BUF · Bye 7 · Rookie
Skyler Bell
LMD WR Tier 11 for Week 10 · 2.8 projected Half PPR points · WR141 rest of season
Regular season
Week 10 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 2.8 points this week, WR Tier 11. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 0.8 - 6.9 points. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 3% of simulated weeks.
Week 10
WR Tier 11
2.3 - 2.9 projected points
Rest of season
WR141
290th by projected points
Projected
2.8
week 10, Half PPR
Top 12
1%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 3% at WR
Movement
↑ 15
WR115 in Week 9, WR100 now
Should you start Skyler Bell in Week 10?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Skyler Bell WR100 for Week 10, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 3% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+0.79 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight negative-0.38 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Unavailable
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.00 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated November 12, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
STATUS
Skyler Bell is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 2 completed games Skyler Bell has averaged -1.9 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | vs LAC | 2.3 | Pending | — |
| Wk 4 | vs NE | 2.1 | Pending | — |
| Wk 5 | @ LAR | 1.4 | 0.0 | -1.4 |
| Wk 6 | @ LV | 2.4 | 0.0 | -2.4 |
| Wk 8 | vs BAL | 2.5 | Pending | — |
| Wk 9 | @ MIN | 1.5 | Pending | — |
| Wk 10 | @ NYJ | 2.8 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 24.5 points this season, WR141. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 2.8 a game over 9 remaining games.
Per game
2.8 / game
Over 9 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 12, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Skyler Bell #247 in 1QB and #252 in Superflex, WR100 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 24.
1QB
#247
WR100 · tier 56 · of 300 · rookie 44 of 52
Superflex
#252
WR100 · tier 49 · of 307 · rookie 45 of 52
- Draft capital Round 4, pick 125 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
4.02
pick 38.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
4.03
half of simulations take him by pick 39
Draft range
3.03 - 4.10
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 9,266 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Skyler Bell.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 4.03 in 58% of simulations
Pick 39 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 3.09 and 4.08.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 4.01 | 68% |
| 4.02 | 63% |
| 4.03 | 58% |
| 4.04 | 53% |
| 4.05 | 48% |
| 4.06 | 43% |
| 4.07 | 37% |
| 4.08 | 31% |
| 4.09 | 26% |
| 4.10 | 20% |
| 4.11 | 16% |
| 4.12 | 11% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 3.03 | 2% | 233 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.04 | 3% | 257 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.05 | 2% | 230 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.06 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.07 | 3% | 259 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.08 | 2% | 233 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.09 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.10 | 2% | 248 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.11 | 3% | 257 of 10000 simulations |
| 3.12 | 3% | 263 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.01 | 5% | 515 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.02 | 5% | 469 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.03 | 5% | 507 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.04 | 5% | 547 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.05 | 5% | 501 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.06 | 5% | 546 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.07 | 6% | 574 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.08 | 6% | 568 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.09 | 5% | 531 of 10000 simulations |
| 4.10 | 5% | 450 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 9266 simulations in which Skyler Bell was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Kaden Wetjen WR · PIT 5%
- Bryce Lance WR · NO 4%
- Colbie Young WR · CIN 4%
- Eli Heidenreich RB · PIT 4%
Usually taken just after
- Kaden Wetjen WR · PIT 5%
- Colbie Young WR · CIN 4%
- Bryce Lance WR · NO 4%
- Reggie Virgil WR · ARI 4%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Rookie drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Skyler Bell was selected in 9266 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 12, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@9ec076346de89e76
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.