PHI · Bye 10 · Rookie
Makai Lemon
LMD WR Tier 7 for Week 9 · 6.0 projected Standard points · WR50 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 6.0 points this week, WR Tier 7. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 2.0 - 11.9 points. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 9% · Top 24: 22% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
WR Tier 7
5.3 - 6.1 projected points
Rest of season
WR50
107th by projected points
Projected
6.0
week 9, Standard
Top 12
9%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 22% at WR
Movement
↑ 4
WR46 in Week 8, WR42 now
Should you start Makai Lemon in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Makai Lemon WR42 for Week 9, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 22% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
LMD vs the draft market
WR42 vs WR53 +11
LMD has him WR42. The fantasy draft market has him WR53, 11 places lower.
Our projection is higher than the outside forecast.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral-0.08 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No mean changeNarrower range+0.07 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.17 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.01 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Omar Cooper Jr., Makai Lemon, and 6 More Must-Sit Wide Receivers in Week 9 Fantasy Football
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Fantasy Football Injury Update: Makai Lemon Steps Into Featured Role with DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks OUT
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Jamey Eisenberg's Week 8 Fantasy football sleepers and DFS picks: Makai Lemon could be a bitter sweet surprise
CBS Sports ·
-
Makai Lemon Complicates Front Office Criticism in Eagles' Disappointing Season
Sports Illustrated ·
-
STATUS
Makai Lemon is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Makai Lemon by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 8 completed games Makai Lemon has averaged -0.6 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs WAS | 3.4 | -0.5 | -3.9 |
| Wk 2 | @ TEN | 3.2 | 0.9 | -2.3 |
| Wk 3 | @ CHI | 4.1 | 2.9 | -1.2 |
| Wk 4 | vs LAR | 4.8 | 2.7 | -2.1 |
| Wk 5 | @ JAX | 4.7 | 4.3 | -0.4 |
| Wk 6 | vs CAR | 4.8 | 1.9 | -2.9 |
| Wk 7 | vs DAL | 4.9 | 12.7 | +7.8 |
| Wk 8 | @ WAS | 5.6 | 5.7 | +0.1 |
| Wk 9 | vs NYG | 6.0 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR56. For the rest of the season LMD has him 6 spots higher, at WR50.
Preseason market: WR56 · ADP 122.5
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR50 +6
LMD has him 6 spots higher than his WR56 draft price.
Week 9
WR42 +14
LMD has him 14 spots higher than his WR56 draft price.
Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR56 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 55.2 points this season, WR50. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 10% of simulated seasons. That is 6.0 a game over 9 remaining games.
Per game
6.0 / game
Over 9 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 10%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Makai Lemon #79 in 1QB and #80 in Superflex, WR29 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.
1QB
#79
WR29 · tier 19 · of 300 · rookie 6 of 52
Superflex
#80
WR29 · tier 15 · of 307 · rookie 6 of 52
- Draft capital Round 1, pick 20 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
10.06
pick 113.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
10.06
half of simulations take him by pick 114
Draft range
8.12 - 11.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,998 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.06 in 50% of simulations
Pick 114 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 7, the same seat picks again at 11.07, where he is available in 17% of simulations.
Slot 7's remaining turns: 10.06 50% · 11.07 17% · 12.06 4% · 13.07 <1% · 14.06 <1% · 15.07 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.08 and 11.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.04 | 55% |
| 10.05 | 53% |
| 10.06 | 50% |
| 10.07 | 47% |
| 10.08 | 44% |
| 10.09 | 42% |
| 10.10 | 39% |
| 10.11 | 37% |
| 10.12 | 34% |
| 11.01 | 31% |
| 11.02 | 29% |
| 11.03 | 26% |
| 11.04 | 24% |
| 11.05 | 21% |
| 11.06 | 19% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.12-9.01 | 3% | 313 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 4% | 400 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 4% | 437 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 4% | 427 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 5% | 458 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 5% | 467 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 5% | 508 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 6% | 553 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 5% | 509 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 6% | 587 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 5% | 495 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 5% | 547 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 5% | 507 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.02-11.03 | 5% | 510 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.04-11.05 | 4% | 426 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.06-11.07 | 4% | 421 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.08-11.09 | 3% | 322 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.11 | 3% | 294 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9998 simulations in which Makai Lemon was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Dallas Goedert TE · PHI 2%
- Bo Nix QB · DEN 2%
- Patrick Mahomes QB · KC 2%
- Josh Downs WR · IND 2%
Usually taken just after
- Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN 2%
- Kyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL 2%
- Mark Andrews TE · BAL 2%
- Stefon Diggs WR · WAS 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Makai Lemon was selected in 9998 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.