NFL · 2026 Week 6
2026 Week 6 Standard WR Rankings
Final pre-kickoff board · published October 15, 2026, 21:56 UTC · first kickoff October 16, 2026, 00:15 UTC
Standard, 1QB · 161 players projected · updated October 15, 2026
How these rankings work
How these rankings are built
We start with preseason player projections and draft position — where players were being selected in fantasy drafts entering the season.
We then update those expectations for Week 6 using recent usage, availability and market signals. Market signals are current sportsbook and prediction-market prices that can reflect changing expectations for a player's workload, performance, or availability.
We then simulate the week 4,000 times and rank players by the projected fantasy points those simulations produce.
This board is priced in Standard. The order and the finish percentages below are specific to it: another format is a separate simulation of the same projections, not this table with new points.
What the percentages mean
For every simulation, we also record where each player finishes at his position.
- Top 3
- how often he finishes among the top three at his position
- Top 12
- how often he finishes in the top 12
- Top 24
- how often he finishes in the top 24
A WR with a 58% Top 12 rate finished as a top-12 WR in 58% of the simulated weeks.
How often a strong start lasts
Since 1999, 56% of WRs inside the top 12 through Week 5 finished the season inside the top 12. Measured over 325 WR-seasons from 1999-2025, in the same scoring rule as this board.
What stood out in Week 6
161 WRs ranked for Week 6. Puka Nacua leads at 13.9 projected points.
Biggest differences from the draft market
Ahead
- Stefon DiggsWR25Our projection is higher than the outside forecastTop 3: 5% · Top 12: 17% · Top 24: 31% +14 vs. WR39
- Xavier WorthyWR33Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 27% +14 vs. WR47
- Mike EvansWR12Sportsbooks pricing him above our baselineTop 3: 11% · Top 12: 30% · Top 24: 47% +12 vs. WR24
Behind
- Emeka EgbukaWR29Sportsbooks pricing him below our baselineTop 3: 3% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 30% -9 vs. WR20
Movement
Risers
- Malik NabersWR9Top 3: 10% · Top 12: 33% · Top 24: 51% ↑ 13
- Mike EvansWR12Top 3: 11% · Top 12: 30% · Top 24: 47% ↑ 13
- Emeka EgbukaWR29Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 14% · Top 24: 30% ↑ 13
Fallers
- Romeo DoubsWR37Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 12% · Top 24: 26% ↓ 9
- Michael WilsonWR19Top 3: 5% · Top 12: 23% · Top 24: 40% ↓ 8
- Jaylen WaddleWR35Top 3: 2% · Top 12: 12% · Top 24: 26% ↓ 8
Positional movement since the final Week 5 board, among players inside WR36 either week. Players not ranked at their position then are excluded.
| # | Pos | Player | Pos rank | Proj | Outcome profile | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WR | Puka NacuaLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 21% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR14 at the median, WR5 - WR35 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 21%Top 12: 48%Top 24: 64% |
WR1— | 13.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 21% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR14 at the median, WR5 - WR35 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR51 in the middle 80%. | |
| 2 | WR | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR6 - WR34 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR49 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 16%Top 12: 45%Top 24: 64% |
WR2— | 12.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 16% of the time, 4th to 12th 28%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 36%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR6 - WR34 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR49 in the middle 80%. | |
| 3 | WR | CeeDee LambDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 41%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR18 at the median, WR7 - WR37 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR51 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 14%Top 12: 40%Top 24: 59% |
WR3— | 11.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 14% of the time, 4th to 12th 27%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 41%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR18 at the median, WR7 - WR37 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR51 in the middle 80%. | |
| 4 | WR | Drake LondonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR8 - WR39 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR52 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 56% |
WR4↑ 5 | 11.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 26%, 13th to 24th 20%, and outside the top 24 44%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR8 - WR39 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR52 in the middle 80%. | |
| 5 | WR | Chris OlaveNOQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR8 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 12%Top 12: 35%Top 24: 53% |
WR5— | 11.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 12% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR8 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR60 in the middle 80%. | |
| 6 | WR | Tetairoa McMillanCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR8 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR59 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 36%Top 24: 53% |
WR6NEW | 10.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 24%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 47%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR8 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR59 in the middle 80%. | |
| 7 | WR | Christian WatsonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 34%Top 24: 52% |
WR7↑ 9 | 10.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 48%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%. | |
| 8 | WR | Zay FlowersBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR9 - WR47 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR67 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 31%Top 24: 48% |
WR8↑ 4 | 10.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 52%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR9 - WR47 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR67 in the middle 80%. | |
| 9 | WR | Malik NabersNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR9 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 51% |
WR9↑ 13 | 10.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR9 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%. | |
| 10 | WR | Davante AdamsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR24 at the median, WR9 - WR44 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 33%Top 24: 51% |
WR10↓ 2 | 10.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 23%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 49%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR24 at the median, WR9 - WR44 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR60 in the middle 80%. | |
| 11 | WR | Nico CollinsHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR9 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR64 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 32%Top 24: 49% |
WR11↓ 4 | 10.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 51%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR9 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR64 in the middle 80%. | |
| 12 | WR | Mike EvansSFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 11%Top 12: 30%Top 24: 47% |
WR12↑ 13 | 10.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 11% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR69 in the middle 80%. | |
| 13 | WR | DeVonta SmithPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR11 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 10%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 43% |
WR13— | 9.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 10% of the time, 4th to 12th 17%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR11 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR78 in the middle 80%. | |
| 14 | WR | Garrett WilsonNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR11 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 47% |
WR14— | 9.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR11 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR60 in the middle 80%. | |
| 15 | WR | Matthew GoldenGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR11 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 28%Top 24: 47% |
WR15↑ 4 | 9.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 21%, 13th to 24th 19%, and outside the top 24 53%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR11 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR60 in the middle 80%. | |
| 16 | WR | George PickensDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR11 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 7%Top 12: 27%Top 24: 45% |
WR16↑ 1 | 9.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 7% of the time, 4th to 12th 20%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 55%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR11 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR62 in the middle 80%. | |
| 17 | WR | Parker WashingtonJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR12 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR66 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 25%Top 24: 43% |
WR17↑ 1 | 9.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 19%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 57%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR12 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR66 in the middle 80%. | |
| 18 | WR | Rashee RiceKCQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR13 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 8%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 39% |
WR18NEW | 8.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 8% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 61%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR13 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR81 in the middle 80%. | |
| 19 | WR | Michael WilsonARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR14 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR67 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 23%Top 24: 40% |
WR19↓ 8 | 8.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 18%, 13th to 24th 17%, and outside the top 24 60%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR14 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR67 in the middle 80%. | |
| 20 | WR | Luther Burden IIICHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR16 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 20%Top 24: 37% |
WR20↑ 4 | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 15%, 13th to 24th 18%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR16 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR69 in the middle 80%. | |
| 21 | WR | Jalen CokerCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR15 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 21%Top 24: 37% |
WR21NEW | 8.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 16%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 63%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR15 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR75 in the middle 80%. | |
| 22 | WR | Denzel BostonCLEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR16 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 6%Top 12: 19%Top 24: 34% |
WR22↑ 9 | 7.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 6% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 66%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR16 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR81 in the middle 80%. | |
| 23 | WR | DK MetcalfPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR17 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 18%Top 24: 33% |
WR23↓ 3 | 7.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 14%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 67%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR17 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR76 in the middle 80%. | |
| 24 | WR | Carnell TateTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR19 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 31% |
WR24↑ 2 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR19 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR73 in the middle 80%. | |
| 25 | WR | Stefon DiggsWASQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 5%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31% |
WR25↓ 2 | 7.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 5% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR95 in the middle 80%. | |
| 26 | WR | DJ MooreBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 17%Top 24: 31% |
WR26↑ 8 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 13%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR88 in the middle 80%. | |
| 27 | WR | Terry McLaurinWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR19 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 16%Top 24: 31% |
WR27↓ 6 | 7.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 69%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR19 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR85 in the middle 80%. | |
| 28 | WR | Rome OdunzeCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR20 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR77 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 29% |
WR28↑ 8 | 6.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 12%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 71%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR20 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR77 in the middle 80%. | |
| 29 | WR | Emeka EgbukaTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR20 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 30% |
WR29↑ 13 | 6.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 16%, and outside the top 24 70%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR20 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR83 in the middle 80%. | |
| 30 | WR | Devaughn VeleNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR21 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 28% |
WR30↑ 8 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 15%, and outside the top 24 72%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR21 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR81 in the middle 80%. | |
| 31 | WR | Dontayvion WicksPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 4%Top 12: 14%Top 24: 27% |
WR31↑ 10 | 6.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 4% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR94 in the middle 80%. | |
| 32 | WR | Josh DownsIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR24 - WR62 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 25% |
WR32↓ 2 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR24 - WR62 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR80 in the middle 80%. | |
| 33 | WR | Xavier WorthyKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR23 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR86 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 27% |
WR33NEW | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 73%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR23 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR86 in the middle 80%. | |
| 34 | WR | Tre TuckerLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR24 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 26% |
WR34↑ 12 | 6.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR24 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR83 in the middle 80%. | |
| 35 | WR | Jaylen WaddleDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR24 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR82 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 26% |
WR35↓ 8 | 6.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 11%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR24 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR82 in the middle 80%. | |
| 36 | WR | Ladd McConkeyLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR25 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 3%Top 12: 13%Top 24: 25% |
WR36↑ 11 | 6.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 3% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR25 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR96 in the middle 80%. | |
| 37 | WR | Romeo DoubsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR24 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 26% |
WR37↓ 9 | 6.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 14%, and outside the top 24 74%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR24 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR91 in the middle 80%. | |
| 38 | WR | Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR25 - WR69 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR88 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 25% |
WR38↑ 11 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 10%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 75%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR25 - WR69 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR88 in the middle 80%. | |
| 39 | WR | Keenan AllenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR25 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 12%Top 24: 24% |
WR39↑ 11 | 6.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 76%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR49 at the median, WR25 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR91 in the middle 80%. | |
| 40 | WR | Germie BernardPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR29 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR93 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 10%Top 24: 22% |
WR40↑ 60 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 9%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 78%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR29 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR12 - WR93 in the middle 80%. | |
| 41 | WR | Khalil ShakirBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR29 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR91 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 21% |
WR41↑ 2 | 5.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 8%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 79%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR51 at the median, WR29 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR91 in the middle 80%. | |
| 42 | WR | Rashod BatemanBALQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR32 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
WR42↑ 33 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR32 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 43 | WR | Xavier HutchinsonHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR33 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR89 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 19% |
WR43↑ 24 | 5.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR53 at the median, WR33 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR89 in the middle 80%. | |
| 44 | WR | Courtland SuttonDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR31 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 20% |
WR44— | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR57 at the median, WR31 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 45 | WR | Keon ColemanBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR30 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 20% |
WR45— | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR30 - WR79 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 46 | WR | Jakobi MeyersJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR31 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR98 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 20% |
WR46↑ 2 | 5.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 13%, and outside the top 24 80%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR56 at the median, WR31 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR98 in the middle 80%. | |
| 47 | WR | Ryan FlournoyDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR33 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 18% |
WR47↑ 6 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 12%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR55 at the median, WR33 - WR77 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR96 in the middle 80%. | |
| 48 | WR | KC ConcepcionCLEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR32 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 9%Top 24: 19% |
WR48↓ 8 | 5.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 7%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 81%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR32 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR14 - WR108 in the middle 80%. | |
| 49 | WR | Quentin JohnstonLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR34 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR111 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 2%Top 12: 8%Top 24: 18% |
WR49↑ 2 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 2% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR34 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR15 - WR111 in the middle 80%. | |
| 50 | WR | DeMario DouglasNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR34 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 18% |
WR50↑ 19 | 5.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 82%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR59 at the median, WR34 - WR83 in the middle half, and WR16 - WR105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 51 | WR | Makai LemonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR37 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16% |
WR51↑ 6 | 4.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR58 at the median, WR37 - WR81 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR102 in the middle 80%. | |
| 52 | WR | Kendrick BourneARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR39 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR102 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 16% |
WR52↑ 31 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR61 at the median, WR39 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR102 in the middle 80%. | |
| 53 | WR | Chris Godwin Jr.TB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR39 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR99 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
WR53↑ 11 | 4.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR60 at the median, WR39 - WR80 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR99 in the middle 80%. | |
| 54 | WR | Rashid ShaheedSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR40 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR103 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
WR54↑ 4 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR40 - WR84 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR103 in the middle 80%. | |
| 55 | WR | Jaylin NoelHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR39 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR101 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
WR55↑ 23 | 4.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR62 at the median, WR39 - WR82 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR101 in the middle 80%. | |
| 56 | WR | Odell Beckham Jr.NYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR40 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR119 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 16% |
WR56↑ 3 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 6%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR69 at the median, WR40 - WR96 in the middle half, and WR17 - WR119 in the middle 80%. | |
| 57 | WR | Laquon TreadwellIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR41 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR106 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR57↑ 23 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR64 at the median, WR41 - WR87 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR106 in the middle 80%. | |
| 58 | WR | Kalif RaymondCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR40 - WR86 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR105 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 16% |
WR58↑ 3 | 4.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 11%, and outside the top 24 84%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR63 at the median, WR40 - WR86 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR105 in the middle 80%. | |
| 59 | WR | Efton Chism IIINE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR39 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 15% |
WR59↑ 25 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR39 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 60 | WR | Darius CooperPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR40 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% |
WR60↑ 10 | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR40 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR19 - WR114 in the middle 80%. | |
| 61 | WR | Ricky White IIISEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR40 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR121 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% |
WR61NEW | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR40 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR121 in the middle 80%. | |
| 62 | WR | Casey WashingtonCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR41 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR123 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 6%Top 24: 15% |
WR62NEW | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR71 at the median, WR41 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR123 in the middle 80%. | |
| 63 | WR | Brandon JohnsonPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR40 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR121 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 7%Top 24: 15% |
WR63NEW | 4.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 5%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 85%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR70 at the median, WR40 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR18 - WR121 in the middle 80%. | |
| 64 | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr.ARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR42 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR64↓ 8 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 10%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR42 - WR92 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 65 | WR | Jerry JeudyCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR43 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR107 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 13% |
WR65↑ 9 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 87%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR66 at the median, WR43 - WR88 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR107 in the middle 80%. | |
| 66 | WR | Jahan DotsonATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR44 - WR90 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR108 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 14% |
WR66↑ 22 | 4.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR44 - WR90 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR108 in the middle 80%. | |
| 67 | WR | Ted Hurst IIITB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR42 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 14% |
WR67↑ 14 | 4.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 86%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR68 at the median, WR42 - WR93 in the middle half, and WR20 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 68 | WR | Antonio WilliamsWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR47 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR68↓ 13 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR47 - WR94 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR114 in the middle 80%. | |
| 69 | WR | Mitchell TinsleyHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR46 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR124 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR69↑ 44 | 3.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR46 - WR102 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR124 in the middle 80%. | |
| 70 | WR | Travis HunterJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR48 - WR105 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR128 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 5%Top 24: 12% |
WR70↓ 31 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 4%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR48 - WR105 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR128 in the middle 80%. | |
| 71 | WR | Konata MumpfieldLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR48 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR120 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR71↑ 20 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 9%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR48 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR21 - WR120 in the middle 80%. | |
| 72 | WR | Darnell MooneyNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR49 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR113 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
WR72↑ 25 | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR49 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR22 - WR113 in the middle 80%. | |
| 73 | WR | Cooper KuppSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR48 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR114 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
WR73— | 3.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR73 at the median, WR48 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR114 in the middle 80%. | |
| 74 | WR | Isaiah WilliamsNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR48 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR117 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
WR74↓ 2 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR72 at the median, WR48 - WR95 in the middle half, and WR24 - WR117 in the middle 80%. | |
| 75 | WR | Malachi FieldsNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR49 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 11% |
WR75↓ 7 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 89%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR74 at the median, WR49 - WR97 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR115 in the middle 80%. | |
| 76 | WR | Brian Thomas Jr.JAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR50 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR117 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 4%Top 24: 12% |
WR76↓ 11 | 3.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 8%, and outside the top 24 88%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR76 at the median, WR50 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR23 - WR117 in the middle 80%. | |
| 77 | WR | Kyle WilliamsNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR53 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR115 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% |
WR77↑ 29 | 3.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 7%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR53 - WR99 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR115 in the middle 80%. | |
| 78 | WR | Kayshon BoutteHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR52 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR116 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
WR78↑ 1 | 3.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR77 at the median, WR52 - WR98 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR116 in the middle 80%. | |
| 79 | WR | Gary JenningsLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR54 - WR113 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR133 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR79↑ 39 | 3.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR86 at the median, WR54 - WR113 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR133 in the middle 80%. | |
| 80 | WR | Jalen NailorLVQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR135 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 10% |
WR80↓ 3 | 3.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 90%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR58 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR25 - WR135 in the middle 80%. | |
| 81 | WR | Treylon BurksWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR59 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR126 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
WR81↑ 20 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR59 - WR108 in the middle half, and WR27 - WR126 in the middle 80%. | |
| 82 | WR | Isaiah BondCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR58 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 8% |
WR82↑ 64 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR87 at the median, WR58 - WR111 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR130 in the middle 80%. | |
| 83 | WR | Josh PalmerBUFQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR57 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 1%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 9% |
WR83↑ 4 | 3.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 1% of the time, 4th to 12th 3%, 13th to 24th 6%, and outside the top 24 91%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR57 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR26 - WR137 in the middle 80%. | |
| 84 | WR | Brycen TremayneCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR60 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR125 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR84NEW | 3.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR85 at the median, WR60 - WR107 in the middle half, and WR31 - WR125 in the middle 80%. | |
| 85 | WR | Cody WhiteLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR64 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR127 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR85↑ 14 | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR89 at the median, WR64 - WR110 in the middle half, and WR28 - WR127 in the middle 80%. | |
| 86 | WR | CJ DanielsLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR62 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 3%Top 24: 8% |
WR86NEW | 2.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 92%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR62 - WR120 in the middle half, and WR29 - WR140 in the middle 80%. | |
| 87 | WR | Josh CameronJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR67 - WR113 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
WR87↑ 22 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR91 at the median, WR67 - WR113 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR130 in the middle 80%. | |
| 88 | WR | Ashton DulinINDQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR63 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR143 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR88↑ 22 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR63 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR143 in the middle 80%. | |
| 89 | WR | Kolbe KatsisDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR64 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR89↑ 48 | 2.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR64 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR138 in the middle 80%. | |
| 90 | WR | Devontez WalkerBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR67 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR135 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR90↑ 33 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR67 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR135 in the middle 80%. | |
| 91 | WR | Calvin RidleyTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR66 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR132 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR91↑ 28 | 2.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR92 at the median, WR66 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR132 in the middle 80%. | |
| 92 | WR | Cyrus AllenKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR70 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 6% |
WR92NEW | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 94%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR99 at the median, WR70 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR140 in the middle 80%. | |
| 93 | WR | Tez JohnsonTB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR68 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR35 - WR133 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
WR93↑ 19 | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR93 at the median, WR68 - WR116 in the middle half, and WR35 - WR133 in the middle 80%. | |
| 94 | WR | Bryce LanceNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR71 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR132 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR94↓ 8 | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR71 - WR117 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR132 in the middle 80%. | |
| 95 | WR | Skyy MooreGBQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR68 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 7% |
WR95↑ 10 | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 5%, and outside the top 24 93%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR68 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR30 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 96 | WR | Elic AyomanorTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR69 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR130 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR96↑ 19 | 2.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR94 at the median, WR69 - WR115 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR130 in the middle 80%. | |
| 97 | WR | Emmanuel Henderson Jr.SEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR70 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR145 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR97NEW | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR70 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR145 in the middle 80%. | |
| 98 | WR | Jalen RoyalsKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR74 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 2%Top 24: 5% |
WR98NEW | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 2%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR102 at the median, WR74 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR32 - WR140 in the middle 80%. | |
| 99 | WR | Chris MooreBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR71 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 6% |
WR99↑ 17 | 2.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR71 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR140 in the middle 80%. | |
| 100 | WR | Dyami BrownWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR73 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR100↓ 6 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR98 at the median, WR73 - WR119 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR137 in the middle 80%. | |
| 101 | WR | Montorie Foster JrSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR71 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR139 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR101↑ 62 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR97 at the median, WR71 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR139 in the middle 80%. | |
| 102 | WR | Troy FranklinDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR75 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR136 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR102↓ 13 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR100 at the median, WR75 - WR121 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR136 in the middle 80%. | |
| 103 | WR | Tutu AtwellLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR72 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR103↑ 22 | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR101 at the median, WR72 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR36 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 104 | WR | Bo MeltonGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR77 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 5% |
WR104NEW | 2.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 95%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR77 - WR123 in the middle half, and WR33 - WR138 in the middle 80%. | |
| 105 | WR | Jacob CowingSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR79 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR35 - WR137 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR105↑ 28 | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 4%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR79 - WR122 in the middle half, and WR35 - WR137 in the middle 80%. | |
| 106 | WR | John Metchie IIICAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR78 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR35 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR106NEW | 2.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR105 at the median, WR78 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR35 - WR144 in the middle 80%. | |
| 107 | WR | KaVontae TurpinDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR79 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR141 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR107↑ 27 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR79 - WR125 in the middle half, and WR38 - WR141 in the middle 80%. | |
| 108 | WR | Jordan WatkinsSF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR79 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR108↓ 4 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR79 - WR129 in the middle half, and WR37 - WR144 in the middle 80%. | |
| 109 | WR | Coleman OwenIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR81 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR152 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR109↑ 22 | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR111 at the median, WR81 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR39 - WR152 in the middle 80%. | |
| 110 | WR | Tim PatrickNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR104 at the median, WR76 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR145 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR110NEW | 2.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR104 at the median, WR76 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR40 - WR145 in the middle 80%. | |
| 111 | WR | Jalen BrooksARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR81 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR140 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR111↑ 51 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR81 - WR126 in the middle half, and WR41 - WR140 in the middle 80%. | |
| 112 | WR | Elijah SarrattBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR79 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 4% |
WR112↑ 32 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 96%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR107 at the median, WR79 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 113 | WR | Camden BrownDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR110 at the median, WR81 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR149 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR113↑ 7 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR110 at the median, WR81 - WR132 in the middle half, and WR43 - WR149 in the middle 80%. | |
| 114 | WR | Zachariah BranchATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR80 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR138 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR114↑ 3 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR103 at the median, WR80 - WR124 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR138 in the middle 80%. | |
| 115 | WR | Jared WayneHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR81 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR143 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR115↓ 23 | 2.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR106 at the median, WR81 - WR128 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR143 in the middle 80%. | |
| 116 | WR | Brandon SmithPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR86 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR116↓ 8 | 2.0 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR86 - WR137 in the middle half, and WR46 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 117 | WR | Lil'Jordan HumphreyDEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR87 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR53 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR117↑ 24 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 3%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR87 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR53 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 118 | WR | Skyler BellBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR88 - WR138 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 3% |
WR118↑ 38 | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR88 - WR138 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 119 | WR | Justin ShorterLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR89 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR119NEW | 1.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR89 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR50 - WR155 in the middle 80%. | |
| 120 | WR | Ja'Seem ReedCAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR89 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR120NEW | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR89 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR49 - WR154 in the middle 80%. | |
| 121 | WR | Deion BurksIND Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR91 - WR138 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR152 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR121↑ 22 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR118 at the median, WR91 - WR138 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR152 in the middle 80%. | |
| 122 | WR | Jamaal PritchettNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR90 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR122↓ 11 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR90 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR55 - WR155 in the middle 80%. | |
| 123 | WR | Jonathan MingoDAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR113 at the median, WR89 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR147 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR123↑ 26 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR113 at the median, WR89 - WR133 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR147 in the middle 80%. | |
| 124 | WR | Chimere DikeTEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR90 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR144 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR124NEW | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR112 at the median, WR90 - WR131 in the middle half, and WR63 - WR144 in the middle 80%. | |
| 125 | WR | Ray-Ray McCloudNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR92 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR155 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR125↑ 35 | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR119 at the median, WR92 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR56 - WR155 in the middle 80%. | |
| 126 | WR | Marvin Mims Jr.DEN Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR91 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR61 - WR148 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR126— | 1.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR116 at the median, WR91 - WR134 in the middle half, and WR61 - WR148 in the middle 80%. | |
| 127 | WR | Brenen ThompsonLACQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR91 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR127↑ 30 | 1.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR91 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR57 - WR160 in the middle 80%. | |
| 128 | WR | Marquise BrownPHIQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR97 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR161 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 3% |
WR128↓ 7 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 97%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR127 at the median, WR97 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR161 in the middle 80%. | |
| 129 | WR | Theo Wease Jr.LAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR96 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR154 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR129NEW | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR121 at the median, WR96 - WR141 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR154 in the middle 80%. | |
| 130 | WR | Tory HortonSEA Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR100 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR130↓ 3 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR100 - WR145 in the middle half, and WR58 - WR157 in the middle 80%. | |
| 131 | WR | Jordan WhittingtonLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR99 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR69 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR131↑ 17 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR122 at the median, WR99 - WR139 in the middle half, and WR69 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 132 | WR | Lewis BondHOU Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR98 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR132↑ 3 | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR98 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR64 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 133 | WR | Trent SherfieldBUF Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR98 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR133NEW | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 2%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR98 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 134 | WR | Reggie VirgilARI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR99 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 1%Top 24: 2% |
WR134NEW | 1.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 1%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR125 at the median, WR99 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR66 - WR157 in the middle 80%. | |
| 135 | WR | Olamide ZaccheausATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR103 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR153 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR135↓ 5 | 1.5 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR124 at the median, WR103 - WR140 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR153 in the middle 80%. | |
| 136 | WR | Trey PalmerNO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR105 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR163 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR136NEW | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR131 at the median, WR105 - WR150 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR163 in the middle 80%. | |
| 137 | WR | Chandler BrayboyNE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR164 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR137↓ 61 | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR106 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR74 - WR164 in the middle 80%. | |
| 138 | WR | Malik BensonLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR106 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR156 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR138↑ 17 | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR106 - WR144 in the middle half, and WR76 - WR156 in the middle 80%. | |
| 139 | WR | Nikko RemigioKC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR105 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR157 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR139NEW | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR128 at the median, WR105 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR75 - WR157 in the middle 80%. | |
| 140 | WR | Jahdae WalkerCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR129 at the median, WR104 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR140↓ 37 | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR129 at the median, WR104 - WR146 in the middle half, and WR73 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 141 | WR | Jalin HyattNYG Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR107 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR163 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 2% |
WR141NEW | 1.4 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 98%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR107 - WR151 in the middle half, and WR72 - WR163 in the middle 80%. | |
| 142 | WR | Dareke YoungLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR112 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR142NEW | 1.3 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR133 at the median, WR112 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR83 - WR160 in the middle 80%. | |
| 143 | WR | J. Michael SturdivantGB Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR134 at the median, WR113 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR160 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR143↓ 15 | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR134 at the median, WR113 - WR149 in the middle half, and WR86 - WR160 in the middle 80%. | |
| 144 | WR | Zavion ThomasCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR112 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR158 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR144NEW | 1.2 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 1%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR132 at the median, WR112 - WR147 in the middle half, and WR87 - WR158 in the middle 80%. | |
| 145 | WR | Tylan WallaceCLEQQuestionable Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR142 at the median, WR118 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR172 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR145↓ 47 | 1.1 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR142 at the median, WR118 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR85 - WR172 in the middle 80%. | |
| 146 | WR | Kaden DavisCHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR127 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR146NEW | 0.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR146 at the median, WR127 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR100 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 147 | WR | Sterling ShepardNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR129 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR105 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR147↓ 9 | 0.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR147 at the median, WR129 - WR161 in the middle half, and WR105 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 148 | WR | Deven ThompkinsLV Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR148 at the median, WR128 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR103 - WR172 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR148↓ 52 | 0.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR148 at the median, WR128 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR103 - WR172 in the middle 80%. | |
| 149 | WR | Elijah MoorePHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR145 at the median, WR124 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR99 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 1% |
WR149↓ 4 | 0.9 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 99%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR145 at the median, WR124 - WR160 in the middle half, and WR99 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 150 | WR | Xavier SmithLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR133 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR111 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR150NEW | 0.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR149 at the median, WR133 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR111 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 151 | WR | C.J. WilliamsJAX Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR135 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR112 - WR175 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR151NEW | 0.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR135 - WR166 in the middle half, and WR112 - WR175 in the middle 80%. | |
| 152 | WR | Luke McCaffreyWAS Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR135 - WR164 in the middle half, and WR113 - WR172 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR152↓ 20 | 0.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR135 - WR164 in the middle half, and WR113 - WR172 in the middle 80%. | |
| 153 | WR | LaJohntay WesterBAL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR135 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR153↑ 8 | 0.8 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR135 - WR162 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR170 in the middle 80%. | |
| 154 | WR | Kaden WetjenPIT Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR136 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR119 - WR171 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR154NEW | 0.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR151 at the median, WR136 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR119 - WR171 in the middle 80%. | |
| 155 | WR | Chris BlairATL Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR139 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR121 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR155NEW | 0.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR154 at the median, WR139 - WR165 in the middle half, and WR121 - WR173 in the middle 80%. | |
| 156 | WR | Bub MeansCLE Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR139 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR177 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR156NEW | 0.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR156 at the median, WR139 - WR169 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR177 in the middle 80%. | |
| 157 | WR | Derius DavisLAC Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR140 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR125 - WR170 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR157NEW | 0.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR152 at the median, WR140 - WR163 in the middle half, and WR125 - WR170 in the middle 80%. | |
| 158 | WR | Malik McClainNYJ Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR137 - WR164 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR173 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR158↓ 44 | 0.7 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR153 at the median, WR137 - WR164 in the middle half, and WR116 - WR173 in the middle 80%. | |
| 159 | WR | Alex BachmanLAR Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR146 - WR170 in the middle half, and WR128 - WR176 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR159↓ 37 | 0.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR159 at the median, WR146 - WR170 in the middle half, and WR128 - WR176 in the middle 80%. | |
| 160 | WR | Kevin Austin Jr.NO Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR146 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR126 - WR179 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR160↓ 2 | 0.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR161 at the median, WR146 - WR172 in the middle half, and WR126 - WR179 in the middle 80%. | |
| 161 | WR | Xavier GipsonPHI Drivers show how expected points change when each signal is removed. Effects can overlap, so they do not add up to the final projection.
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?We don’t currently show matchup as a separate factor. We tested a standalone matchup adjustment built from historical defensive performance, and it did not improve predictions consistently out of sample.Matchup information is still reflected indirectly through our outside weekly projection and betting-market inputs — sportsbook odds and prediction markets — when available.We only show a separate factor when it adds reliable predictive value on its own. How to read
Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR162 at the median, WR146 - WR173 in the middle half, and WR125 - WR179 in the middle 80%.
Top 3: 0%Top 12: 0%Top 24: 0% |
WR161↓ 11 | 0.6 | Across the simulated weeks at the position, he finishes in the top 3 0% of the time, 4th to 12th 0%, 13th to 24th 0%, and outside the top 24 100%. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR162 at the median, WR146 - WR173 in the middle half, and WR125 - WR179 in the middle 80%. |
Simulated finishes
This board is ranked by projected fantasy points. The map shows where those same players finished at their own position across the 4,000 simulated weeks the projections came from.
Box: the middle half of a player's simulated finishes. Line: his median. Thin bar: the middle 80%. Two players whose boxes overlap are two players this board does not separate.
Week 6 WR outcome map: the positional finish each player reaches across the 4,000 simulated weeks, as a median, a middle half and a middle 80%. The board itself is ranked by projected fantasy points.
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WR1 Puka NacuaWR14Puka Nacua is ranked WR1 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR14 at the median, WR5 - WR35 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR51 in the middle 80%.
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WR15Jaxon Smith-Njigba is ranked WR2 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR15 at the median, WR6 - WR34 in the middle half, and WR2 - WR49 in the middle 80%.
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WR3 CeeDee LambWR18CeeDee Lamb is ranked WR3 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR18 at the median, WR7 - WR37 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR51 in the middle 80%.
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WR4 Drake LondonWR20Drake London is ranked WR4 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR20 at the median, WR8 - WR39 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR52 in the middle 80%.
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WR5 Chris OlaveWR22Chris Olave is ranked WR5 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR8 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
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WR22Tetairoa McMillan is ranked WR6 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR8 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR59 in the middle 80%.
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WR7 Christian WatsonWR22Christian Watson is ranked WR7 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR22 at the median, WR9 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
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WR8 Zay FlowersWR26Zay Flowers is ranked WR8 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR9 - WR47 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR67 in the middle 80%.
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WR9 Malik NabersWR23Malik Nabers is ranked WR9 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR23 at the median, WR9 - WR43 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR58 in the middle 80%.
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WR10 Davante AdamsWR24Davante Adams is ranked WR10 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR24 at the median, WR9 - WR44 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
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WR11 Nico CollinsWR26Nico Collins is ranked WR11 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR26 at the median, WR9 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR64 in the middle 80%.
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WR12 Mike EvansWR27Mike Evans is ranked WR12 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR10 - WR49 in the middle half, and WR3 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
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WR13 DeVonta SmithWR31DeVonta Smith is ranked WR13 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR11 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR78 in the middle 80%.
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WR14 Garrett WilsonWR27Garrett Wilson is ranked WR14 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR11 - WR45 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
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WR15 Matthew GoldenWR27Matthew Golden is ranked WR15 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR27 at the median, WR11 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR60 in the middle 80%.
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WR16 George PickensWR29George Pickens is ranked WR16 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR29 at the median, WR11 - WR46 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR62 in the middle 80%.
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WR17 Parker WashingtonWR31Parker Washington is ranked WR17 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR31 at the median, WR12 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR5 - WR66 in the middle 80%.
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WR18 Rashee RiceWR35Rashee Rice is ranked WR18 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR35 at the median, WR13 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR4 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR19 Michael WilsonWR34Michael Wilson is ranked WR19 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR34 at the median, WR14 - WR50 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR67 in the middle 80%.
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WR20 Luther Burden IIIWR36Luther Burden III is ranked WR20 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR36 at the median, WR16 - WR53 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR69 in the middle 80%.
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WR21 Jalen CokerWR37Jalen Coker is ranked WR21 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR37 at the median, WR15 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR75 in the middle 80%.
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WR22 Denzel BostonWR40Denzel Boston is ranked WR22 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR16 - WR60 in the middle half, and WR6 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR23 DK MetcalfWR40DK Metcalf is ranked WR23 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR17 - WR58 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR76 in the middle 80%.
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WR24 Carnell TateWR40Carnell Tate is ranked WR24 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR40 at the median, WR19 - WR56 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR73 in the middle 80%.
Show WR25 - WR36
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WR25 Stefon DiggsWR43Stefon Diggs is ranked WR25 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR70 in the middle half, and WR7 - WR95 in the middle 80%.
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WR26 DJ MooreWR43DJ Moore is ranked WR26 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR43 at the median, WR19 - WR65 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR88 in the middle 80%.
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WR27 Terry McLaurinWR41Terry McLaurin is ranked WR27 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR19 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR8 - WR85 in the middle 80%.
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WR28 Rome OdunzeWR41Rome Odunze is ranked WR28 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR41 at the median, WR20 - WR59 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR77 in the middle 80%.
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WR29 Emeka EgbukaWR44Emeka Egbuka is ranked WR29 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR20 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
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WR30 Devaughn VeleWR44Devaughn Vele is ranked WR30 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR21 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR81 in the middle 80%.
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WR31 Dontayvion WicksWR47Dontayvion Wicks is ranked WR31 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR22 - WR71 in the middle half, and WR9 - WR94 in the middle 80%.
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WR32 Josh DownsWR44Josh Downs is ranked WR32 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR44 at the median, WR24 - WR62 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR80 in the middle 80%.
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WR33 Xavier WorthyWR47Xavier Worthy is ranked WR33 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR47 at the median, WR23 - WR67 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR86 in the middle 80%.
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WR34 Tre TuckerWR45Tre Tucker is ranked WR34 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR24 - WR64 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR83 in the middle 80%.
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WR35 Jaylen WaddleWR45Jaylen Waddle is ranked WR35 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR45 at the median, WR24 - WR63 in the middle half, and WR11 - WR82 in the middle 80%.
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WR36 Ladd McConkeyWR48Ladd McConkey is ranked WR36 on projected fantasy points. Across the simulated weeks he finishes WR48 at the median, WR25 - WR72 in the middle half, and WR10 - WR96 in the middle 80%.
Simulated positional finish. The scale is compressed to the right, so equal distances are not equal numbers of places.
The axis compresses lower-ranked finishes so the top of the board stays readable. Use the printed ranges for exact finish positions.
How these are made
This board was built from 2026 usage for 78% of the board, draft position for 100%, an outside projection for 58%, sportsbook props for 50%, an official status for 81%, over 4,000 simulated weeks. The projection and the odds are both unconditional: for a player carrying an official Questionable or Doubtful, the weeks he sits are in the average and in the odds. Ranks follow projected points for Standard, 1QB.
Availability is a model input: players ruled out, inactive, on a reserve list or without a game are left off the weekly board, and an official Questionable or Doubtful is simulated as playing 71% and 7% of the time. Status evidence was captured October 15, 2026 21:54 UTC. Movement is previous - current; positive means the player moved up the board (a smaller rank number), measured in positional rank against the final Week 5 board generated before that week's first kickoff (October 8, 2026). Model rankings-v1.4.3, board captured 2026-10-15.
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
