SEA · Bye 11
Emanuel Wilson
LMD RB45 for Week 3 · 5.4 projected Half PPR points · RB54 rest of season
Regular season
Week 3 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 5.4 points this week, RB45. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 4% · Top 24: 16% of simulated weeks. Up 71 since Week 2.
Week 3
RB45
141st by projected points
Rest of season
RB54
193rd by projected points
Projected
5.4
week 3, Half PPR
Top 12
4%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 16% at RB
Movement
↑ 71
RB116 in Week 2, RB45 now
- Draft / market prior
- Strong negative-2.22 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Positive+0.73 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Positive+0.73 pts
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Half PPR scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
STATUS
Emanuel Wilson is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
No completed game has both a pregame projection and a published result yet.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | — | — | 0.3 | — |
| Wk 2 | — | — | 9.2 | — |
| Wk 3 | @ WAS | 5.4 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 69.7 points this season, RB54. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 5.4 a game over 15 remaining games.
Per game
5.4 / game
Over 15 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
none
No market signal available.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.3.0. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections). · 2026 Rest of season board updated September 22, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Emanuel Wilson #250 in 1QB and #253 in Superflex, RB69 at his position. Age 27.
1QB
#250
RB69 · tier 57 · of 297
Superflex
#253
RB69 · tier 50 · of 303
- Last season 87.0 pts 5.1 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 86% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 3 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 3% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.05
pick 200.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.06
half of simulations take him by pick 202
Draft range
14.10 - 15.13
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 3,747 of them
Filters
League format
Nothing is published for every setting in that link, so this is the closest configuration we have simulated for Emanuel Wilson.
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.06 in 82% of simulations
Pick 202 overall in a 14-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.02 and 15.10.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.04 | 86% |
| 15.05 | 84% |
| 15.06 | 82% |
| 15.07 | 80% |
| 15.08 | 78% |
| 15.09 | 75% |
| 15.10 | 73% |
| 15.11 | 71% |
| 15.12 | 69% |
| 15.13 | 67% |
| 15.14 | 64% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.10 | <1% | 50 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 60 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 67 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.13 | <1% | 83 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.14 | <1% | 71 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 213 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 226 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 231 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 238 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 201 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 236 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 196 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 220 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 214 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 228 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 2% | 200 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.12 | 2% | 194 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.13 | 3% | 250 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 3747 simulations in which Emanuel Wilson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ 3%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Kansas City Chiefs DST · KC 3%
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 3%
Usually taken just after
- Jalen McMillan WR · TB 3%
- Troy Franklin WR · DEN 3%
- Antonio Williams WR · WAS 3%
- Jalen Nailor WR · LV 3%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 14-team Half PPR 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Emanuel Wilson was selected in 3747 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
We license no ADP feed of our own, so a reach or a fall on this page is measured against a price inferred from our own rankings -- a statement about our board, not about the market.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- rank
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
