ATL · Bye 11
Brian Robinson Jr.
LMD RB Tier 8 for Week 9 · 5.4 projected Standard points · RB49 rest of season
Questionable
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 5.4 points this week, RB Tier 8. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.4 - 11.3 points. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 7% · Top 24: 21% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable.
Week 9
RB Tier 8
4.0 - 5.4 projected points
Rest of season
RB49
118th by projected points
Projected
5.4
week 9, Standard
Top 12
7%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 21% at RB
Movement
↓ 6
RB37 in Week 8, RB43 now
Should you start Brian Robinson Jr. in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Brian Robinson Jr. RB43 for Week 9, outside the RB24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside RB24 in 21% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Slight negative-0.20 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight positive+0.46 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Neutral-0.05 pts
- Betting markets
- Slight negative-0.21 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Brian Robinson Jr. will not be available for Week 9
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Falcons Ruled Out Two For Week 9 Including RB Brian Robinson Jr.
yardbarker.com ·
-
Falcons adjust Week 9 injury report for Bengals game in Madrid with Brian Robinson Jr. downgrade
clutchpoints.com ·
-
Falcons lose RB Brian Robinson Jr. for Bengals game
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Brian Robinson Jr. remains limited at practice
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Brian Robinson Jr. by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 6 completed games Brian Robinson Jr. has averaged +2.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ PIT | 2.8 | 3.1 | +0.3 |
| Wk 2 | vs CAR | 3.5 | 6.7 | +3.2 |
| Wk 3 | @ GB | 5.1 | 11.0 | +5.9 |
| Wk 4 | @ NO | 5.3 | 24.7 | +19.4 |
| Wk 5 | vs BAL | 7.2 | 1.6 | -5.6 |
| Wk 6 | vs CHI | 7.2 | 1.0 | -6.2 |
| Wk 7 | vs SF | 5.8 | Pending | — |
| Wk 8 | @ TB | 6.0 | Pending | — |
| Wk 9 | vs CIN | 5.4 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 51.8 points this season, RB49. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated seasons. That is 5.2 a game over 9.787 remaining games. Listed questionable. Down 3 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
5.2 / game
Over 9.787 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Brian Robinson Jr. #228 in 1QB and #230 in Superflex, RB62 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#228
RB62 · tier 50 · of 300
Superflex
#230
RB62 · tier 42 · of 307
- Last season 58.5 pts 3.4 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 92% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 10.5 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 4% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
9.06
pick 101.7 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
9.05
half of simulations take him by pick 101
Draft range
7.12 - 11.01
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in every one
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 9.05 in 51% of simulations
Pick 101 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 5, the same seat picks again at 10.08, where he is available in 18% of simulations.
Slot 5's remaining turns: 9.05 51% · 10.08 18% · 11.05 6% · 12.08 <1% · 13.05 <1% · 14.08 <1% · 15.05 <1%
The middle half of simulations take him between 8.06 and 10.03.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 9.03 | 56% |
| 9.04 | 53% |
| 9.05 | 51% |
| 9.06 | 48% |
| 9.07 | 46% |
| 9.08 | 44% |
| 9.09 | 41% |
| 9.10 | 39% |
| 9.11 | 36% |
| 9.12 | 34% |
| 10.01 | 32% |
| 10.02 | 29% |
| 10.03 | 27% |
| 10.04 | 25% |
| 10.05 | 23% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 7.12-8.01 | 4% | 405 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.02-8.03 | 5% | 472 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.04-8.05 | 4% | 447 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.06-8.07 | 4% | 442 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.08-8.09 | 5% | 483 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.10-8.11 | 5% | 460 of 10000 simulations |
| 8.12-9.01 | 5% | 507 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.02-9.03 | 5% | 493 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.04-9.05 | 5% | 498 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.06-9.07 | 5% | 472 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.08-9.09 | 5% | 454 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.10-9.11 | 5% | 502 of 10000 simulations |
| 9.12-10.01 | 5% | 454 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.02-10.03 | 5% | 465 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.04-10.05 | 4% | 367 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.06-10.07 | 3% | 340 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.08-10.09 | 3% | 330 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.10-10.11 | 3% | 255 of 10000 simulations |
| 10.12-11.01 | 2% | 240 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 10000 simulations in which Brian Robinson Jr. was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%
- Jakobi Meyers WR · JAX 2%
- J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN 2%
- Blake Corum RB · LAR 2%
Usually taken just after
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB · WAS 2%
- Oronde Gadsden II TE · LAC 2%
- Blake Corum RB · LAR 2%
- Jordan Mason RB · MIN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Brian Robinson Jr. was selected in 10000 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.