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR104↓ 26 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR61 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 105 | WR | Dylan DrummondATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR60 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR105NEW | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR60 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR157 in the middle 80%. | |
| 106 | WR | Ricky White IIISEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR62 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR106NEW | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR62 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR157 in the middle 80%. | |
| 107 | WR | Marquise BrownPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR64 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR152 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR107↑ 1 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR64 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR152 in the middle 80%. | |
| 108 | WR | Isaiah WilliamsNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR65 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR108↓ 7 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR65 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 109 | WR | David MooreCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR64 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR109NEW | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR64 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR157 in the middle 80%. | |
| 110 | WR | Emmanuel Henderson Jr.SEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR66 - WR135 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR110↓ 1 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR66 - WR135 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR160 in the middle 80%. | |
| 111 | WR | Zavion ThomasCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR68 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR111↑ 1 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR68 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 112 | WR | Chris BellMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR71 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR112↓ 26 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR71 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 113 | WR | Theo Wease Jr.LAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR76 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR168 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR113NEW | 3.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR76 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR168 in the middle 80%. | |
| 114 | WR | Germie BernardPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR84 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR165 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR114NEW | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR84 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR165 in the middle 80%. | |
| 115 | WR | Jahdae WalkerCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR88 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR115NEW | 3.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR88 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 116 | WR | Kevin Austin Jr.NO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR88 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR116NEW | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR88 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR169 in the middle 80%. | |
| 117 | WR | KaVontae TurpinDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR93 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR51 - WR167 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR117↓ 11 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR93 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR51 - WR167 in the middle 80%. | |
| 118 | WR | Trey PalmerNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR95 - WR158 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR178 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR118NEW | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR95 - WR158 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR178 in the middle 80%. | |
| 119 | WR | Bryce OliverTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR130 at the median, WR96 - WR157 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR178 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR119↓ 3 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR130 at the median, WR96 - WR157 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR178 in the middle 80%. | |
| 120 | WR | Elic AyomanorTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR96 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR120↓ 22 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR96 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR169 in the middle 80%. | |
| 121 | WR | Olamide ZaccheausATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR126 at the median, WR97 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR121↓ 16 | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR126 at the median, WR97 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR169 in the middle 80%. | |
| 122 | WR | Kyle WilliamsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR97 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR168 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 1% |
WR122↓ 15 | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR97 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR168 in the middle 80%. | |
| 123 | WR | Darius CooperPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR100 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR123NEW | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR100 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 124 | WR | Ben SkowronekPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR96 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR124NEW | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR96 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR174 in the middle 80%. | |
| 125 | WR | Andrei IosivasCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR99 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR125↓ 40 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR99 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR169 in the middle 80%. | |
| 126 | WR | Devontez WalkerBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR98 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR183 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR126↓ 27 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR98 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR183 in the middle 80%. | |
| 127 | WR | Troy FranklinDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR129 at the median, WR100 - WR152 in the middle half, and WR65 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR127NEW | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR129 at the median, WR100 - WR152 in the middle half, and WR65 - WR169 in the middle 80%. | |
| 128 | WR | Skyler BellBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR100 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR54 - WR181 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR128NEW | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR100 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR54 - WR181 in the middle 80%. | |
| 129 | WR | Skyy MooreGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR102 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR129NEW | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR102 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR173 in the middle 80%. | |
| 130 | WR | Chris MooreBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR126 at the median, WR99 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR130↓ 37 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR126 at the median, WR99 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR170 in the middle 80%. | |
| 131 | WR | Bryce LanceNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR130 at the median, WR103 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR172 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR131↓ 50 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR130 at the median, WR103 - WR154 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR172 in the middle 80%. | |
| 132 | WR | Cody WhiteLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR134 at the median, WR107 - WR157 in the middle half, and WR67 - WR175 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR132NEW | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR134 at the median, WR107 - WR157 in the middle half, and WR67 - WR175 in the middle 80%. | |
| 133 | WR | Van JeffersonWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR139 at the median, WR105 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR186 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR133— | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR139 at the median, WR105 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR186 in the middle 80%. | |
| 134 | WR | Jared WayneHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR155 in the middle half, and WR68 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR134NEW | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR155 in the middle half, and WR68 - WR174 in the middle 80%. | |
| 135 | WR | Lewis BondHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR140 at the median, WR106 - WR167 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR187 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR135NEW | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR140 at the median, WR106 - WR167 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR187 in the middle 80%. | |
| 136 | WR | Tez JohnsonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR106 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR70 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR136NEW | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR106 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR70 - WR174 in the middle 80%. | |
| 137 | WR | Dillon BellMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR139 at the median, WR107 - WR167 in the middle half, and WR61 - WR187 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR137NEW | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR139 at the median, WR107 - WR167 in the middle half, and WR61 - WR187 in the middle 80%. | |
| 138 | WR | Bub MeansCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR140 at the median, WR108 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR186 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR138↓ 8 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR140 at the median, WR108 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR186 in the middle 80%. | |
| 139 | WR | Gary JenningsLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR140 at the median, WR107 - WR167 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR186 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR139NEW | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR140 at the median, WR107 - WR167 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR186 in the middle 80%. | |
| 140 | WR | C.J. WilliamsJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR111 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR70 - WR190 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR140NEW | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR111 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR70 - WR190 in the middle 80%. | |
| 141 | WR | Brenen ThompsonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR142 at the median, WR111 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR68 - WR184 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR141NEW | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR142 at the median, WR111 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR68 - WR184 in the middle 80%. | |
| 142 | WR | Laquon TreadwellIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR137 at the median, WR111 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR177 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR142NEW | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR137 at the median, WR111 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR177 in the middle 80%. | |
| 143 | WR | Jalen BrooksARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR117 - WR170 in the middle half, and WR81 - WR188 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR143↓ 30 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR117 - WR170 in the middle half, and WR81 - WR188 in the middle 80%. |
Simulated finishes
This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.
Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.
Week 3 WR outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.
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WR15Jaxon Smith-Njigba is ranked WR1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR5 - WR38 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR61 in the middle 80%.
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WR17Amon-Ra St. Brown is ranked WR2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR17 at the median, WR6 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR64 in the middle 80%.
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WR3 Chris OlaveWR23Chris Olave is ranked WR3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR8 - WR52 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
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WR4 CeeDee LambWR25CeeDee Lamb is ranked WR4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR9 - WR51 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
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WR5 DeVonta SmithWR28DeVonta Smith is ranked WR5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR10 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
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WR6 Davante AdamsWR29Davante Adams is ranked WR6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR11 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
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WR7 Ja'Marr ChaseWR28Ja'Marr Chase is ranked WR7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR11 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
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WR8 Christian WatsonWR29Christian Watson is ranked WR8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR12 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR9 Justin JeffersonWR31Justin Jefferson is ranked WR9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR12 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
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WR10 Tetairoa McMillanWR33Tetairoa McMillan is ranked WR10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR13 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
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WR11 Parker WashingtonWR32Parker Washington is ranked WR11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR13 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR12 Garrett WilsonWR32Garrett Wilson is ranked WR12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR14 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
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WR13 Jalen CokerWR38Jalen Coker is ranked WR13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR38 at the median, WR15 - WR68 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
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WR14 Tee HigginsWR36Tee Higgins is ranked WR14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR15 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR86 in the middle 80%.
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WR15 George PickensWR40George Pickens is ranked WR15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR18 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR90 in the middle 80%.
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WR16 Malik NabersWR45Malik Nabers is ranked WR16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR17 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
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WR17 Drake LondonWR40Drake London is ranked WR17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR18 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
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WR18 Jaylen WaddleWR40Jaylen Waddle is ranked WR18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR18 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR88 in the middle 80%.
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WR19 Matthew GoldenWR43Matthew Golden is ranked WR19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
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WR20 Ladd McConkeyWR46Ladd McConkey is ranked WR20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR19 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR104 in the middle 80%.
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WR21 Devaughn VeleWR44Devaughn Vele is ranked WR21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
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WR22 Stefon DiggsWR42Stefon Diggs is ranked WR22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
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WR23 Emeka EgbukaWR44Emeka Egbuka is ranked WR23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
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WR24 Casey WashingtonWR48Casey Washington is ranked WR24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR19 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR111 in the middle 80%.
Show WR25 - WR36
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WR25 Rashee RiceWR44Rashee Rice is ranked WR25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
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WR26 Michael BandyWR49Michael Bandy is ranked WR26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR19 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
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WR27 DK MetcalfWR45DK Metcalf is ranked WR27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR20 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
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WR28 Mike EvansWR50Mike Evans is ranked WR28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR20 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR108 in the middle 80%.
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WR29 Luther Burden IIIWR47Luther Burden III is ranked WR29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
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WR30 Deebo Samuel Sr.WR48Deebo Samuel Sr. is ranked WR30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
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WR31 Denzel BostonWR49Denzel Boston is ranked WR31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR21 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
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WR32 Carnell TateWR48Carnell Tate is ranked WR32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
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WR33 Terry McLaurinWR49Terry McLaurin is ranked WR33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR21 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
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WR34 DJ MooreWR52DJ Moore is ranked WR34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR23 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
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WR35 Jameson WilliamsWR49Jameson Williams is ranked WR35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
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WR36 Tre TuckerWR51Tre Tucker is ranked WR36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR24 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.
The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 68% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 58%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 22, 2026 18:57 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 2 board generated before that week's first kickoff (September 17, 2026). Model rankings-v1.3.0, board captured 2026-09-22.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections).
