BUF · Bye 7 · Rookie
Skyler Bell
Skyler Bell comes off the board at 4.07 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 4.07.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated August 20, 2026
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulated ADP
4.07
pick 43.3 overall, on average
Median pick
4.07
half of simulations take him by pick 43
Draft range
3.07 - 5.08
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,154 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.07 in 56% of simulations
Pick 43 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 6, the same seat picks again at 5.06, where he is available in 23% of simulations.
Slot 6's remaining turns: 4.07 56% · 5.06 23%
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.12 and 5.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.05 | 62% |
| 4.06 | 59% |
| 4.07 | 56% |
| 4.08 | 53% |
| 4.09 | 50% |
| 4.10 | 47% |
| 4.11 | 44% |
| 4.12 | 41% |
| 5.01 | 38% |
| 5.02 | 35% |
| 5.03 | 32% |
| 5.04 | 29% |
| 5.05 | 26% |
| 5.06 | 23% |
| 5.07 | 21% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.07-3.08 | 5% | 474 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09-3.10 | 5% | 536 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11-3.12 | 6% | 584 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01-4.02 | 7% | 710 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03-4.04 | 7% | 684 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05-4.06 | 6% | 612 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07-4.08 | 6% | 604 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09-4.10 | 6% | 601 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.11-4.12 | 6% | 608 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.01-5.02 | 6% | 599 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.03-5.04 | 6% | 594 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.05-5.06 | 5% | 534 of 10000 simulations |
| 5.07-5.08 | 4% | 446 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9154 simulations in which Skyler Bell was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Chase Roberts WR · LV 3%
- J. Michael Sturdivant WR · GB 3%
- Chris Brazzell WR · CAR 3%
- Jack Endries TE · CIN 3%
Usually taken just after
- Dean Connors RB · LAR 3%
- J. Michael Sturdivant WR · GB 3%
- Chase Roberts WR · LV 3%
- Camden Brown WR · DAL 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room. Nothing is estimated at page load: the batch runs offline and this page reads the result.
Skyler Bell was selected in 9154 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here has that count behind it, which is what it should be judged on.
We license no ADP feed, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.1
- Generated
- August 20, 2026
- Player dataset
- sleeper@2026-08-19T17:30:21.894Z
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.