CLE · Bye 11
Dylan Sampson
LMD RB Tier 8 for Week 9 · 4.8 projected Standard points · RB63 rest of season
Regular season
Week 9 and rest of season fantasy rankings
We project 4.8 points this week, RB Tier 8. The middle 80% of simulated scores runs 1.4 - 10.2 points. Top 3: 1% · Top 12: 4% · Top 24: 15% of simulated weeks.
Week 9
RB Tier 8
4.0 - 5.4 projected points
Rest of season
RB63
161st by projected points
Projected
4.8
week 9, Standard
Top 12
4%
Top 3: 1% · Top 24: 15% at RB
Movement
↑ 6
RB53 in Week 8, RB47 now
Should you start Dylan Sampson in Week 9?
Bench
Not in a standard 12-team league. LMD ranks Dylan Sampson RB47 for Week 9, outside the RB24 starter line and outside the range this reading covers. He finishes inside RB24 in 15% of simulated weeks.
The starter line is a standard 12-team lineup's, and is the line LMD's weekly accuracy review grades this board against.
- Draft / market prior
- Negative-0.87 pts
- Recent usage & efficiency
- Slight positive+0.45 pts
- AvailabilityAvailable
- Neutral0.00 pts
- Outside projection
- Slight positive+0.30 pts
- Betting markets
- No mean changeNarrower range-0.01 pts
Why isn’t matchup a separate factor?
How to read
- Full model minus the model without each factor.
- Effects are not additive or changes in rank.
- Recent data includes its effect on blending weights.
- A range note means a factor moved the spread and not the expected points.
Standard scoring · Updated November 5, 2026
LMD Rankings are produced by Let's Mock Draft's own statistical and market model. They are not analyst rankings: consensus boards are not an input, and nothing is edited by hand.
Updates
Recent updates
-
Next week’s waiver wire: Dylan Sampson and more players to add before the Week 10 rush
The New York Times ·
-
Dylan Sampson by the numbers in Browns-Steelers game
Yahoo Sports ·
-
Dylan Sampson records six catches in Week 8
USA TODAY ·
-
Dylan Sampson off the Week 8 injury report
USA TODAY ·
-
STATUS
Dylan Sampson is no longer listed on the injury report.
Let's Mock Draft ·
Headlines from other publishers, discovered automatically and matched to Dylan Sampson by name -- we did not write these and we do not host them, and each one opens at the publisher who did. Status changes are the club designation carried on our player data, not a report of our own.
Season performance
Performance vs. projection
Over 3 completed games Dylan Sampson has averaged +1.6 points a game against what we projected before kickoff.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | @ JAX | 2.4 | 0.0 | -2.4 |
| Wk 7 | @ TEN | 3.5 | 7.7 | +4.2 |
| Wk 8 | @ PIT | 3.9 | 6.9 | +3.0 |
| Wk 9 | @ NO | 4.8 | — | — |
Each week's projection is the last one Let's Mock Draft published before that game kicked off, recorded at the time and never recalculated afterwards. The shaded band is the middle 80% of that week's simulated outcomes. Actual points are scored from official statistics under the scoring rule selected above.
Regular season
Why LMD has him here
We project 39.3 points this season, RB63. Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0% of simulated seasons. That is 4.8 a game over 8.816 remaining games. Up 1 since the Nov. 4 board.
Per game
4.8 / game
Over 8.816 remaining game(s)
Finishing odds
Top 3: 0% · Top 12: 0% · Top 24: 0%
Share of simulated seasons finishing inside that place at RB
Market input
thin
Thin market coverage: few venues or markets priced this player.
LMD Rankings, rankings-v1.5.2. Inputs: Ball Don't Lie (fantasy market, player status, projections); PropLine (player props). · 2026 Rest of season board updated November 5, 2026
Dynasty
Long-term value
LMD's dynasty model has Dylan Sampson #139 in 1QB and #140 in Superflex, RB39 at his position. Age 21.
1QB
#139
RB39 · tier 31 · of 300
Superflex
#140
RB39 · tier 25 · of 307
- Last season 71.1 pts 4.7 per game, half-PPR scoring, in the games he played.
- Availability 88% Share of his team's games he played over the seasons the model reads.
- History 1 season Seasons of production the model read; more history is weighed more confidently.
- Touches 7.0 / game Carries plus receptions per game; 9% of his team's targets.
LMD dynasty model 1.2.0: a 3-season projection from observed NFL statistics, priced above a lineup's replacement level. Our own ranking, not an ADP, a consensus or a market price. Updated October 2026.
Draft season Draft position and availability
ADP, draft range, availability at a pick and who goes around him, measured over 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts.
Simulated draft position
Where he goes
Simulation average
15.04
pick 172.4 overall, averaged over every simulated draft
Median pick
15.05
half of simulations take him by pick 173
Draft range
14.08 - 15.11
the middle 80% of simulations (P10-P90)
Simulations
10,000
drafted in 3,243 of them
Filters
League format
Availability
Odds he reaches your pick
Available at 15.05 in 86% of simulations
Pick 173 overall in a 12-team draft · 10,000 simulations
The middle half of simulations take him between 15.02 and 15.09.
| Pick | Available |
|---|---|
| 15.03 | 90% |
| 15.04 | 88% |
| 15.05 | 86% |
| 15.06 | 83% |
| 15.07 | 81% |
| 15.08 | 79% |
| 15.09 | 77% |
| 15.10 | 75% |
| 15.11 | 72% |
| 15.12 | 70% |
Distribution
Draft position distribution
| Pick | Share of simulations | Count |
|---|---|---|
| 14.08 | <1% | 64 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.09 | <1% | 70 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.10 | <1% | 59 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.11 | <1% | 69 of 10000 simulations |
| 14.12 | <1% | 64 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.01 | 2% | 176 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.02 | 2% | 202 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.03 | 2% | 193 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.04 | 2% | 244 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.05 | 2% | 239 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.06 | 2% | 229 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.07 | 2% | 199 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.08 | 2% | 205 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.09 | 2% | 230 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.10 | 2% | 229 of 10000 simulations |
| 15.11 | 3% | 253 of 10000 simulations |
Draft context
Who goes around him
Measured over the 3243 simulations in which Dylan Sampson was drafted.
Usually taken just before
- Will Reichard K · MIN 4%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 3%
- Eddy Pineiro K · SF 3%
- Jake Bates K · DET 3%
Usually taken just after
- Will Reichard K · MIN 3%
- Harrison Butker K · KC 2%
- Jayden Higgins WR · HOU 2%
- Tyjae Spears RB · TEN 2%
Methodology
How this is measured
Every figure on this page comes from a Monte Carlo batch of 10,000 simulated 12-team Standard 1QB drafts, each one played out pick by pick by the same simulated managers that fill an empty seat in a live room.
Dylan Sampson was selected in 3243 of those 10000 drafts. Every probability here rests on that count.
Each player's expected draft position starts from Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP as of November 5, 2026; the simulated managers move him from there. Players it does not price keep a price inferred from our own rankings.
A reach or a fall on this page is measured against Fantasy Football Calculator's aggregate ADP where it prices a player, and against a price inferred from our own rankings where it does not.
- Simulation model
- simulation-v1.2
- Generated
- November 5, 2026
- Player dataset
- nflverse-2026@c60914d598b9e57d
- Baseline
- mixed
- Market prior
- ADP data from Fantasy Football Calculator (2026-11-05)
Next
Draft it yourself
Draft against the same simulated managers that produced these numbers.