NYG · Bye 8
Tyrone Tracy Jr.
LMD RB91 for Week 3 · 1.8 projected Standard points
Questionable
In season
Week 3 fantasy ranking
We project 1.8 points this week, RB91. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 2% of simulated weeks. Listed questionable. Up 32 since Week 2.
Week 3
RB91
279th by projected points
Projected
1.8
week 3, Standard
Top 12
0%
Top 3: 0% · Top 24: 2% at RB
Movement
↑ 32
RB123 in Week 2, RB91 now
- Draft / market prior
- Positive+1.25 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Negative-0.99 pts
- AvailabilityUnresolved injury
- No mean changeWider range0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Unavailable
- Betting markets
- No signal
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated September 22, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
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STATUS
Tyrone Tracy Jr. was listed as Questionable.
Let's Mock Draft ·
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ADP UPDATE
Tyrone Tracy Jr.'s ADP at Fantasy Football Calculator moved from 155.6 to 160.9 over the last 7 days.
-
Giants 53-man roster projection: Are Odell Beckham Jr. and Tyrone Tracy Jr. safe?
The New York Times ·
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Is New York Giants RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. suddenly on the roster bubble?
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Tyrone Tracy Jr. by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Draft-position figures are measured, and name the market they came from. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Tyrone Tracy Jr. has averaged -2.4 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | vs DAL | 1.8 | -0.6 | -2.4 |
| Wk 2 | — | — | 0.0 | — |
| Wk 3 | vs TEN | 1.8 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Tyrone Tracy Jr. #96 in 1QB and #101 in Superflex, RB30 at his position. Age 26.
1QB
#96
RB30 · tier 23 · of 297
Superflex
#101
RB30 · tier 18 · of 303
- Last season 142.8 pts 9.5 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 93% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 2 seasons Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 14.7 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 10% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
13.03
pick 146.9 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
12.08
half of simulations take him by pick 140
Draft range
11.10 - 15.07
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 8,433 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 12.08 in 59% of simulations
Pick 140 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
From draft slot 5, the same seat picks again at 13.05, where he is available in 42% of simulations.
Slot 5's remaining turns: 12.08 59% · 13.05 42% · 14.08 38% · 15.05 28%
The middle half of simulations take him between 12.02 and 14.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 12.06 | 66% |
| 12.07 | 62% |
| 12.08 | 59% |
| 12.09 | 55% |
| 12.10 | 52% |
| 12.11 | 48% |
| 12.12 | 45% |
| 13.01 | 42% |
| 13.02 | 42% |
| 13.03 | 42% |
| 13.04 | 42% |
| 13.05 | 42% |
| 13.06 | 42% |
| 13.07 | 42% |
| 13.08 | 42% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 11.10-11.11 | 7% | 705 of 10000 simulations |
| 11.12-12.01 | 7% | 710 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.02-12.03 | 7% | 720 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.04-12.05 | 8% | 762 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.06-12.07 | 7% | 713 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.08-12.09 | 7% | 690 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.10-12.11 | 7% | 653 of 10000 simulations |
| 12.12-13.01 | 3% | 296 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.02-13.03 | <1% | 22 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.04-13.05 | <1% | 17 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.06-13.07 | <1% | 13 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.08-13.09 | <1% | 29 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.10-13.11 | <1% | 37 of 10000 simulations |
| 13.12-14.01 | <1% | 80 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.02-14.03 | <1% | 92 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.04-14.05 | <1% | 90 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.06-14.07 | <1% | 95 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08-14.09 | 1% | 104 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10-14.11 | 1% | 108 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12-15.01 | 3% | 252 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02-15.03 | 3% | 327 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04-15.05 | 3% | 335 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06-15.07 | 3% | 315 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 8433 simulations in which Tyrone Tracy Jr. was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 3%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 3%
- Kenyon Sadiq TE · NYJ 2%
- Baker Mayfield QB · TB 2%
Usually taken just after
- Emmett Johnson RB · KC 3%
- Woody Marks RB · HOU 3%
- Zach Charbonnet RB · SEA 3%
- Kenyon Sadiq TE · NYJ 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. was selected in 8433 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
