TEN · Bye 9
Elic Ayomanor
LMD WR78 rest of season · 43.8 projected Half PPR points
No game this week
In season
Rest of season fantasy ranking
We project 43.8 points this season, WR78. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.8 a game over 9 remaining games. No game this week. Up 3 since the Nov. 4 board.
Rest of season
WR78
179th by projected points
Projected
43.8
rest of season, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at WR
Movement
↑ 3
WR81 on Nov. 4, WR78 now
Half PPR scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 7 completed games Elic Ayomanor has averaged +0.3 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | — | — | 7.6 | — |
| Wk 2 | vs PHI | 2.3 | 7.9 | +5.6 |
| Wk 3 | @ NYG | 3.3 | 1.6 | -1.7 |
| Wk 4 | @ BAL | 3.4 | 2.7 | -0.7 |
| Wk 5 | vs HOU | 3.0 | 2.2 | -0.8 |
| Wk 6 | @ IND | 3.3 | 0.8 | -2.5 |
| Wk 7 | vs CLE | 3.4 | 5.9 | +2.5 |
| Wk 8 | @ CIN | 5.4 | 4.9 | -0.5 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 43.8 points this season, WR78. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.8 a game over 9 remaining games. No game this week. Up 3 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
4.8 / game
Over 9 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Elic Ayomanor #114 in 1QB and #119 in Superflex, WR48 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#114
WR48 · tier 26 · of 300
Superflex
#119
WR48 · tier 21 · of 307
- Last season 96.0 pts 6.0 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 94% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.6 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 18% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
10.04
pick 112.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
10.03
half of simulations take him by pick 111
Draft range
8.11 - 11.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Elic Ayomanor.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 10.03 in 50% of simulations
Pick 111 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 10, the same seat picks again at 11.10, where he is available in 12% of simulations.
Slot 10's remaining turns: 10.03 50% · 11.10 12% · 12.03 7% · 13.10 <1% · 14.03 <1% · 15.10 0%
The middle half of simulations take him between 9.05 and 11.01.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 10.01 | 56% |
| 10.02 | 53% |
| 10.03 | 50% |
| 10.04 | 48% |
| 10.05 | 45% |
| 10.06 | 42% |
| 10.07 | 40% |
| 10.08 | 37% |
| 10.09 | 35% |
| 10.10 | 32% |
| 10.11 | 30% |
| 10.12 | 27% |
| 11.01 | 25% |
| 11.02 | 23% |
| 11.03 | 22% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 8.11-8.12 | 4% | 446 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.01-9.02 | 5% | 485 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.03-9.04 | 5% | 469 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.05-9.06 | 5% | 528 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.07-9.08 | 5% | 514 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.09-9.10 | 5% | 526 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.11-9.12 | 6% | 564 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.01-10.02 | 6% | 557 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.03-10.04 | 6% | 553 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.05-10.06 | 5% | 501 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.07-10.08 | 5% | 499 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.09-10.10 | 5% | 505 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.11-10.12 | 5% | 460 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.01-11.02 | 3% | 345 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.03-11.04 | 3% | 313 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.05-11.06 | 3% | 298 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.07-11.08 | 2% | 237 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.09-11.10 | 2% | 239 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.11 | 1% | 105 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Elic Ayomanor was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- De'Zhaun Stribling WR · SF 2%
- Rashee Rice WR · KC 2%
- Josh Downs WR · IND 2%
- Malik Nabers WR · NYG 2%
Usually taken just after
- Josh Downs WR · IND 2%
- Xavier Worthy WR · KC 2%
- Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ 2%
- Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB Dynasty drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Elic Ayomanor was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.