CLE · Bye 11 · Rookie
Denzel Boston
LMD WR Tier 5 for Week 9 · 9.0 projected Half PPR points · WR37 rest of season
Questionable
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 9.0 points this week, WR Tier 5. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 2.6 - 17.7 points. Top 3: 4% · Top 12: 15% · Top 24: 30% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable.
Week 9
WR Tier 5
8.5 - 9.6 projected points
Rest of season
WR37
81st by projected points
Projected
9.0
week 9, Half PPR
Top 12
15%
Top 3: 4% · Top 24: 30% at WR
Movement
↓ 1
WR30 in Week 8, WR31 now
Should you start Denzel Boston in Week 9?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Denzel Boston WR31 for Week 9, just outside the WR24 starter line. He finishes inside WR24 in 30% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight negative-0.11 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight positive+0.12 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.35 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight negative-0.41 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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STATUS
Denzel Boston is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
-
Denzel Boston limited at practice
Yahoo Sports ·
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Denzel Boston held to one catch in Week 6 vs. Ravens
Yahoo Sports ·
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Limited practice for Denzel Boston
Yahoo Sports ·
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2026 NFL OROY Odds: Denzel Boston Jumps Jeremiyah Love As Favorite
spotontennessee.com ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Denzel Boston by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 8 completed games Denzel Boston has averaged +1.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ JAX | 4.0 | 12.9 | +8.9 |
| Wk 2 | @ TB | 4.7 | 18.0 | +13.3 |
| Wk 3 | vs CAR | 8.1 | 7.1 | -1.0 |
| Wk 4 | vs PIT | 7.3 | 10.9 | +3.6 |
| Wk 5 | @ NYJ | 8.7 | 12.1 | +3.4 |
| Wk 6 | vs BAL | 9.5 | 2.0 | -7.5 |
| Wk 7 | @ TEN | 8.9 | 4.2 | -4.7 |
| Wk 8 | @ PIT | 8.4 | 6.7 | -1.7 |
| Wk 9 | @ NO | 9.0 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Draft Return
How he compares with his draft price
The draft market had him at WR60. For the rest of the season LMD has him 23 spots higher, at WR37.
Preseason market: WR60 · ADP 139.1
Season to date
Ranking what he has actually scored needs every player's season, and that board is not published yet.
Rest of season
WR37 +23
LMD has him 23 spots higher than his WR60 draft price.
Week 9
WR31 +29
LMD has him 29 spots higher than his WR60 draft price.
Half PPR scoring · benchmark September 9, 2026
Season to date is what he has actually scored, ranked among his position. Rest of season and this week are LMD's current expectations rather than results. All three are compared with where the draft market had him before the season started.
WR60 is where Fantasy Football Calculator had him on September 9, 2026, the last board taken before the season's first kickoff. Later boards absorb what has happened since, so they are a current market rather than a draft price.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 80.0 points this season, WR37. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 19% of simulated seasons. That is 9.2 a game over 9 remaining games. Listed questionable. Down 3 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
9.2 / game
Over 9 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 19%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at WR
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Denzel Boston #118 in 1QB and #125 in Superflex, WR50 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.
1QB
#118
WR50 · tier 27 · of 300 · rookie 11 of 52
Superflex
#125
WR50 · tier 22 · of 307 · rookie 12 of 52
- Draft capital Round 2, pick 39 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty WR rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.10
pick 177.6 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.10
half of simulations take him by pick 178
Draft range
15.07 - 15.12
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 1,151 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Denzel Boston.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.10 in 96% of simulations
Pick 178 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.09 and 15.11.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.08 | 99% |
| 15.09 | 97% |
| 15.10 | 96% |
| 15.11 | 93% |
| 15.12 | 91% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.03 | <1% | 1 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | <1% | 10 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | <1% | 12 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | <1% | 37 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | <1% | 73 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 1% | 133 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 177 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 222 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 240 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 241 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 1151 simulations in which Denzel Boston was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · SF 3%
- Dylan Sampson RB · CLE 3%
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX 3%
- Jalen Coker WR · CAR 3%
Usually taken just after
- Will Reichard K · MIN 2%
- Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX 2%
- Tank Bigsby RB · PHI 2%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Denzel Boston was selected in 1151 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.