LMD Fantasy Support LMD
RB

PHI · Bye 10

Tank Bigsby

LMD RB93 rest of season · 25.6 projected Half PPR points

Reserve list (IR)

In season

Rest of season fantasy ranking

We project 25.6 points this season, RB93. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.3 a game over 5.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.

Rest of season

RB93

311th by projected points

Projected

25.6

rest of season, Half PPR

Top 12

0%

Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 0% at RB

Movement

NEW

Not ranked in the previous board

Half PPR scoring · Updated November 5, 2026

LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.

All RB rankings · Projected points board

Updates

Recent updates

Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Tank Bigsby by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.

Season performance

Performance vs. projection

Over 4 completed games Tank Bigsby has averaged +0.6 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.

Actual pointsLMD projectionLikely range (middle 80%)
Week by week for Tank Bigsby, Half PPR scoring
Week Opp Proj Actual Delta
Wk 1 vs WAS 3.0 0.3 -2.7
Wk 2 @ TEN 2.0 10.8 +8.8
Wk 3 @ CHI 4.7 -1.0 -5.7
Wk 4 vs LAR 3.4 5.5 +2.1

Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.

Regular season

Why LMD has him here

We project 25.6 points this season, RB93. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.3 a game over 5.825 remaining games. On a reserve list (IR), so the season projection prices the games he misses.

Per game

4.3 / game

Over 5.825 remaining game(s)

Finishing odds

Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%

Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB

Market input

none

No market signal available.

LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026

Dynasty

Long-term value

LMD's dynasty model has Tank Bigsby #235 in 1QB and #243 in Superflex, RB67 at his position. Age 24.

1QB

#235

RB67 · tier 52 · of 300

Superflex

#243

RB67 · tier 46 · of 307

  • Last season 52.3 pts 3.5 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
  • Availability 88% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
  • History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
  • Touches 6.4 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 2% of his team's targets.

LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.

Dynasty rankings Dynasty RB rankings

Draft season Draft position and availability

ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.

Simulated draft position

Where he goes

Simulation average

15.09

pick 177.2 overall, averaged over every simulated draft

Median pick

15.10

half of simulations take him by pick 178

Draft range

15.06 - 15.12

the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)

Simulations

10,000

drafted in 1,290 of them

Filters

League format

League size 12 teams also published: 14 teams
Scoring Half PPR also published: Full PPR
QB format 1QB also published: Superflex
Pool Redraft

Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Tank Bigsby.

Availability

Odds he reaches your pick

Available at 15.10 in 94% of simulations

Pick 178 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations

The middle half of simulations take him between 15.08 and 15.11.

Tank Bigsby still on the board
PickAvailable
15.08 97%
15.09 96%
15.10 94%
15.11 92%
15.12 90%

Distribution

Draft position distribution

Share of simulations in which Tank Bigsby was selected at each pick, 15.03 through 15.12. He goes earlier than this window in <1%, undrafted in 87%.
Draft position distribution for Tank Bigsby
PickShare of simulationsCount
15.03<1%11 of 10000 simulations
15.04<1%21 of 10000 simulations
15.05<1%37 of 10000 simulations
15.06<1%80 of 10000 simulations
15.071%128 of 10000 simulations
15.081%142 of 10000 simulations
15.092%186 of 10000 simulations
15.102%203 of 10000 simulations
15.112%230 of 10000 simulations
15.122%245 of 10000 simulations

Draft context

Who goes around him

Measured over the 1290 simulations in which Tank Bigsby was drafted.

Usually taken just before

Usually taken just after

Methodology

How this is measured

Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.

Tank Bigsby was selected in 1290 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.

We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.

Simulation model
simulation-v1.2
Generated
November 5, 2026
Player dataset
nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
Baseline
rank

Next

Draft it yourself

Mock a 12-team Half PPR 1QB draft

Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.