TEN · Bye 9 · Rookie
Nicholas Singleton
Nicholas Singleton comes off the board at 15.09 on average in 14-team Half PPR 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.09.
14-team Half PPR 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Nicholas Singleton has averaged -1.1 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | vs PHI | 2.1 | 1.0 | -1.1 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Nicholas Singleton #208 in 1QB and #213 in Superflex, RB54 at his position, priced from his draft slot as a rookie. Age 22.
1QB
#208
RB54 · tier 46 · of 297 · rookie 30 of 52
Superflex
#213
RB54 · tier 39 · of 303 · rookie 33 of 52
- Draft capital Round 5, pick 165 (2026) A rookie is priced from where he was drafted, on a prior fitted over prior classes.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Dynasty rankings Dynasty RB rankings Dynasty rookie rankings
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.09
pick 204.5 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.09
half of simulations take him by pick 205
Draft range
15.04 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 2,411 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Nicholas Singleton.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.09 in 88% of simulations
Pick 205 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.06 and 15.12.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.07 | 93% |
| 15.08 | 91% |
| 15.09 | 88% |
| 15.10 | 87% |
| 15.11 | 84% |
| 15.12 | 82% |
| 15.13 | 80% |
| 15.14 | 78% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 15.04 | 1% | 137 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 197 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 205 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 207 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 226 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 181 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 216 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 220 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 226 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 2% | 192 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 2411 simulations in which Nicholas Singleton was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 4%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
- Keaton Mitchell RB · LAC 3%
- Kaytron Allen RB · WAS 3%
Usually taken just after
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
- Jalen Nailor WR · LV 3%
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Nicholas Singleton was selected in 2411 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.