CLE · Bye 11
Dylan Sampson
Dylan Sampson comes off the board at 15.04 on average in 12-team Standard 1QB mock drafts, with a median of 15.05.
12-team Standard 1QB · 10,000 simulations · generated September 17, 2026
Updates
Recent updates
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STATUS
Dylan Sampson was ruled IR.
Let's Mock Draft ·
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Browns Add 1000-Yard RB To Active Roster After Placing Dylan Sampson To IR
yardbarker.com ·
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Browns Add 1,000-Yard RB as Dylan Sampson Heads to IR
Yahoo Sports ·
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Dylan Sampson will not return in Week 1
USA TODAY ·
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Dylan Sampson Fantasy Week 1 Start or Sit: You’re Overthinking Your Flex
Yahoo Sports ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Dylan Sampson by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 1 completed game Dylan Sampson has averaged -2.4 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ JAX | 2.4 | 0.0 | -2.4 |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Dylan Sampson #139 in 1QB and #140 in Superflex, RB39 at his position. Age 21.
1QB
#139
RB39 · tier 31 · of 297
Superflex
#140
RB39 · tier 25 · of 303
- Last season 71.1 pts 4.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 88% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 9% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated September 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.04
pick 172.4 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.05
half of simulations take him by pick 173
Draft range
14.07 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 3,281 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.05 in 86% of simulations
Pick 173 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.02 and 15.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.03 | 90% |
| 15.04 | 88% |
| 15.05 | 86% |
| 15.06 | 83% |
| 15.07 | 81% |
| 15.08 | 79% |
| 15.09 | 77% |
| 15.10 | 74% |
| 15.11 | 72% |
| 15.12 | 70% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.07 | <1% | 58 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.08 | <1% | 48 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | <1% | 74 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | <1% | 64 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 48 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 63 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 181 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 203 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 187 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 216 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 3% | 256 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 240 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 232 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 204 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 241 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 203 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 255 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 3281 simulations in which Dylan Sampson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Harrison Butker K · KC 4%
- Jake Bates K · DET 3%
- Andy Borregales K · NE 3%
- Will Reichard K · MIN 2%
Usually taken just after
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Khalil Shakir WR · BUF 3%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 2%
- Jalen Coker WR · CAR 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Dylan Sampson was selected in 3281 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of September 17, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- September 17, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@8a41b71bb222a352
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-09-17)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.
