TEN · Bye 9
Chimere Dike
LMD WR146 for Week 4 · 2.1 projected Half PPR points · WR171 rest of season
Regular season
Week 4 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 2.1 points this week, WR146. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated weeks.
Week 4
WR146
325th by projected points
Rest of season
WR171
330th by projected points
Projected
2.1
week 4, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 1% at WR
Movement
NEW
Not ranked at WR in Week 3
Should you start Chimere Dike in Week 4?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Chimere Dike WR146 for Week 4, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 1% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+1.18 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-1.06 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.30 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.00 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated October 4, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs NYJ | — | 1.2 | — |
| Wk 2 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 3 | — | — | 0.8 | — |
| Wk 4 | @ BAL | 2.1 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 33.8 points this season, WR171. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 2.1 a game over 14 remaining games.
Per game
2.1 / game
Over 14 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.4.1. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated October 4, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Chimere Dike #134 in 1QB and #138 in Superflex, WR58 at his position. Age 24.
1QB
#134
WR58 · tier 30 · of 297
Superflex
#138
WR58 · tier 24 · of 303
- Last season 92.1 pts 5.4 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 100% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 14% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.07
pick 202.7 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.07
half of simulations take him by pick 203
Draft range
15.01 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 3,789 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.07 in 82% of simulations
Pick 203 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.03 and 15.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.05 | 87% |
| 15.06 | 84% |
| 15.07 | 82% |
| 15.08 | 80% |
| 15.09 | 77% |
| 15.10 | 75% |
| 15.11 | 72% |
| 15.12 | 70% |
| 15.13 | 67% |
| 15.14 | 64% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.01 | 2% | 174 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 253 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 283 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 260 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 258 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 230 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 262 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 248 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 256 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 3789 simulations in which Chimere Dike was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 3%
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
Usually taken just after
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
- Pat Bryant WR · DEN 3%
- Jalen Nailor WR · LV 3%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Chimere Dike was selected in 3789 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- October 1, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
