DEN · Bye 10
Troy Franklin
LMD WR127 for Week 3 · 2.5 projected Half PPR points
In season
Week 3 fantasy ranking
We project 2.5 points this week, WR127. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 1% of simulated weeks.
Week 3
WR127
252nd by projected points
Projected
2.5
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 1% at WR
Movement
NEW
Not ranked at WR in Week 2
- Draft / market prior
- Neutral+0.03 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.06 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral+0.03 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
ADP UPDATE
Troy Franklin's ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 165.0 to 170.2 over the last 7 days.
Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Troy Franklin has averaged +1.1 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | — | — | 0.5 | — |
| Wk 2 | vs JAX | 2.1 | 3.2 | +1.1 |
| Wk 3 | vs LAR | 2.5 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Troy Franklin #93 in 1QB and #97 in Superflex, WR38 at his position. Age 23.
1QB
#93
WR38 · tier 22 · of 297
Superflex
#97
WR38 · tier 17 · of 303
- Last season 144.6 pts 8.5 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 98% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 5.3 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 15% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.05
pick 201.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.06
half of simulations take him by pick 202
Draft range
14.10 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 4,441 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.06 in 79% of simulations
Pick 202 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.02 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.04 | 84% |
| 15.05 | 81% |
| 15.06 | 79% |
| 15.07 | 76% |
| 15.08 | 73% |
| 15.09 | 71% |
| 15.10 | 68% |
| 15.11 | 65% |
| 15.12 | 63% |
| 15.13 | 60% |
| 15.14 | 58% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.10 | <1% | 59 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 69 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 88 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.13 | <1% | 94 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.14 | 1% | 111 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 244 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 3% | 264 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 3% | 270 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 3% | 268 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 243 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 3% | 267 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 308 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 3% | 275 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 3% | 280 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 228 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 240 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 3% | 255 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 3% | 264 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 4441 simulations in which Troy Franklin was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 3%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 3%
Usually taken just after
- Pat Bryant WR · DEN 3%
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Troy Franklin was selected in 4441 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.