BAL · Bye 13
Rashod Bateman
LMD WR Tier 9 for Week 9 · 3.0 projected Standard points · WR113 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 3.0 points this week, WR Tier 9. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.0 - 7.5 points. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 1% · Top 24: 6% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
WR Tier 9
2.9 - 3.7 projected points
Rest of season
WR113
237th by projected points
Projected
3.0
week 9, Standard
Top 12
1%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 6% at WR
Movement
↓ 27
WR61 in Week 8, WR88 now
Should you start Rashod Bateman in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Rashod Bateman WR88 for Week 9, outside the WR24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside WR24 in 6% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight positive+0.15 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight negative-0.11 pts
- Betting markets
- Negative-0.70 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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STATUS
Rashod Bateman is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
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ADP UPDATE
Rashod Bateman's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 137.4 to 146.9 over the last 7 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 8 completed games Rashod Bateman has averaged +0.1 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ IND | 3.1 | 0.0 | -3.1 |
| Wk 2 | vs NO | 3.5 | 14.8 | +11.3 |
| Wk 3 | @ DAL | 5.9 | 3.7 | -2.2 |
| Wk 4 | vs TEN | 4.8 | 4.6 | -0.2 |
| Wk 5 | @ ATL | 3.7 | 6.2 | +2.5 |
| Wk 6 | @ CLE | 5.3 | 0.0 | -5.3 |
| Wk 7 | vs CIN | 3.4 | 3.3 | -0.1 |
| Wk 8 | @ BUF | 4.1 | 2.2 | -1.9 |
| Wk 9 | vs JAX | 3.0 | Pending | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 27.3 points this season, WR113. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 2.9 a game over 9 remaining games. Up 5 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
2.9 / game
Over 9 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Rashod Bateman #270 in 1QB and #275 in Superflex, WR107 at his position. Age 26.
1QB
#270
WR107 · tier 64 · of 300
Superflex
#275
WR107 · tier 56 · of 307
- Last season 45.9 pts 3.5 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 84% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 3.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 14% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
13.07
pick 151.0 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.11
half of simulations take him by pick 143
Draft range
11.07 - 15.09
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 6,064 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.11 in 71% of simulations
Pick 143 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 2, the same seat picks again at 13.02, where he is available in 66% of simulations.
Slot 2's remaining turns: 12.11 71% · 13.02 66% · 14.11 61% · 15.02 58%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.03 and 15.04.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.09 | 75% |
| 12.10 | 73% |
| 12.11 | 71% |
| 12.12 | 69% |
| 13.01 | 67% |
| 13.02 | 66% |
| 13.03 | 66% |
| 13.04 | 66% |
| 13.05 | 66% |
| 13.06 | 66% |
| 13.07 | 66% |
| 13.08 | 66% |
| 13.09 | 66% |
| 13.10 | 66% |
| 13.11 | 66% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.07-11.09 | 3% | 330 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.10-11.12 | 3% | 337 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.01-12.03 | 5% | 501 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.06 | 5% | 512 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.07-12.09 | 5% | 520 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.12 | 6% | 629 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.01-13.03 | <1% | 18 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.06 | <1% | 18 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.07-13.09 | <1% | 37 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.12 | <1% | 49 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.01-14.03 | 1% | 114 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.06 | 1% | 100 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.07-14.09 | 1% | 143 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.12 | 2% | 188 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01-15.03 | 5% | 504 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.06 | 5% | 495 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07-15.09 | 6% | 557 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 6064 simulations in which Rashod Bateman was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 2%
- Sam Darnold QB · SEA 2%
Usually taken just after
- Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · NYG 2%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 2%
- Romeo Doubs WR · NE 2%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Rashod Bateman was selected in 6064 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.