DEN · Bye 10
Marvin Mims Jr.
Marvin Mims Jr. comes off the board at 15.05 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty mock drafts, with a median of 15.06.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
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Marvin Mims ruled out in Week 2; RJ Harvey questionable
bundle.app ·
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RJ Harvey, Marvin Mims listed as out of practice Wednesday
NBC Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Marvin Mims Jr. by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Marvin Mims Jr. has averaged -2.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ KC | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Marvin Mims Jr. #190 in 1QB and #195 in Superflex, WR81 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#190
WR81 · tier 42 · of 297
Superflex
#195
WR81 · tier 36 · of 303
- Last season 70.5 pts 4.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 93% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 3.8 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 9% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.05
pick 173.4 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.06
half of simulations take him by pick 174
Draft range
14.12 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 3,657 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.06 in 82% of simulations
Pick 174 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.02 and 15.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.04 | 87% |
| 15.05 | 84% |
| 15.06 | 82% |
| 15.07 | 79% |
| 15.08 | 76% |
| 15.09 | 74% |
| 15.10 | 71% |
| 15.11 | 68% |
| 15.12 | 66% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.12 | 3% | 277 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 3% | 265 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 206 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 274 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 261 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 254 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 285 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 257 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 255 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 267 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 3% | 261 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 245 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 3657 simulations in which Marvin Mims Jr. was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Isaac TeSlaa WR · DET 3%
- Chig Okonkwo TE · WAS 3%
- Ted Hurst III WR · TB 3%
- Kimani Vidal RB · LAC 3%
Usually taken just after
- DeMario Douglas WR · NE 3%
- Zavion Thomas WR · CHI 3%
- Travis Hunter WR · JAX 3%
- Jalen Coker WR · CAR 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Marvin Mims Jr. was selected in 3657 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.