NFL · 2026 Week 6
2026 Week 6 WR Rankings
Final pre-kickoff board · published October 15, 2026, 21:56 UTC · first kickoff October 16, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Half PPR, 1QB · 164 players projected · updated October 15, 2026
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 6 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Half PPR. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at his position
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.
How often a strong start lasts
Since 1999, 59% of WRs inside the top 12 through Week 5 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 324 WR-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.
What stood out in Week 6
164 WRs ranked for Week 6. Puka Nacua leads at 17.7 projected points.
Tier break
1.5 projected points separate WR1 Puka Nacua from WR2 Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Ahead
- Xavier WorthyWR34Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 28% +13 vs. WR47
- Mike EvansWR14Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 11% · Top 12: 31% · Top 24: 50% +10 vs. WR24
Behind
- Emeka EgbukaWR29Sportsbooks pricing him below our baselineTop 3: 2% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 31% -9 vs. WR20
Movement
Risers
- Malik NabersWR8Top 3: 10% · Top 12: 35% · Top 24: 56% ↑ 13
- Emeka EgbukaWR29Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 31% ↑ 13
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR36Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 27% ↑ 13
Fallers
- Romeo DoubsWR39Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 11% · Top 24: 25% ↓ 10
- KC ConcepcionWR42Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 20% ↓ 9
- Michael WilsonWR18Top 3: 6% · Top 12: 25% · Top 24: 45% ↓ 8
Positional movement since the final Week 5 board, among players inside WR36 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj | Outcome profile | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WR | Puka NacuaLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 22% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR12 at the median, WR4 - WR30 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR50 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 22%Top 12: 50%Top 24: 69% |
WR1— | 17.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 22% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 31%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR12 at the median, WR4 - WR30 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR50 in the middle 80%. | |
| 2 | WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 17% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 32%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR14 at the median, WR5 - WR31 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 17%Top 12: 47%Top 24: 68% |
WR2↑ 1 | 16.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 17% of the time, 4th to 12th 30%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 32%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR14 at the median, WR5 - WR31 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR49 in the middle 80%. | |
| 3 | WR | CeeDee LambDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 35%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR6 - WR34 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR50 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 14%Top 12: 43%Top 24: 65% |
WR3↓ 1 | 15.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 29%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 35%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR6 - WR34 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR50 in the middle 80%. | |
| 4 | WR | Chris OlaveNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 42%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR19 at the median, WR8 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 13%Top 12: 38%Top 24: 58% |
WR4↑ 1 | 14.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 13% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 42%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR19 at the median, WR8 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR60 in the middle 80%. | |
| 5 | WR | Drake LondonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 40%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR18 at the median, WR8 - WR37 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR53 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 37%Top 24: 60% |
WR5↑ 4 | 14.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 40%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR18 at the median, WR8 - WR37 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR53 in the middle 80%. | |
| 6 | WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR8 - WR42 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 56% |
WR6NEW | 13.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 25%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR8 - WR42 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR59 in the middle 80%. | |
| 7 | WR | Zay FlowersBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR9 - WR48 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 51% |
WR7↑ 6 | 13.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR9 - WR48 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR69 in the middle 80%. | |
| 8 | WR | Malik NabersNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR9 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 56% |
WR8↑ 13 | 13.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR9 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%. | |
| 9 | WR | Christian WatsonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 54% |
WR9↑ 7 | 13.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR60 in the middle 80%. | |
| 10 | WR | Nico CollinsHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR64 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 53% |
WR10↓ 3 | 13.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR64 in the middle 80%. | |
| 11 | WR | Davante AdamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR44 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 54% |
WR11— | 12.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 46%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR44 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR62 in the middle 80%. | |
| 12 | WR | DeVonta SmithPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR10 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 47% |
WR12↑ 2 | 12.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR10 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR78 in the middle 80%. | |
| 13 | WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR10 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 53% |
WR13↓ 1 | 12.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 23%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR10 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR58 in the middle 80%. | |
| 14 | WR | Mike EvansSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 50%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR70 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 50% |
WR14↑ 12 | 12.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 50%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR70 in the middle 80%. | |
| 15 | WR | George PickensDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR11 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 29%Top 24: 49% |
WR15↑ 2 | 12.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 22%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR11 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR62 in the middle 80%. | |
| 16 | WR | Matthew GoldenGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR12 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 49% |
WR16↑ 3 | 11.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 22%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR12 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR62 in the middle 80%. | |
| 17 | WR | Rashee RiceKCQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR12 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 9%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 42% |
WR17NEW | 11.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 9% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 58%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR12 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR81 in the middle 80%. | |
| 18 | WR | Michael WilsonARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR12 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR65 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 45% |
WR18↓ 8 | 11.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR12 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR65 in the middle 80%. | |
| 19 | WR | Parker WashingtonJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR13 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR67 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 46% |
WR19↓ 1 | 11.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 21%, and outside the top 24 54%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR13 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR67 in the middle 80%. | |
| 20 | WR | Jalen CokerCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR14 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR74 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 22%Top 24: 40% |
WR20NEW | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR14 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR74 in the middle 80%. | |
| 21 | WR | Luther Burden IIICHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR15 - WR54 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR70 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 39% |
WR21↑ 4 | 10.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR15 - WR54 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR70 in the middle 80%. | |
| 22 | WR | DK MetcalfPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR17 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 35% |
WR22↓ 2 | 9.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR17 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR76 in the middle 80%. | |
| 23 | WR | Denzel BostonCLEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR17 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 35% |
WR23↑ 8 | 9.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 65%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR17 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR83 in the middle 80%. | |
| 24 | WR | Carnell TateTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR18 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 34% |
WR24↓ 2 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR18 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR73 in the middle 80%. | |
| 25 | WR | Stefon DiggsWASQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR68 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 34% |
WR25↓ 1 | 9.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR68 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR93 in the middle 80%. | |
| 26 | WR | Terry McLaurinWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR19 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 33% |
WR26↓ 3 | 9.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 68%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR19 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR86 in the middle 80%. | |
| 27 | WR | DJ MooreBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31% |
WR27↑ 10 | 8.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR90 in the middle 80%. | |
| 28 | WR | Devaughn VeleNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR20 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 31% |
WR28↑ 10 | 8.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR20 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR79 in the middle 80%. | |
| 29 | WR | Emeka EgbukaTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR20 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 31% |
WR29↑ 13 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR20 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR81 in the middle 80%. | |
| 30 | WR | Rome OdunzeCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR21 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 31% |
WR30↑ 5 | 8.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR21 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR79 in the middle 80%. | |
| 31 | WR | Josh DownsIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR22 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 28% |
WR31↓ 3 | 8.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR22 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR79 in the middle 80%. | |
| 32 | WR | Jaylen WaddleDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR22 - WR62 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28% |
WR32↓ 5 | 8.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR22 - WR62 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR80 in the middle 80%. | |
| 33 | WR | Dontayvion WicksPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 28% |
WR33↑ 8 | 8.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 34 | WR | Xavier WorthyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR22 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28% |
WR34NEW | 8.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR22 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR85 in the middle 80%. | |
| 35 | WR | Tre TuckerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR23 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 27% |
WR35↑ 10 | 8.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR23 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR83 in the middle 80%. | |
| 36 | WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR23 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR84 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
WR36↑ 13 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR23 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR84 in the middle 80%. | |
| 37 | WR | Keenan AllenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR23 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
WR37↑ 13 | 8.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR23 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR88 in the middle 80%. | |
| 38 | WR | Ladd McConkeyLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR23 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 26% |
WR38↑ 10 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR23 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR97 in the middle 80%. | |
| 39 | WR | Romeo DoubsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR24 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 11%Top 24: 25% |
WR39↓ 10 | 7.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR50 at the median, WR24 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR92 in the middle 80%. | |
| 40 | WR | Germie BernardPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR26 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 23% |
WR40↑ 57 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 77%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR26 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR91 in the middle 80%. | |
| 41 | WR | Khalil ShakirBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR27 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR92 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 22% |
WR41↑ 2 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR27 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR92 in the middle 80%. | |
| 42 | WR | KC ConcepcionCLEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR30 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 20% |
WR42↓ 9 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR30 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 43 | WR | Xavier HutchinsonHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR31 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR90 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 19% |
WR43↑ 25 | 6.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR54 at the median, WR31 - WR73 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR90 in the middle 80%. | |
| 44 | WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR30 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19% |
WR44— | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR30 - WR78 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR97 in the middle 80%. | |
| 45 | WR | Rashod BatemanBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR31 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
WR45↑ 30 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR31 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 46 | WR | Jakobi MeyersJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR30 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR97 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 20% |
WR46↑ 1 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR30 - WR76 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR97 in the middle 80%. | |
| 47 | WR | Ryan FlournoyDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR32 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 18% |
WR47↑ 5 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR32 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 48 | WR | Keon ColemanBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR30 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR100 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 19% |
WR48↓ 2 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR30 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR100 in the middle 80%. | |
| 49 | WR | Makai LemonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR34 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 17% |
WR49↑ 4 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR34 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 50 | WR | DeMario DouglasNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR33 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17% |
WR50↑ 19 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR33 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 51 | WR | Kendrick BourneARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR35 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16% |
WR51↑ 26 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR35 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 52 | WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR35 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
WR52↑ 5 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR35 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 53 | WR | Quentin JohnstonLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR35 - WR89 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 17% |
WR53↑ 1 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 83%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR35 - WR89 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 54 | WR | Kalif RaymondCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR36 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
WR54↑ 1 | 5.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR36 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR101 in the middle 80%. | |
| 55 | WR | Rashid ShaheedSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR39 - WR85 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR55↑ 10 | 5.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR39 - WR85 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 56 | WR | Odell Beckham Jr.NYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR39 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR119 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% |
WR56↑ 5 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR39 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR119 in the middle 80%. | |
| 57 | WR | Laquon TreadwellIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR40 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR57↑ 21 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR40 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 58 | WR | Jaylin NoelHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR39 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 13% |
WR58↑ 24 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR39 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 59 | WR | Brandon JohnsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR39 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR121 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14% |
WR59NEW | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR39 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR121 in the middle 80%. | |
| 60 | WR | Efton Chism IIINE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR39 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 14% |
WR60↑ 24 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR67 at the median, WR39 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 61 | WR | Ricky White IIISEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR39 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR121 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
WR61NEW | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR39 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR121 in the middle 80%. | |
| 62 | WR | Casey WashingtonCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR40 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR123 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 14% |
WR62NEW | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR40 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR123 in the middle 80%. | |
| 63 | WR | Jerry JeudyCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR41 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR63↑ 11 | 5.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR65 at the median, WR41 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 64 | WR | Darius CooperPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR41 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR64↑ 6 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR41 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR115 in the middle 80%. | |
| 65 | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR42 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR65↓ 6 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR42 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 66 | WR | Ted Hurst IIITB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR43 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR66↑ 15 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR43 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR114 in the middle 80%. | |
| 67 | WR | Jahan DotsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR45 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR110 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR67↑ 21 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR45 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR110 in the middle 80%. | |
| 68 | WR | Antonio WilliamsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR45 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
WR68↓ 10 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR45 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR112 in the middle 80%. | |
| 69 | WR | Mitchell TinsleyHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR46 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 11% |
WR69↑ 42 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR46 - WR103 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR124 in the middle 80%. | |
| 70 | WR | Cooper KuppSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR46 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR112 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% |
WR70↑ 1 | 4.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR46 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR112 in the middle 80%. | |
| 71 | WR | Travis HunterJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR48 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR128 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 11% |
WR71↓ 31 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR48 - WR106 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR128 in the middle 80%. | |
| 72 | WR | Isaiah WilliamsNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR48 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR118 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR72— | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR48 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR118 in the middle 80%. | |
| 73 | WR | Konata MumpfieldLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR48 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR121 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% |
WR73↑ 19 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR48 - WR101 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR121 in the middle 80%. | |
| 74 | WR | Darnell MooneyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR50 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% |
WR74↑ 25 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR50 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR114 in the middle 80%. | |
| 75 | WR | Malachi FieldsNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR49 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR75↓ 8 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR49 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR115 in the middle 80%. | |
| 76 | WR | Brian Thomas Jr.JAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR50 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR117 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR76↓ 10 | 4.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR50 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR117 in the middle 80%. | |
| 77 | WR | Kayshon BoutteHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR52 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR77↓ 1 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR75 at the median, WR52 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR115 in the middle 80%. | |
| 78 | WR | Kyle WilliamsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR80 at the median, WR55 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR118 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR78↑ 29 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR80 at the median, WR55 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR118 in the middle 80%. | |
| 79 | WR | Gary JenningsLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR54 - WR113 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR133 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR79↑ 39 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR54 - WR113 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR133 in the middle 80%. | |
| 80 | WR | Jalen NailorLVQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR135 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR80— | 4.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR135 in the middle 80%. | |
| 81 | WR | Treylon BurksWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR60 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR126 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
WR81↑ 22 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR60 - WR109 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR126 in the middle 80%. | |
| 82 | WR | Isaiah BondCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR58 - WR112 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR82↑ 64 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR58 - WR112 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR130 in the middle 80%. | |
| 83 | WR | Josh PalmerBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR59 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 7% |
WR83↑ 4 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR59 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 84 | WR | Brycen TremayneCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR61 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR125 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
WR84NEW | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR61 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR125 in the middle 80%. | |
| 85 | WR | CJ DanielsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR62 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR85NEW | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR62 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 86 | WR | Josh CameronJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR66 - WR112 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR129 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR86↑ 28 | 3.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR66 - WR112 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR129 in the middle 80%. | |
| 87 | WR | Cody WhiteLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR65 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR128 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR87↑ 13 | 3.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR90 at the median, WR65 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR128 in the middle 80%. | |
| 88 | WR | Ashton DulinINDQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR63 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR143 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR88↑ 27 | 3.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR63 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR143 in the middle 80%. | |
| 89 | WR | Kolbe KatsisDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR64 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR89↑ 48 | 3.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR64 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR138 in the middle 80%. | |
| 90 | WR | Devontez WalkerBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR68 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR90↑ 35 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR68 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 91 | WR | Skyy MooreGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR66 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR91↑ 13 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR96 at the median, WR66 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR34 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 92 | WR | Calvin RidleyTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR67 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR133 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR92↑ 31 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR67 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR133 in the middle 80%. | |
| 93 | WR | Bryce LanceNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR69 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR131 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR93↓ 7 | 3.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR69 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR131 in the middle 80%. | |
| 94 | WR | Elic AyomanorTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR70 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR131 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR94↑ 19 | 3.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR95 at the median, WR70 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR131 in the middle 80%. | |
| 95 | WR | Cyrus AllenKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR71 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR95NEW | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR71 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR140 in the middle 80%. | |
| 96 | WR | Emmanuel Henderson Jr.SEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR70 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR145 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR96NEW | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR70 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR145 in the middle 80%. | |
| 97 | WR | Tez JohnsonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR72 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR135 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR97↑ 13 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR72 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR135 in the middle 80%. | |
| 98 | WR | Dyami BrownWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR73 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR98↓ 8 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR73 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 99 | WR | Montorie Foster JrSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR71 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR99↑ 66 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR71 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR138 in the middle 80%. | |
| 100 | WR | Jalen RoyalsKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR73 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR100NEW | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR73 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR140 in the middle 80%. | |
| 101 | WR | Tutu AtwellLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR72 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR101↑ 20 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR72 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 102 | WR | Chris MooreBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR73 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR102↑ 15 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR73 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 103 | WR | Troy FranklinDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR74 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR103↓ 14 | 3.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR74 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 104 | WR | Bo MeltonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR76 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR104↑ 59 | 3.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR76 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR137 in the middle 80%. | |
| 105 | WR | Zachariah BranchATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR78 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR105↑ 11 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR78 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 106 | WR | Tim PatrickNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR75 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR106NEW | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR75 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR144 in the middle 80%. | |
| 107 | WR | John Metchie IIICAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR78 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR143 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR107NEW | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR78 - WR127 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR143 in the middle 80%. | |
| 108 | WR | KaVontae TurpinDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR81 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR142 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR108↑ 30 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR81 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR142 in the middle 80%. | |
| 109 | WR | Jordan WatkinsSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR108 at the median, WR80 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR145 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR109↓ 4 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR108 at the median, WR80 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR145 in the middle 80%. | |
| 110 | WR | Coleman OwenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR81 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR151 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR110↑ 21 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR81 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR42 - WR151 in the middle 80%. | |
| 111 | WR | Jacob CowingSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR104 at the median, WR81 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
WR111↑ 22 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR104 at the median, WR81 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR138 in the middle 80%. | |
| 112 | WR | Jalen BrooksARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR81 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR112↑ 52 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR81 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR140 in the middle 80%. | |
| 113 | WR | Elijah SarrattBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR79 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR113↑ 32 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR79 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 114 | WR | Camden BrownDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR110 at the median, WR81 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR114↑ 5 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR110 at the median, WR81 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR45 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 115 | WR | Jared WayneHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR81 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR115↓ 22 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR81 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR47 - WR144 in the middle 80%. | |
| 116 | WR | Brandon SmithPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR86 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR116↓ 8 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR86 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR48 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 117 | WR | Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR86 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR117↑ 24 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR86 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 118 | WR | Jonathan MingoDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR113 at the median, WR89 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR147 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR118↑ 31 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR113 at the median, WR89 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR147 in the middle 80%. | |
| 119 | WR | Chimere DikeTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR89 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR142 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR119↑ 43 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR89 - WR130 in the middle half, and WR62 - WR142 in the middle 80%. | |
| 120 | WR | Skyler BellBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR88 - WR138 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR120↑ 36 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR88 - WR138 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 121 | WR | Ja'Seem ReedCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR89 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR121NEW | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR89 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR154 in the middle 80%. | |
| 122 | WR | Jamaal PritchettNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR90 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR122↓ 13 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR90 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR155 in the middle 80%. | |
| 123 | WR | Justin ShorterLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR90 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR123NEW | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR90 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR52 - WR155 in the middle 80%. | |
| 124 | WR | Ray-Ray McCloudNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR91 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR124↑ 35 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR91 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR155 in the middle 80%. | |
| 125 | WR | Marvin Mims Jr.DEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR90 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR125↓ 3 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR115 at the median, WR90 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 126 | WR | Deion BurksIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR92 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR152 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR126↑ 16 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR92 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR152 in the middle 80%. | |
| 127 | WR | Brenen ThompsonLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR92 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR127↑ 30 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR92 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR160 in the middle 80%. | |
| 128 | WR | Tory HortonSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR98 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR156 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR128↓ 2 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR98 - WR143 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR156 in the middle 80%. | |
| 129 | WR | Marquise BrownPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR99 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR162 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR129↓ 5 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR99 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR60 - WR162 in the middle 80%. | |
| 130 | WR | Theo Wease Jr.LAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR96 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR130NEW | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR96 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR154 in the middle 80%. | |
| 131 | WR | Jordan WhittingtonLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR99 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR68 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR131↑ 17 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR99 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR68 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 132 | WR | Lewis BondHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR126 at the median, WR99 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR65 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR132↑ 3 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR126 at the median, WR99 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR65 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 133 | WR | Trent SherfieldBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR98 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR67 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR133NEW | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR98 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR67 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 134 | WR | Reggie VirgilARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR99 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR134NEW | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR99 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR157 in the middle 80%. | |
| 135 | WR | Olamide ZaccheausATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR102 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR152 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR135↓ 6 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR123 at the median, WR102 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR152 in the middle 80%. | |
| 136 | WR | Trey PalmerNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR105 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR163 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR136NEW | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR105 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR163 in the middle 80%. | |
| 137 | WR | Chandler BrayboyNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR164 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR137↓ 58 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR164 in the middle 80%. | |
| 138 | WR | Malik BensonLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR107 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR156 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR138↑ 17 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR107 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR156 in the middle 80%. | |
| 139 | WR | Nikko RemigioKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR105 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR139NEW | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR105 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR157 in the middle 80%. | |
| 140 | WR | Jahdae WalkerCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR129 at the median, WR104 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR140↓ 38 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR129 at the median, WR104 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 141 | WR | Jalin HyattNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR108 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR163 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR141NEW | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR108 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR163 in the middle 80%. | |
| 142 | WR | J. Michael SturdivantGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR112 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR142↓ 14 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR112 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR160 in the middle 80%. | |
| 143 | WR | Dareke YoungLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR112 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR143NEW | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR112 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR160 in the middle 80%. | |
| 144 | WR | Zavion ThomasCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR114 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR144NEW | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR114 - WR148 in the middle half, and WR88 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 145 | WR | Tylan WallaceCLEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR142 at the median, WR117 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR145↓ 47 | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR142 at the median, WR117 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR84 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 146 | WR | Kaden DavisCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR126 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR146NEW | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR126 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR170 in the middle 80%. | |
| 147 | WR | Sterling ShepardNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR128 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR104 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR147↓ 13 | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR128 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR104 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 148 | WR | Deven ThompkinsLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR128 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR103 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR148↓ 52 | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR128 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR103 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 149 | WR | Elijah MoorePHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR124 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR98 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR149↓ 6 | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR144 at the median, WR124 - WR159 in the middle half, and WR98 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 150 | WR | Kaden WetjenPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR136 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR118 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR150NEW | 1.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR136 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR118 - WR170 in the middle 80%. | |
| 151 | WR | Xavier SmithLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR133 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR111 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR151NEW | 1.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR133 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR111 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 152 | WR | C.J. WilliamsJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR135 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR112 - WR175 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR152NEW | 1.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR135 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR112 - WR175 in the middle 80%. | |
| 153 | WR | Luke McCaffreyWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR135 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR114 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR153↓ 21 | 1.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR135 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR114 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 154 | WR | LaJohntay WesterBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR136 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR154↑ 6 | 1.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR136 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR170 in the middle 80%. | |
| 155 | WR | Chris BlairATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR139 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR121 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR155NEW | 0.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR139 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR121 - WR173 in the middle 80%. | |
| 156 | WR | Bub MeansCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR139 - WR168 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR176 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR156NEW | 0.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR139 - WR168 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR176 in the middle 80%. | |
| 157 | WR | Derius DavisLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR139 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR124 - WR169 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR157NEW | 0.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR139 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR124 - WR169 in the middle 80%. | |
| 158 | WR | Malik McClainNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR136 - WR164 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR172 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR158↓ 46 | 0.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR136 - WR164 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR172 in the middle 80%. | |
| 159 | WR | Alex BachmanLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR145 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR128 - WR176 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR159↓ 39 | 0.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR145 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR128 - WR176 in the middle 80%. | |
| 160 | WR | Kevin Austin Jr.NO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR160 at the median, WR146 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR126 - WR178 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR160↓ 2 | 0.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR160 at the median, WR146 - WR171 in the middle half, and WR126 - WR178 in the middle 80%. | |
| 161 | WR | Ronnie BellLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR149 - WR174 in the middle half, and WR130 - WR180 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR161NEW | 0.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR149 - WR174 in the middle half, and WR130 - WR180 in the middle 80%. | |
| 162 | WR | Bryce OliverTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR151 - WR175 in the middle half, and WR131 - WR180 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR162↓ 79 | 0.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR151 - WR175 in the middle half, and WR131 - WR180 in the middle 80%. | |
| 163 | WR | Danny GrayPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR149 - WR174 in the middle half, and WR131 - WR180 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR163↓ 68 | 0.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR149 - WR174 in the middle half, and WR131 - WR180 in the middle 80%. | |
| 164 | WR | Cedric TillmanNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR149 - WR174 in the middle half, and WR131 - WR180 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR164↓ 73 | 0.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR164 at the median, WR149 - WR174 in the middle half, and WR131 - WR180 in the middle 80%. |
Simulated finishes
This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.
Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.
Week 6 WR outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.
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WR1 Puka NacuaWR12Puka Nacua is ranked WR1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR12 at the median, WR4 - WR30 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR50 in the middle 80%.
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WR14Jaxon Smith-Njigba is ranked WR2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR14 at the median, WR5 - WR31 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR49 in the middle 80%.
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WR3 CeeDee LambWR16CeeDee Lamb is ranked WR3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR16 at the median, WR6 - WR34 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR50 in the middle 80%.
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WR4 Chris OlaveWR19Chris Olave is ranked WR4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR19 at the median, WR8 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
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WR5 Drake LondonWR18Drake London is ranked WR5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR18 at the median, WR8 - WR37 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR53 in the middle 80%.
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WR20Tetairoa McMillan is ranked WR6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR8 - WR42 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR59 in the middle 80%.
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WR7 Zay FlowersWR23Zay Flowers is ranked WR7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR9 - WR48 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
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WR8 Malik NabersWR20Malik Nabers is ranked WR8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR9 - WR41 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
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WR9 Christian WatsonWR22Christian Watson is ranked WR9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
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WR10 Nico CollinsWR22Nico Collins is ranked WR10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR64 in the middle 80%.
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WR11 Davante AdamsWR22Davante Adams is ranked WR11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR44 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
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WR12 DeVonta SmithWR27DeVonta Smith is ranked WR12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR10 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
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WR13 Garrett WilsonWR22Garrett Wilson is ranked WR13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR10 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
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WR14 Mike EvansWR25Mike Evans is ranked WR14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR70 in the middle 80%.
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WR15 George PickensWR25George Pickens is ranked WR15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR11 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
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WR16 Matthew GoldenWR25Matthew Golden is ranked WR16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR25 at the median, WR12 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
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WR17 Rashee RiceWR32Rashee Rice is ranked WR17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR32 at the median, WR12 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR18 Michael WilsonWR28Michael Wilson is ranked WR18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR12 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR65 in the middle 80%.
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WR19 Parker WashingtonWR28Parker Washington is ranked WR19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR28 at the median, WR13 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR67 in the middle 80%.
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WR20 Jalen CokerWR33Jalen Coker is ranked WR20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR14 - WR55 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR74 in the middle 80%.
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WR21 Luther Burden IIIWR33Luther Burden III is ranked WR21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR33 at the median, WR15 - WR54 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR70 in the middle 80%.
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WR22 DK MetcalfWR37DK Metcalf is ranked WR22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR17 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
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WR23 Denzel BostonWR40Denzel Boston is ranked WR23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR17 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
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WR24 Carnell TateWR37Carnell Tate is ranked WR24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR18 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
Show WR25 - WR36
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WR25 Stefon DiggsWR41Stefon Diggs is ranked WR25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR18 - WR68 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
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WR26 Terry McLaurinWR40Terry McLaurin is ranked WR26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR19 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR86 in the middle 80%.
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WR27 DJ MooreWR43DJ Moore is ranked WR27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR90 in the middle 80%.
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WR28 Devaughn VeleWR41Devaughn Vele is ranked WR28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR20 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
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WR29 Emeka EgbukaWR42Emeka Egbuka is ranked WR29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR20 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR30 Rome OdunzeWR40Rome Odunze is ranked WR30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR21 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
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WR31 Josh DownsWR42Josh Downs is ranked WR31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR42 at the median, WR22 - WR61 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR79 in the middle 80%.
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WR32 Jaylen WaddleWR43Jaylen Waddle is ranked WR32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR22 - WR62 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
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WR33 Dontayvion WicksWR47Dontayvion Wicks is ranked WR33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
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WR34 Xavier WorthyWR45Xavier Worthy is ranked WR34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR22 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
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WR35 Tre TuckerWR45Tre Tucker is ranked WR35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR23 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
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WR36 Wan'Dale RobinsonWR46Wan'Dale Robinson is ranked WR36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR46 at the median, WR23 - WR66 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR84 in the middle 80%.
Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.
The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 78% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 58%, sportsbook props for 50%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Half PPR, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured October 15, 2026 21:54 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 5 board generated before that week's first kickoff (October 8, 2026). Model rankings-v1.4.3, board captured 2026-10-15.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
