NFL · 2026 Week 3
2026 Week 3 WR Rankings
Final pre-kickoff board · published September 24, 2026, 22:49 UTC · first kickoff September 25, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Full PPR, 1QB · 176 players projected · updated September 24, 2026
See how these rankings performed
Sportsbook prices reached 45 of 145 fantasy-relevant players (31%), so the market half of this board is thinner than a full week's.
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 3 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Full PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at his position
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.
How often a strong start lasts
Since 1999, 45% of WRs inside the top 12 through Week 2 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 326 WR-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.
What stood out in Week 3
176 WRs ranked for Week 3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads at 20.0 projected points.
Tier break
2.0 projected points separate WR3 Chris Olave from WR4 CeeDee Lamb.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Behind
- DJ MooreWR37Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 27% -14 vs. WR23
- Malik NabersWR22Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 5% · Top 12: 18% · Top 24: 33% -8 vs. WR14
- Ladd McConkeyWR27Our projection is lower than the outside forecastTop 3: 4% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 31% -6 vs. WR21
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj | Outcome profile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR5 - WR35 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 18%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 64% |
WR1 | 20.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 18% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR5 - WR35 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR60 in the middle 80%. |
| 2 | WR | Amon-Ra St. BrownDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 35%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR5 - WR33 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR57 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 16%Top 12: 44%Top 24: 65% |
WR2 | 19.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 35%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR5 - WR33 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR57 in the middle 80%. |
| 3 | WR | Chris OlaveNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR21 at the median, WR7 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 16%Top 12: 37%Top 24: 54% |
WR3 | 18.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR21 at the median, WR7 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR73 in the middle 80%. |
| 4 | WR | CeeDee LambDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR24 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 51% |
WR4 | 16.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR24 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR72 in the middle 80%. |
| 5 | WR | Ja'Marr ChaseCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR10 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR68 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 52% |
WR5 | 15.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR10 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR68 in the middle 80%. |
| 6 | WR | Davante AdamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR10 - WR52 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 48% |
WR6 | 15.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR10 - WR52 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR74 in the middle 80%. |
| 7 | WR | Zay FlowersBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR11 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 44% |
WR7 | 15.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR11 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR92 in the middle 80%. |
| 8 | WR | DeVonta SmithPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR11 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 48% |
WR8 | 14.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR11 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR75 in the middle 80%. |
| 9 | WR | Puka NacuaLARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR11 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 42% |
WR9 | 14.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR11 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR94 in the middle 80%. |
| 10 | WR | Justin JeffersonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR12 - WR54 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 26%Top 24: 45% |
WR10 | 14.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR12 - WR54 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%. |
| 11 | WR | Jalen CokerCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR13 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 40% |
WR11 | 14.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR13 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR91 in the middle 80%. |
| 12 | WR | Nico CollinsHOUQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR12 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 40% |
WR12 | 14.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR12 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR101 in the middle 80%. |
| 13 | WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR13 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 43% |
WR13 | 14.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR13 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR80 in the middle 80%. |
| 14 | WR | Christian WatsonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR12 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 43% |
WR14 | 14.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR12 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%. |
| 15 | WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR13 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 24%Top 24: 44% |
WR15 | 13.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 56%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR13 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%. |
| 16 | WR | Drake LondonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR14 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR77 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 42% |
WR16 | 13.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR14 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR77 in the middle 80%. |
| 17 | WR | Parker WashingtonJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR14 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 42% |
WR17 | 13.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR14 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%. |
| 18 | WR | George PickensDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 64%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR16 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 36% |
WR18 | 12.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 64%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR16 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR87 in the middle 80%. |
| 19 | WR | Tee HigginsCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR17 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 37% |
WR19 | 12.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR17 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR81 in the middle 80%. |
| 20 | WR | Jaylen WaddleDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR17 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 34% |
WR20 | 12.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR17 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR87 in the middle 80%. |
| 21 | WR | Stefon DiggsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR17 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 35% |
WR21 | 12.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR17 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR91 in the middle 80%. |
| 22 | WR | Malik NabersNYGQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 33% |
WR22 | 11.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR100 in the middle 80%. |
| 23 | WR | Devaughn VeleNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 33% |
WR23 | 11.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR93 in the middle 80%. |
| 24 | WR | Matthew GoldenGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 33% |
WR24 | 11.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%. |
| 25 | WR | Rashee RiceKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 33% |
WR25 | 11.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR89 in the middle 80%. |
| 26 | WR | Emeka EgbukaTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR20 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 31% |
WR26 | 11.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR20 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%. |
| 27 | WR | Ladd McConkeyLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31% |
WR27 | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR99 in the middle 80%. |
| 28 | WR | DK MetcalfPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR20 - WR69 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 30% |
WR28 | 11.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR20 - WR69 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR89 in the middle 80%. |
| 29 | WR | Mike EvansSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR21 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 29% |
WR29 | 11.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR21 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR107 in the middle 80%. |
| 30 | WR | Luther Burden IIICHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR21 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 29% |
WR30 | 10.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR21 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR96 in the middle 80%. |
| 31 | WR | Carnell TateTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR22 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% |
WR31 | 10.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR22 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR97 in the middle 80%. |
| 32 | WR | Denzel BostonCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR22 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28% |
WR32 | 10.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR22 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR98 in the middle 80%. |
| 33 | WR | Jameson WilliamsDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR22 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28% |
WR33 | 10.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR22 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR93 in the middle 80%. |
| 34 | WR | Terry McLaurinWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28% |
WR34 | 10.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR98 in the middle 80%. |
| 35 | WR | Adonai MitchellNYJQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR23 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
WR35 | 10.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR23 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR103 in the middle 80%. |
| 36 | WR | Michael PittmanPITQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR23 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR116 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 15%Top 24: 27% |
WR36 | 10.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR23 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR116 in the middle 80%. |
| 37 | WR | DJ MooreBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
WR37 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR23 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR105 in the middle 80%. |
| 38 | WR | Deebo Samuel Sr.SF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR23 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 27% |
WR38 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR23 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR100 in the middle 80%. |
| 39 | WR | Tre TuckerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR23 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
WR39 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR23 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR99 in the middle 80%. |
| 40 | WR | KC ConcepcionCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR24 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 25% |
WR40 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR24 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR102 in the middle 80%. |
| 41 | WR | Dontayvion WicksPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR25 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 25% |
WR41 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR25 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR101 in the middle 80%. |
| 42 | WR | Josh DownsIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR25 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 25% |
WR42 | 10.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR25 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR100 in the middle 80%. |
| 43 | WR | Xavier WorthyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR25 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 24% |
WR43 | 9.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR25 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR98 in the middle 80%. |
| 44 | WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR26 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
WR44 | 9.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR26 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR105 in the middle 80%. |
| 45 | WR | Khalil ShakirBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR26 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 24% |
WR45 | 9.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR52 at the median, WR26 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR103 in the middle 80%. |
| 46 | WR | Michael WilsonARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR25 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 24% |
WR46 | 9.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR25 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR102 in the middle 80%. |
| 47 | WR | Brian Thomas Jr.JAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR27 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR109 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 23% |
WR47 | 9.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR27 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR109 in the middle 80%. |
| 48 | WR | Rome OdunzeCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR28 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR104 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 22% |
WR48 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR28 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR104 in the middle 80%. |
| 49 | WR | Jalen ReagorMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR28 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR122 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 22% |
WR49 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR28 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR122 in the middle 80%. |
| 50 | WR | Rashod BatemanBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR28 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 21% |
WR50 | 9.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR28 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR106 in the middle 80%. |
| 51 | WR | Rashid ShaheedSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR29 - WR86 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 20% |
WR51 | 9.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR29 - WR86 in the middle half, and WR13 - WR110 in the middle 80%. |
| 52 | WR | Jalen Moreno-CropperNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR28 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22% |
WR52 | 9.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR28 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR124 in the middle 80%. |
| 53 | WR | Romeo DoubsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR31 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 19% |
WR53 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR31 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR106 in the middle 80%. |
| 54 | WR | Kalif RaymondCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR31 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18% |
WR54 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR31 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR108 in the middle 80%. |
| 55 | WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR32 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19% |
WR55 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR32 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR110 in the middle 80%. |
| 56 | WR | Keenan AllenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR33 - WR90 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17% |
WR56 | 8.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR33 - WR90 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR114 in the middle 80%. |
| 57 | WR | Caleb DouglasMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR33 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 17% |
WR57 | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR33 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR124 in the middle 80%. |
| 58 | WR | Malik WashingtonMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR35 - WR89 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16% |
WR58 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR35 - WR89 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR110 in the middle 80%. |
| 59 | WR | Jalen McMillanTBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR34 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 18% |
WR59 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR34 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR141 in the middle 80%. |
| 60 | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR35 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR60 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR35 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR115 in the middle 80%. |
| 61 | WR | Jakobi MeyersJAXQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR36 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR122 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR61 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR36 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR122 in the middle 80%. |
| 62 | WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR37 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% |
WR62 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR37 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR114 in the middle 80%. |
| 63 | WR | Xavier HutchinsonHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR36 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR118 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% |
WR63 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR36 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR118 in the middle 80%. |
| 64 | WR | Quentin JohnstonLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR36 - WR90 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR64 | 7.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR36 - WR90 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR112 in the middle 80%. |
| 65 | WR | Ted Hurst IIITB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR38 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR65 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR38 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR120 in the middle 80%. |
| 66 | WR | Ryan FlournoyDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR40 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR66 | 7.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR40 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR120 in the middle 80%. |
| 67 | WR | Travis HunterJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR40 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14% |
WR67 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR40 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR139 in the middle 80%. |
| 68 | WR | Malachi FieldsNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR42 - WR100 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR125 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR68 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR42 - WR100 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR125 in the middle 80%. |
| 69 | WR | Roman WilsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR44 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR69 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR44 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR124 in the middle 80%. |
| 70 | WR | Cooper KuppSEAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR43 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR132 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR70 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR43 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR132 in the middle 80%. |
| 71 | WR | DeMario DouglasNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR43 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR116 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR71 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR43 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR116 in the middle 80%. |
| 72 | WR | Tre HarrisLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR43 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR118 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
WR72 | 7.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR43 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR118 in the middle 80%. |
| 73 | WR | Jordan AddisonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR44 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR127 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
WR73 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR44 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR127 in the middle 80%. |
| 74 | WR | Keon ColemanBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR45 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR74 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR45 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR137 in the middle 80%. |
| 75 | WR | Jaylin NoelHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR46 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR127 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR75 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR46 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR127 in the middle 80%. |
| 76 | WR | Antonio WilliamsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR48 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR131 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR76 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR48 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR131 in the middle 80%. |
| 77 | WR | Jalen NailorLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR48 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR77 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR81 at the median, WR48 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR130 in the middle 80%. |
| 78 | WR | Michael BandyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR49 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR145 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 10% |
WR78 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR49 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR145 in the middle 80%. |
| 79 | WR | Pat BryantDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR51 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR131 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR79 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR51 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR131 in the middle 80%. |
| 80 | WR | Calvin RidleyTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR52 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR142 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR80 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR52 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR142 in the middle 80%. |
| 81 | WR | Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR53 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR81 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR53 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR140 in the middle 80%. |
| 82 | WR | Jauan JenningsMINQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR52 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR152 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 9% |
WR82 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR52 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR152 in the middle 80%. |
| 83 | WR | Mack HollinsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR56 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR128 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR83 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR82 at the median, WR56 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR128 in the middle 80%. |
| 84 | WR | Makai LemonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR56 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR84 | 5.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR56 - WR114 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR137 in the middle 80%. |
| 85 | WR | Jahan DotsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR55 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR132 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR85 | 5.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR55 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR132 in the middle 80%. |
| 86 | WR | Darnell MooneyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR58 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR86 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR88 at the median, WR58 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR137 in the middle 80%. |
| 87 | WR | Tyquan ThorntonKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR57 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR87 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR57 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR137 in the middle 80%. |
| 88 | WR | Isaac TeSlaaDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR58 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR88 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR58 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR140 in the middle 80%. |
| 89 | WR | Cedrick Wilson Jr.MIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR56 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR156 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR89 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR56 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR156 in the middle 80%. |
| 90 | WR | Josh PalmerBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR58 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR90 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR58 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR141 in the middle 80%. |
| 91 | WR | Kendrick BourneARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR59 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR91 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR59 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR137 in the middle 80%. |
| 92 | WR | Jerry JeudyCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR59 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR92 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR59 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR140 in the middle 80%. |
| 93 | WR | Elic AyomanorTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR58 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR93 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR58 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR140 in the middle 80%. |
| 94 | WR | Dominic LovettDET Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR58 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR94 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR58 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR154 in the middle 80%. |
| 95 | WR | Ronnie BellLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR58 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR95 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR58 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR154 in the middle 80%. |
| 96 | WR | Bryce OliverTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR59 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR96 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR59 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR153 in the middle 80%. |
| 97 | WR | Xavier LegetteCARQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR60 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR149 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR97 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR60 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR149 in the middle 80%. |
| 98 | WR | Dyami BrownWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR61 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR98 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR61 - WR118 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR139 in the middle 80%. |
| 99 | WR | Isaiah WilliamsNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR60 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR99 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR60 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR138 in the middle 80%. |
| 100 | WR | Reggie VirgilARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR60 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR100 | 5.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR60 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR155 in the middle 80%. |
| 101 | WR | Jalen TolbertMIA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR60 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR101 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR60 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR157 in the middle 80%. |
| 102 | WR | Marvin Mims Jr.DENQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR63 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR102 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR63 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR158 in the middle 80%. |
| 103 | WR | Jared WayneHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR63 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR143 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR103 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR63 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR143 in the middle 80%. |
| 104 | WR | Chris BellMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR61 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR151 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR104 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR61 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR151 in the middle 80%. |
| 105 | WR | Laquon TreadwellIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR66 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR105 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR66 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR144 in the middle 80%. |
| 106 | WR | Germie BernardPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR73 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR156 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR106 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR73 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR156 in the middle 80%. |
| 107 | WR | Odell Beckham Jr.NYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR109 at the median, WR72 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR166 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR107 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR109 at the median, WR72 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR166 in the middle 80%. |
| 108 | WR | Simi FehokoARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR108 at the median, WR76 - WR136 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR108 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR108 at the median, WR76 - WR136 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR158 in the middle 80%. |
| 109 | WR | Chris MooreBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR76 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR109 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR76 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR160 in the middle 80%. |
| 110 | WR | Jack BechLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR77 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
WR110 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR77 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR154 in the middle 80%. |
| 111 | WR | Marquise BrownPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR83 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR165 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR111 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR83 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR165 in the middle 80%. |
| 112 | WR | Kayshon BoutteHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR83 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR112 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR83 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR158 in the middle 80%. |
| 113 | WR | Kyle WilliamsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR113 at the median, WR85 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR159 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR113 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR113 at the median, WR85 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR159 in the middle 80%. |
| 114 | WR | Skyler BellBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR82 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR114 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR82 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR173 in the middle 80%. |
| 115 | WR | Bryce LanceNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR87 - WR142 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR162 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR115 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR87 - WR142 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR162 in the middle 80%. |
| 116 | WR | Luke McCaffreyWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR86 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR116 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR86 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR174 in the middle 80%. |
| 117 | WR | Tutu AtwellLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR86 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR167 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR117 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR86 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR167 in the middle 80%. |
| 118 | WR | Dillon BellMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR120 at the median, WR86 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR118 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR120 at the median, WR86 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR173 in the middle 80%. |
| 119 | WR | Skyy MooreGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR88 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR119 | 3.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR117 at the median, WR88 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR160 in the middle 80%. |
| 120 | WR | Montorie Foster JrSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR90 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR51 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR120 | 3.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR90 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR51 - WR170 in the middle 80%. |
| 121 | WR | Olamide ZaccheausATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR93 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR121 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR93 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR160 in the middle 80%. |
| 122 | WR | KaVontae TurpinDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR92 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR165 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR122 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR92 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR165 in the middle 80%. |
| 123 | WR | Jahdae WalkerCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR92 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR123 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR92 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR173 in the middle 80%. |
| 124 | WR | Troy FranklinDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR97 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR124 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR97 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR169 in the middle 80%. |
| 125 | WR | Tez JohnsonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR96 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR125 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR96 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR59 - WR169 in the middle 80%. |
| 126 | WR | Zavion ThomasCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR96 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR126 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR96 - WR153 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR174 in the middle 80%. |
| 127 | WR | Devontez WalkerBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR134 at the median, WR100 - WR164 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR185 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR127 | 3.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR134 at the median, WR100 - WR164 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR185 in the middle 80%. |
| 128 | WR | Jalen BrooksARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR103 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR179 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR128 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR103 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR179 in the middle 80%. |
| 129 | WR | Darius CooperPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR103 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR174 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR129 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR103 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR174 in the middle 80%. |
| 130 | WR | Emmanuel Henderson Jr.SEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR138 at the median, WR105 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR184 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR130 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR138 at the median, WR105 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR184 in the middle 80%. |
| 131 | WR | Konata MumpfieldLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR155 in the middle half, and WR71 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR131 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR155 in the middle half, and WR71 - WR173 in the middle 80%. |
| 132 | WR | Malik BensonLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR105 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR69 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR132 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR105 - WR156 in the middle half, and WR69 - WR173 in the middle 80%. |
| 133 | WR | LaJohntay WesterBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR108 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR177 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR133 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR135 at the median, WR108 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR177 in the middle 80%. |
| 134 | WR | Ben SkowronekPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR113 - WR168 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR185 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR134 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR113 - WR168 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR185 in the middle 80%. |
| 135 | WR | Zachariah BranchATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR143 at the median, WR116 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR181 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR135 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR143 at the median, WR116 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR181 in the middle 80%. |
| 136 | WR | C.J. WilliamsJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR117 - WR175 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR192 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR136 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR117 - WR175 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR192 in the middle 80%. |
| 137 | WR | Jalen RoyalsKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR118 - WR168 in the middle half, and WR81 - WR183 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR137 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR118 - WR168 in the middle half, and WR81 - WR183 in the middle 80%. |
| 138 | WR | Cyrus AllenKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR118 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR188 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR138 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR118 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR188 in the middle 80%. |
| 139 | WR | Coleman OwenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR119 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR79 - WR192 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR139 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR119 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR79 - WR192 in the middle 80%. |
| 140 | WR | Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR119 - WR173 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR189 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR140 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR119 - WR173 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR189 in the middle 80%. |
| 141 | WR | J. Michael SturdivantGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR118 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR189 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR141 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR118 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR189 in the middle 80%. |
| 142 | WR | Elijah SarrattBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR119 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR142 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR119 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR80 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 143 | WR | Ricky White IIISEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR121 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR143 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR121 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR82 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 144 | WR | Xavier GipsonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR122 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR144 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR122 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 145 | WR | Dylan DrummondATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR121 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR145 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR121 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 146 | WR | Jacob CowingSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR124 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR187 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR146 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR124 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR187 in the middle 80%. |
| 147 | WR | Tyler JohnsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR122 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR147 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR122 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 148 | WR | Tai FeltonMIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR125 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR195 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR148 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR125 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR195 in the middle 80%. |
| 149 | WR | Alex BachmanLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR149 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 150 | WR | Sterling ShepardNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR150 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 151 | WR | Brandon SmithPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR151 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 152 | WR | Deven ThompkinsLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR152 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 153 | WR | Trent SherfieldBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR153 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 154 | WR | Kevin Austin Jr.NO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR124 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR192 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR154 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR124 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR89 - WR192 in the middle 80%. |
| 155 | WR | Nick Westbrook-IkhineIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR155 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 156 | WR | David MooreCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR156 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 157 | WR | Jalin HyattNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR195 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR157 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR124 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR195 in the middle 80%. |
| 158 | WR | Isaiah NeyorGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR90 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR158 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR123 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR90 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 159 | WR | Charlie JonesNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR121 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR159 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR121 - WR177 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 160 | WR | Xavier RestrepoTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR122 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR160 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR122 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 161 | WR | Brandon JohnsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR123 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR194 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR161 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR155 at the median, WR123 - WR179 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR194 in the middle 80%. |
| 162 | WR | Dohnte MeyersCIN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR124 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR91 - WR186 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR162 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR124 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR91 - WR186 in the middle 80%. |
| 163 | WR | Josh CameronJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR130 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR190 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR163 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR130 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR190 in the middle 80%. |
| 164 | WR | Camden BrownDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR128 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR94 - WR197 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR164 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR128 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR94 - WR197 in the middle 80%. |
| 165 | WR | Ryan MillerMIAQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR158 at the median, WR127 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR92 - WR197 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR165 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR158 at the median, WR127 - WR183 in the middle half, and WR92 - WR197 in the middle 80%. |
| 166 | WR | Bo MeltonGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR127 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR193 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR166 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR127 - WR178 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR193 in the middle 80%. |
| 167 | WR | Xavier SmithLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR132 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR105 - WR189 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR167 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR132 - WR176 in the middle half, and WR105 - WR189 in the middle 80%. |
| 168 | WR | Brenen ThompsonLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR131 - WR184 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR198 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR168 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR131 - WR184 in the middle half, and WR93 - WR198 in the middle 80%. |
| 169 | WR | Ray-Ray McCloudNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR158 at the median, WR130 - WR182 in the middle half, and WR96 - WR197 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR169 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR158 at the median, WR130 - WR182 in the middle half, and WR96 - WR197 in the middle 80%. |
| 170 | WR | Brennan PresleyLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR136 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR101 - WR199 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR170 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR136 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR101 - WR199 in the middle 80%. |
| 171 | WR | Danny GrayPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR135 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR103 - WR198 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR171 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR135 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR103 - WR198 in the middle 80%. |
| 172 | WR | Cody WhiteLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR136 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR108 - WR192 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR172 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR136 - WR180 in the middle half, and WR108 - WR192 in the middle 80%. |
| 173 | WR | K.J. OsbornTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR136 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR198 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR173 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR136 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR198 in the middle 80%. |
| 174 | WR | CJ DanielsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR162 at the median, WR134 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR102 - WR198 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR174 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR162 at the median, WR134 - WR185 in the middle half, and WR102 - WR198 in the middle 80%. |
| 175 | WR | Mitchell TinsleyHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR136 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR98 - WR199 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR175 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR136 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR98 - WR199 in the middle 80%. |
| 176 | WR | Austin TrammellJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR135 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR99 - WR199 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR176 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR165 at the median, WR135 - WR186 in the middle half, and WR99 - WR199 in the middle 80%. |
Simulated finishes
This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.
Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.
Week 3 WR outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.
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WR15Jaxon Smith-Njigba is ranked WR1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR5 - WR35 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
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WR15Amon-Ra St. Brown is ranked WR2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR5 - WR33 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR57 in the middle 80%.
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WR3 Chris OlaveWR21Chris Olave is ranked WR3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR21 at the median, WR7 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
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WR4 CeeDee LambWR24CeeDee Lamb is ranked WR4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR24 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR72 in the middle 80%.
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WR5 Ja'Marr ChaseWR23Ja'Marr Chase is ranked WR5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR10 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR68 in the middle 80%.
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WR6 Davante AdamsWR26Davante Adams is ranked WR6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR10 - WR52 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR74 in the middle 80%.
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WR7 Zay FlowersWR31Zay Flowers is ranked WR7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR11 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR92 in the middle 80%.
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WR8 DeVonta SmithWR26DeVonta Smith is ranked WR8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR11 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
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WR9 Puka NacuaWR32Puka Nacua is ranked WR9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR11 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
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WR10 Justin JeffersonWR28Justin Jefferson is ranked WR10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR12 - WR54 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
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WR11 Jalen CokerWR33Jalen Coker is ranked WR11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR13 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
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WR12 Nico CollinsWR35Nico Collins is ranked WR12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR12 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
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WR13 Tetairoa McMillanWR30Tetairoa McMillan is ranked WR13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR13 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
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WR14 Christian WatsonWR29Christian Watson is ranked WR14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR12 - WR57 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
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WR15 Garrett WilsonWR30Garrett Wilson is ranked WR15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR13 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
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WR16 Drake LondonWR31Drake London is ranked WR16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR14 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR77 in the middle 80%.
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WR17 Parker WashingtonWR30Parker Washington is ranked WR17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR30 at the median, WR14 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
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WR18 George PickensWR36George Pickens is ranked WR18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR16 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
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WR19 Tee HigginsWR34Tee Higgins is ranked WR19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR17 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR20 Jaylen WaddleWR39Jaylen Waddle is ranked WR20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR17 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
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WR21 Stefon DiggsWR39Stefon Diggs is ranked WR21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR17 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
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WR22 Malik NabersWR41Malik Nabers is ranked WR22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
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WR23 Devaughn VeleWR41Devaughn Vele is ranked WR23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
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WR24 Matthew GoldenWR39Matthew Golden is ranked WR24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR87 in the middle 80%.
Show WR25 - WR36
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WR25 Rashee RiceWR39Rashee Rice is ranked WR25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR39 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
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WR26 Emeka EgbukaWR42Emeka Egbuka is ranked WR26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR20 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
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WR27 Ladd McConkeyWR44Ladd McConkey is ranked WR27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR19 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
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WR28 DK MetcalfWR42DK Metcalf is ranked WR28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR20 - WR69 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
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WR29 Mike EvansWR47Mike Evans is ranked WR29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR21 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR107 in the middle 80%.
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WR30 Luther Burden IIIWR45Luther Burden III is ranked WR30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR21 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
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WR31 Carnell TateWR46Carnell Tate is ranked WR31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR22 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR97 in the middle 80%.
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WR32 Denzel BostonWR46Denzel Boston is ranked WR32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR22 - WR75 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
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WR33 Jameson WilliamsWR44Jameson Williams is ranked WR33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR22 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
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WR34 Terry McLaurinWR46Terry McLaurin is ranked WR34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR22 - WR74 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
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WR35 Adonai MitchellWR48Adonai Mitchell is ranked WR35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR23 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
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WR36 Michael PittmanWR53Michael Pittman is ranked WR36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR23 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR116 in the middle 80%.
Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.
The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 67% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 59%, sportsbook props for 11%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Full PPR, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured September 24, 2026 22:48 UTC. Model rankings-v1.4.0, board captured 2026-09-24.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
