SEA · Bye 11
Emanuel Wilson
LMD RB Tier 7 for Week 9 · 9.5 projected Half PPR points · RB31 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 9.5 points this week, RB Tier 7. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 3.2 - 18.1 points. Top 3: 3% · Top 12: 18% · Top 24: 41% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
RB Tier 7
8.3 - 9.5 projected points
Rest of season
RB31
66th by projected points
Projected
9.5
week 9, Half PPR
Top 12
18%
Top 3: 3% · Top 24: 41% at RB
Movement
—
Unchanged: RB26 in Week 8
Should you start Emanuel Wilson in Week 9?
Borderline
It is close. LMD ranks Emanuel Wilson RB26 for Week 9, just outside the RB24 starter line. He finishes inside RB24 in 41% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Negative-1.72 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Strong positive+5.65 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Unavailable
- Betting markets
- Slight negative-0.12 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Fantasy Football Week 8 Start 'Em Sit 'Em: Zach Charbonnet or Emanuel Wilson?
Sports Illustrated ·
-
Fantasy Football Injury Impact: Jadarian Price Designated To Return, Damaging Emanuel Wilson And Zach Charbonnet
Sports Illustrated ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Emanuel Wilson by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 5 completed games Emanuel Wilson has averaged +3.8 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | — | — | 0.3 | — |
| Wk 2 | — | — | 9.2 | — |
| Wk 3 | @ WAS | 5.4 | 1.4 | -4.0 |
| Wk 4 | vs LAC | 7.0 | 25.5 | +18.5 |
| Wk 5 | vs SF | 10.3 | 12.2 | +1.9 |
| Wk 6 | @ DEN | 11.1 | 5.2 | -5.9 |
| Wk 7 | vs KC | 9.3 | 18.0 | +8.7 |
| Wk 8 | vs CHI | 8.1 | Pending | — |
| Wk 9 | vs ARI | 9.5 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 86.2 points this season, RB31. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 25% of simulated seasons. That is 9.6 a game over 8.976 remaining games. Down 1 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
9.6 / game
Over 8.976 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 3% · Top 24: 25%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Emanuel Wilson #251 in 1QB and #254 in Superflex, RB71 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#251
RB71 · tier 57 · of 300
Superflex
#254
RB71 · tier 50 · of 307
- Last season 87.0 pts 5.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 86% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 3% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.05
pick 200.7 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.06
half of simulations take him by pick 202
Draft range
14.09 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 3,920 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Emanuel Wilson.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.06 in 81% of simulations
Pick 202 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.01 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.04 | 86% |
| 15.05 | 83% |
| 15.06 | 81% |
| 15.07 | 78% |
| 15.08 | 76% |
| 15.09 | 73% |
| 15.10 | 71% |
| 15.11 | 69% |
| 15.12 | 67% |
| 15.13 | 65% |
| 15.14 | 63% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.09 | <1% | 65 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | <1% | 52 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 68 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 78 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.13 | <1% | 73 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.14 | <1% | 76 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 212 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 232 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 224 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 242 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 233 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 247 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 3% | 252 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 242 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 214 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 190 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 192 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 221 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 2% | 215 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 3920 simulations in which Emanuel Wilson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
- Wil Lutz K · DEN 3%
- Isiah Pacheco RB · DET 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
- Kayshon Boutte WR · HOU 3%
- Ja'Kobi Lane WR · BAL 3%
- Jerry Jeudy WR · CLE 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Emanuel Wilson was selected in 3920 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.