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WR

NE · Bye 11

DeMario Douglas

LMD WR72 for Week 3 · 5.7 projected Half PPR points · WR91 rest of season

Regular season

Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 5.7 points this week, WR72. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 4% · Top 24: 12% of simulated weeks. Down 16 since Week 2.

Week 3

WR72

136th by projected points

Rest of season

WR91

163rd by projected points

Projected

5.7

week 3, Half PPR

Top 12

4%

Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 12% at WR

Movement

↓ 16

WR56 in Week 2, WR72 now

Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All WR rankings · Projected points board

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 2 completed games DeMario Douglas has averaged -1.0 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for DeMario Douglas, Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 @ SEA 2.7 4.5 +1.8
Wk 2 vs PIT 5.2 1.4 -3.8
Wk 3 @ JAX 5.7 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 79.4 points this season, WR91. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 5.6 a game over 15 remaining games. Down 51 since the Sept. 20 board.

Per game

5.6 / game

Over 15 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has DeMario Douglas #185 in 1QB and #189 in Superflex, WR78 at his position. Age 25.

1QB

#185

WR78 · tier 41 · of 297

Superflex

#189

WR78 · tier 35 · of 303

  • Last season 80.3 pts 5.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 92% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 4.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 14% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

15.03

pick 170.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

15.03

half of simulations take him by pick 171

Draft range

14.07 - 15.11

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 4,782 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Half PPR
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Dynasty

Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for DeMario Douglas.

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.03 in 77% of simulations

Pick 171 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 14.10 and 15.08.

DeMario Douglas still on the board
PickAvailable
15.01 82%
15.02 80%
15.03 77%
15.04 75%
15.05 72%
15.06 70%
15.07 67%
15.08 65%
15.09 62%
15.10 60%
15.11 58%
15.12 55%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which DeMario Douglas was selected at each pick, 14.07 through 15.11. He goes earlier than this window in 3%, later in 3%, undrafted in 52%.
Draft position distribution for DeMario Douglas
PickShare of simulationsCount
14.073%257 of 10000 simulations
14.083%297 of 10000 simulations
14.093%253 of 10000 simulations
14.102%248 of 10000 simulations
14.113%252 of 10000 simulations
14.122%236 of 10000 simulations
15.012%224 of 10000 simulations
15.023%253 of 10000 simulations
15.032%235 of 10000 simulations
15.042%232 of 10000 simulations
15.052%234 of 10000 simulations
15.063%254 of 10000 simulations
15.072%249 of 10000 simulations
15.083%256 of 10000 simulations
15.093%254 of 10000 simulations
15.102%227 of 10000 simulations
15.113%283 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 4782 simulations in which DeMario Douglas was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

DeMario Douglas was selected in 4782 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
rank

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.