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KC · Bye 5

Xavier Worthy

LMD WR38 for Week 3 · 6.4 projected Standard points · WR52 rest of season

Regular season

Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings

We project 6.4 points this week, WR38. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 13% · Top 24: 26% of simulated weeks. Up 5 since Week 2.

Week 3

WR38

83rd by projected points

Rest of season

WR52

99th by projected points

Projected

6.4

week 3, Standard

Top 12

13%

Top 3: 3% · Top 24: 26% at WR

Movement

↑ 5

WR43 in Week 2, WR38 now

Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All WR rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Xavier Worthy by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 2 completed games Xavier Worthy has averaged +1.4 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Xavier Worthy, Standard scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 vs DEN 3.8 1.8 -2.0
Wk 2 vs IND 3.7 8.5 +4.8
Wk 3 @ MIA 6.4 — —

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Draft Return

How he compares with his draft price

The draft market had him at WR42. For the rest of the season LMD has him 10 spots lower, at WR52.

Preseason market: WR42 · ADP 89.4

Season to date

Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.

Rest of season

WR52 −10

LMD has him 10 spots lower than his WR42 draft price.

Week 3

WR38 +4

LMD has him 4 spots higher than his WR42 draft price.

Standard scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026

Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.

WR42 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.

ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 91.1 points this season, WR52. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 2% · Top 24: 11% of simulated seasons. That is 6.4 a game over 15 remaining games. Up 14 since the Sept. 20 board.

Per game

6.4 / game

Over 15 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 2% · Top 24: 11%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Xavier Worthy #113 in 1QB and #118 in Superflex, WR47 at his position. Age 23.

1QB

#113

WR47 · tier 26 · of 297

Superflex

#118

WR47 · tier 21 · of 303

  • Last season 88.9 pts 6.4 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 87% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 6.5 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 17% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

9.03

pick 98.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

9.03

half of simulations take him by pick 99

Draft range

7.04 - 10.12

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 9,993 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams
Scoring Standard also published: Half PPR, Full PPR
QB format 1QB
Pool Redraft

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 9.03 in 51% of simulations

Pick 99 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

From draft slot 3, the same seat picks again at 10.10, where he is available in 13% of simulations.

Slot 3's remaining turns: 9.03 51% · 10.10 13% · 11.03 7% · 12.10 <1% · 13.03 <1% · 14.10 <1% · 15.03 <1%

The middle half of simulations take him between 8.02 and 10.03.

Xavier Worthy still on the board
PickAvailable
9.01 55%
9.02 53%
9.03 51%
9.04 49%
9.05 46%
9.06 44%
9.07 42%
9.08 40%
9.09 38%
9.10 36%
9.11 34%
9.12 32%
10.01 30%
10.02 28%
10.03 26%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Xavier Worthy was selected at each pick, 7.04-7.05 through 10.12. He goes earlier than this window in 10%, later in 10%, undrafted in <1%.
Draft position distribution for Xavier Worthy
PickShare of simulationsCount
7.04-7.052%215 of 10000 simulations
7.06-7.072%234 of 10000 simulations
7.08-7.093%279 of 10000 simulations
7.10-7.113%305 of 10000 simulations
7.12-8.013%305 of 10000 simulations
8.02-8.033%333 of 10000 simulations
8.04-8.054%398 of 10000 simulations
8.06-8.074%367 of 10000 simulations
8.08-8.094%416 of 10000 simulations
8.10-8.114%406 of 10000 simulations
8.12-9.014%437 of 10000 simulations
9.02-9.034%444 of 10000 simulations
9.04-9.055%464 of 10000 simulations
9.06-9.074%413 of 10000 simulations
9.08-9.094%418 of 10000 simulations
9.10-9.114%387 of 10000 simulations
9.12-10.014%397 of 10000 simulations
10.02-10.034%376 of 10000 simulations
10.04-10.054%402 of 10000 simulations
10.06-10.074%355 of 10000 simulations
10.08-10.093%306 of 10000 simulations
10.10-10.113%258 of 10000 simulations
10.121%120 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 9993 simulations in which Xavier Worthy was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Xavier Worthy was selected in 9993 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.

A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
September 17, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
Baseline
mixed
Market prior
ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Standard 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.