PIT · Bye 9 · Rookie
Kaden Wetjen
Kaden Wetjen comes off the board at 4.02 on average in 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie mock drafts, with a median of 4.03.
12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie · 10,000 simulations · generated November 5, 2026
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Kaden Wetjen has averaged -1.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 2 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 3 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 4 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 5 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 6 | @ TB | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 |
| Wk 7 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 8 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Kaden Wetjen #245 in 1QB and #249 in Superflex, WR99 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 24.
1QB
#245
WR99 · tier 55 · of 300 · rookie 43 of 52
Superflex
#249
WR99 · tier 48 · of 307 · rookie 44 of 52
- Draft capital Round 4, pick 121 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
4.02
pick 37.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
4.03
half of simulations take him by pick 39
Draft range
3.03 - 4.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,430 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.03 in 55% of simulations
Pick 39 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.08 and 4.07.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.01 | 65% |
| 4.02 | 60% |
| 4.03 | 55% |
| 4.04 | 49% |
| 4.05 | 44% |
| 4.06 | 38% |
| 4.07 | 32% |
| 4.08 | 27% |
| 4.09 | 22% |
| 4.10 | 17% |
| 4.11 | 13% |
| 4.12 | 9% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.03 | 2% | 244 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.04 | 3% | 274 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05 | 3% | 307 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06 | 3% | 297 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07 | 3% | 259 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09 | 2% | 230 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10 | 3% | 251 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11 | 3% | 269 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12 | 3% | 296 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01 | 5% | 519 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02 | 5% | 519 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03 | 5% | 510 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04 | 5% | 539 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05 | 6% | 563 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06 | 6% | 599 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 5% | 536 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 5% | 511 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 5% | 462 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 4% | 446 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9430 simulations in which Kaden Wetjen was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 5%
- Bryce Lance WR · NO 4%
- Colbie Young WR · CIN 4%
- Brenen Thompson WR · LAC 4%
Usually taken just after
- Skyler Bell WR · BUF 5%
- Bryce Lance WR · NO 4%
- Colbie Young WR · CIN 4%
- Reggie Virgil WR · ARI 4%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Kaden Wetjen was selected in 9430 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.